Anne Ashworth
The man, the films, those blondes. Free DVD collection starting this Sunday
The Chancellor's weightiest Budget measure for homeowners was a 94-page document that returned - for the umpteenth time - to the issue of how to make long-term fixed-rate mortgages the loan we love the most.
This Housing Finance Review advances a new reason why we should all prefer a 25-year fixed-rate deal: in the US, the repossession rate is highest among sub-prime borrowers with variable rate mortgages. But, as these were sold to the poorest would-be owner-occupiers, those most likely to default, the case is not very convincing.
Meanwhile aspiring owner-occupiers in the UK will wonder why Alistair Darling did so little for them. The stamp duty change applies mainly to those key workers, such as teachers, who qualify for shared equity schemes. As we told you last week, there is unrest among private sector workers with modest earnings who envy key workers not only their pensions, but also their housing and loan perks, including mortgages with starter rates of as low as 1.75 per cent.
Only 16 per cent of properties are below the £125,000 starting threshold for stamp duty. An increase to, say, £130,000 and the promise of more concessions to come in future Budgets would have given the market a useful springtime boost. But perhaps Mr Darling decided that a tax break would be wasted on first-time buyers, who currently find it difficult to get a mortgage unless they are in possession of a substantial deposit.
His harsh treatment of first-time buyers was in marked contrast to his generosity to buy-to-let investors. Despite rumours that he would have a change of heart, the capital gains tax (CGT) on the sale of a rental flat or a second home will be 18 per cent from April. The temptation to take advantage of this tax cut will be lessened by the availability of tenants - those frustrated first-time buyers must live somewhere.
Wherever you lay your head, Mr Darling would like it to be a environmentally-aware space. To this cause, he pledged £26 million for the Green Homes Service, which provides eco-audits. This sum may not stretch to an audit for every home, but it's the thought that counts.
As we explain in our Budget Special, if you pay for a home energy assessment yourself, the carbon emissions from your property will be lower - and your fuel bills, too. But you will still be left wondering why the Government is wasting so much energy on trying to find ways to make us want 25-year fixed-rate loans.
THE TRUTH AND NOTHING BUT
There is a common belief that estate agents have an infinite propensity for optimism and it is true that those who do well in this line of work are glass-half-full people. Yet just when we need estate agents to be more than usually upbeat, some are turning morose.
The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors' monthly account of its members' experiences reveals that many hold the press responsible for the housing downturn, preferring to overlook such factors as global financial market chaos. This inclination to blame the messenger, first noted in January by this column, suggests some firms are well-equipped for tough times.
But not everyone in estate agency is acting out of character. Those with charm enough to persuade their clients to be realistic about prices are reporting some success. McKillop and Gregor, a Salisbury outfit, says that last month it took “a strong line on bringing prices down by up to 10 per cent”: viewings, offers and sales rose. As our report on page 13 suggests, cutting the asking price of a property can stimulate the competitive instincts of purchasers.
Feel pity if you can, however, for the unfortunate estate agent trying to outline such a strategy to a client who has a set-in-concrete view of the price of his home. Bricks and Mortar has heard from readers who are upset that their properties are failing to find buyers; they remain convinced that such is the quality of their piece of real estate that its value cannot have diminished.
Meanwhile, we have also been contacted by individuals keen to buy. Every day they check whether sellers have lowered their expectations, and every day are disappointed. It needs somebody to bring the two sides together in this stand-off and that person is an estate agent who knows his job is all about that certain smile.
WHICH TYPE OF HOARDER ARE YOU?
The first sign of spring in a property section is the appearance of books about seasonal domestic makeovers. The Clutter Clinic, by Romaine Lowery (Weidenfeld and Nicolson, price £16.99) arrived this week. This explains how to get rid of your junk, but before you become the “closet queen” in your ordered home you must discover what type of hoarder you are: the Squirrel, the Kitten, the Magpie and so forth. This process can, however, be just another way of postponing the actual job of clearing up.
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Well, how about getting rid of this 'stamp duty' all together.
Louis Blanc, Liverpool, UK
I don't think it is sensible at all to be propping up this dead parrott. However it might be wise to let the bubble down very gradually if this can be done...
Alistairs Solicitors, Bristol, UK
First time buyers don't need any help from people like Anne. Fiddling with stamp duty and the such isn't the answer. All that first time buyers have to do, is to have the sense not to buy and wait for house prices to drop, drop, drop....which they will. Anne isn't concerned about first time buyers, she's simply worried that her investments (no doubt mainly in property) are going down the drain and she wants someone or something to prop up the market. It certainly won't be all the hot air she spouts, that will achieve her aim. What a joke! It's a wonder how people like her, managed to prosper for as long as they have. Not for much longer, that's for sure!
Keith, London, UK
The underlying assumption here is that yet more house price rises are 'good', that the market needs a 'boost' and that the Government should provide one.
The whole point of the credit crunch is that an asset bubble has deflated: supposedly secure collateral is no longer worth what it was once believed to be. It was inflated in the first place not by sustainable increases in value, but by an excess of available money that was cheap because the risk factor was wrongly priced.
This bursting of the bubbkle is coming here - nine months on - because UK house prices by any measure (eg devitation from long term trend, price to income multiple) are 30% higher even than US prices were.
The housing market will get its 'boost' when confidence returns among buyers and - especially - lenders that prices are again sustainable. The bubble-blowing money has now gone from the system and we are looking at 30%-50% price falls. Calling for stamp duty changes is fiddling at the margins
Tom K, Somerset, UK
the housing market doesn't need a "boost" or a "spring bounce", it needs a sense of reality. Current prices are ludicrous, the average price being nearly 9 times the average yearly income.
High house prices are a bad thing. They represent a massive transfer of wealth from young to old, and a lifetime of crippling debt.
Amanda, London,
How wrong you are!
Raising stamp duty will not help at all. The last time stamp duty rose from £120k to £125k the estate agents just put everything up by £5k. As stamp duty is only at 1% at this level you are only saving £50 but paying £5k more!
In addition the comment that only 16% of properties fall under £125k, what is this based on? Asking prices or achieved sales prices? As most sales reflect a figure of less than 95% of the asking price this may bring a greater number of properties under the level. Most agents will ask £130k knowing the vendor will sell for £125k which can only distort the figures you qoute.
Stamp duty needs to remain the same so that the market can stabilise, not fall or rise. But then how boring is it to think that house prices won't change, it won't make the headlines!
Richard F, Bournemouth,