Peter Riddell
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Labour has suffered a sharp loss of public confidence across a wide range of policies as the Conservatives have held on to big gains of the autumn.
A Populus poll for The Times, undertaken last weekend, underlines the extent of dissatisfaction with the Brown Government. But voters remain wary about a Tory government.
The results will cause further alarm at No 10. Gordon Brown and his closest allies accept that they face a long haul to recover from recent blows.
Labour is now on 32 per cent. While this is 5 points lower than a month ago, this rating is slightly higher than in some polls a week or two ago and suggests that the Labour freefall of the autumn may have halted — though at historically low levels. The party averaged 39 per cent during Gordon Brown’s honeymoon in the summer.
By contrast, the Tories are now on 40 per cent, up 4 points since the last Populus poll a month ago, but in line with, or slightly below, other recent polls. This is the highest level ever reached by the party in a Populus survey. On a monthly average of all polls, the Tories were on 40 per cent in both October and November, compared with 33 per cent between July and September. This suggests that the Tories are consolidating, but failing to build further on the earlier rise in support.
The Liberal Democrats are unchanged on 16 per cent, and other parties remain on 11 per cent.
While 63 per cent of the public are dissatisfed with Labour, 47 per cent still prefer a Labour Government. Labour is down by 16 points to 35 per cent on being the best to manage the economy. The Tories are at 34 per cent, up six points in three months.
The Tories have overtaken Labour on getting the balance right between taxes and public spending, at 31 to 27 per cent, after a 10 point drop in Labour’s rating. The Tories have moved into the lead on representing Britain’s best interests in the EU, by 30 to 29.
Labour has also lost ground on the NHS and standards in schools, and remains only just ahead of the Tories, by four points and one point respectively. Labour’s biggest lead is on tackling the shortage of affordable housing where it is ahead by 36 to 20 per cent.
The Tories have strengthened their lead on crime and anti-social behaviour, immigration and asylum.
Populus interviewed a random sample of 1,506 adults aged 18 by telephone between December 7 and 9. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to be representative of all adults. For more details, visit www.populus.co.uk.
How would you vote if there were a general election tomorrow?
32% Labour (down 5)
40% Conservative (up 4)
16% LIb Dem (no change)
11% Other (no change)
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My biggest surprise is that 32% would still vote Labour.
James, London,
Same old issue. Where are the Tories? Brown should be on his knees with the scandals of the last two months but he seems to be let off the hook by the absence of a sustained Tory attack. Ken Clarke has been doing the TV rounds recently and demonstates just how effective a Tory politician can be. His eruditie, articulate sure footed commentary, combined with whole hearted opposition to the folly of Iraq and a liberal approach to social policy reminds us of the Tory party we lost somewhere between the hopless Duncan-Smith and hapless Howard. Dave tries to be all things to all men -his politics are gadfly -he lets Brown recover and lacks the killer instinct. Does he really want power? Voters are still not sure what he stands for. 'These are my principles, if you don't like them'I have others' said Groucho Marks'politician -Dave is all too similar -but for the country's sake someone has got to get the Tories together with a determined agenda and soon!
David, Uzes, France
Cameron and the Tories lead on who is best to represent the UK in the EU .Well who is surprised about that.Cameron never mentions anything about policies on Europe.Why does he not answer the question on whether he wants to stay or get out.Answer he is running scared of his party breaking up over this issue.When he does decide his poll ratings will go in free fall.
Bill Rees, Truro, Cornwall
Brown was never any good at handling the economy, it has always been a smokescreen avidly promoted by the left wing media, which includes the Times! From the most benign economic circumstances in the world for decades, what has Brown done. Turned Britain in to the most indebted nation in the Western World and we dont even know the true level of Government debt. We do know of 150 billion in PFI (debt for the next 25 - 30 years), which Brown has kept of the balance sheet . Like all good socialist governments, the country ends up bankrupt.
chris, woodbridge, suffolk
Brown's vision for the future is as much a pipe dream as his "no more boom and bust" economic miracle. That was driven by cheap money from China. Someone once told me that you can always tell when a politician is lying - their lips move. I wouldn't give his policies house room - if I could afford a house that is!
Keith, Newport, Isle of Wight
I can't see how a random survey of 18 year olds is representative of the voting public, even if weighted, whatever that means?
Brown is a hasbeen that never was and will be selling us down the river further, with his treasonous act of signing the EU treaty/constitution this week.
Save our Sovereignty, Oxfordshire, England
I never understood why Gordon Brown was hailed as a great Chancellor. He inherited a full treasurer which he has squandered with very little to show for it. Spending on the NHS should have been accompanied by radical reform but the one reformer who may have made a difference (Frank Field) was soon shunted aside.
Inflation was kept down by the importing of cheap goods from China and economic growth was fueled by rising house prices which enabled people to borrow extensively and fund their spending. In the meantime Gordon Brown destroyed the pensions in this country and now his economic mismanagement is coming home to roost.
Gordon Brown is reverting to the traditional labour way of thinking that change can be brought about by top down government control. He has denied the public a vote on Europe and uncontrolled immigration is destroying what is left of our culture. The kindest action he could make would be to go to the country and let them decide on their future.
PAC, Whitstable, UK
Gordon Brown should just call an election. He is leading our country into a big diaster.
Steph, South Gloucesterhire, England
Dunno about vision, but gordie has shown us his nightmare. The nightmare of the credit crunch hitting the overspent governtment and consumer full on. The nightmare of incompetent government losing the details of 25m people and blaming the offie junior. The nightmare of releasing disease from a government laboratory over a departmental muddle and then charging farmers to put it right.
Worst of all in this nightmare is this: that Gordie has nae a clue!
Mohammed Baroud, basingstoke, hants
gordon brown cant be trusted he is a poor p.m. he covered up a lot when he was chancellor he is full of false promises, hid behind blair now he is out in the open fiasco upon fiasco, the uk population wont put up with that. whats next , theyll be trouble ahead for brown and his lakey cabinet.
t gray, glasgow,
Labour manage the economy, it shows just how little Mr Ave understands. Labour is like your mate down the road, you know the one with the big house, flash motor and numerous foreign holidays. He looks like he's made it, and has everything, but what you cant see is that its all paid for on the never-never. Some day when the bill has to be paid it'll all end in tears. Same with labour - lots spent on hospitals and school buildings, lots of people on the state pay roll, a private bank being loaned billions, and our borrowing is worse that Italy's. Someday it'll have to be paid back...then guess what the 'reputation' for prudent management will be exposed for what it is - fake.
Al, Newcastle,
I bet Brown wishes he'd never got the job. I'd not be surprised if the poor chap doesn't have some kind of breakdown. He seems to live day to day in a panic-induced state of inaction.
Nick, Eastbourn, uk
..and he's giving British soverignty away by signing the EU Constitution.
Breaking two LABOUR manifesto promises to hold a referendum.
Labour cannot be trusted. Out with Brown.
richard, london,
Hi,
Labour are the ones unable to manage the ecconomy.
That as always been the case and always will.
They have enjoyed and wasted the ecconomic benifits set up by Mrs. Thatcher.
Now the crunch is comming they look for the excuses and
how they can hide behind anything to save their necks, mainly spin.
No need to worry where there's no honour and pride there'll
be no resignations.
What ever they get and give the people will deserve it for they have allowed it to happen.
JFW, Stone, England
Steven, you forgot the overzealous micro-management of everything leading to Brown's inability to articulate any sort of vision, his appaling shows in Commons debates, oh, and 25 million people's personal details on eBay for a fiver.
The sooner this imbecile is gone the better.
Tim, Brz, UK
On 6th October,Mr Brown cancelled a possible election on 1st November because he said he wanted to show the country his vision for the future.I'm not sure that the country can stomach his vision.All I can see is a recession looming.Consumer debt at 1.38 trillion,the NR fiasco,falling house prices,rising inflation and unemployment,public finances 11 billion more in the red than expected.Some vision.
stephen hulton, eure, france