Rachel Sylvester
The man, the films, those blondes. Free DVD collection starting this Sunday
On Saturday, my teenage niece described how she had seen a boy bleeding to death from stab wounds as she drove home from a party recently. While the adults present talked earnestly about the number of “young people” who have been murdered in London in the past few months, she calmly recited all their names.
On Sunday, I walked into my sitting room and saw a man trying to break into the house through the front window. It was about 8.30am.
It is the biggest cliché in politics that “it's the economy, stupid” that determines the result of elections. It's also the biggest fallacy. Of course voters are cross about the rising price of food and fuel, but it is the sense of chaos in the world around them that really eats into their souls. People know that the economy is like the weather, something that is, at least to some extent, beyond the Government's control. What they really want from politicians is a sense of optimism about creating a different, more orderly, society. During the recent London mayoral elections the word used most frequently by focus group members was “grim”. This covered everything from parking tickets to graffiti, but it was the violence and disorder on the streets that worried them most. It is not just in the capital that people fear for themselves and - more intensely - for their children.
Across the country, there has been a 19 per cent increase in the number of stabbings in the past five years. One in five people between 19 and 24 knows someone who has been threatened by a gun or knife. The party that promises to create a safer, and more civilised, country will win when Britain next goes to the polls.
There has been a strange political reversal in recent years. It used to be the Conservatives who argued that economic stability was the most important thing, while Labour made the case that there was such a thing as society too.
Now, just as David Cameron has overtaken Gordon Brown as the leader most trusted to run the economy, the Tories have started pushing social issues instead. Yesterday, while the Prime Minister was telling us to eat up our mouldy cheddar, the Conservative leader promised to make the “broken society” his main theme between now and the general election. Policies on education, welfare and the family - as well as knife crime - will all be pegged on to the “broken society” washing line. But the real message will be that legislation is less important than a change of culture.
In his speech, Mr Cameron said that people had to take personal responsibility for things such as obesity, drug addiction and alcohol abuse - rather than blaming external forces such as poverty or the state. “We have seen a decades-long erosion of responsibility, of social virtue, of self-discipline, respect for others,” he said. “Refusing to use these words - right and wrong - means a denial of personal responsibility and the concept of moral choice.”
The latest must-read book at Conservative HQ is Nudge, which argues that peer pressure is a more effective way to change behaviour than state directives. Last week Steve Hilton, the Tories' chief strategist, met one of its authors, Richard Thaler, to discuss how his approach could be applied to social problems such as drugs and knife crime. At the moment, the argument goes, people are being “nudged” in the wrong direction, with rap music that glorifies violence, soap operas that popularise antisocial behaviour and gang culture that creates a sense of family for people who have none.
The question is how to turn the nudges around. A rap song that highlighted the danger of carrying a weapon could be more deterrent than endless knife summits at No10. A health visitor who persuaded working-class mothers to read to their children might have as great an impact on education as a change in the qualifications system. In short, Mr Cameron does not just want to hug a hoody, he wants the hoodies to be persuaded to hug each other. He wants to create a smaller state by reducing demand rather than supply.
This philosophy of “libertarian paternalism” is difficult to get across. It is potentially dangerous for politicians to admit that government is powerless to implement the required changes. Some Shadow Cabinet ministers, notably George Osborne, are worried that the strategy will not resonate if the country is entering economic decline. Others fear the party looking soft - particularly now that Mr Cameron's right-wing cover David Davis is off the front bench. There will need to be some concrete proposals, too. But it may be more honest to admit that there are limitations to the ability of politics to deal with the underlying causes of social problems.
What is extraordinary is that Labour has surrendered the fight against the “broken society” to the Conservatives. When James Bulger was murdered, Tony Blair described the killing as a “hammer blow against the sleeping conscience of society”. It was Mr Brown who devised new Labour's slogan “tough on crime, tough on the causes of crime”. Tackling the underclass should be natural territory for the Left. But ministers seem in denial about the problem - “I don't have any time myself for this talk about... the breakdown of society,” Ed Balls, the Prime Minister's right-hand man, has said. “In most parts of our country there isn't a problem with gun or knife crime.”
It was no coincidence that Mr Cameron chose to make his speech from the Gallowgate estate in Glasgow. Not only is this the area that brought about Iain Duncan Smith's Damascene conversion to social justice; it is also is in the constituency where Gordon Brown might soon have his Garden of Gethsemane moment, kissed on the cheek by hitherto loyal Labour voters. The Tories will not win the Glasgow East by-election, but if they seize the “broken society” territory from Labour they may triumph in the end.

Rachel Sylvester is a weekly columnist and political interviewer for The Times. Before that, she wrote about politics for The Daily Telegraph. She was also political editor of The Independent on Sunday.
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Yes there is an elephant in the room, but it's not grey, it's black.
Bob, London,
Has Ed Balls been outside London? There were five shootings in one day last week in Liverpool and probably as many if not more in Manchester, Birmingham etc What gives such ignorance the right to run our country. Ed Balls is a dangerous embarrassment.if he really believes that there isn't a problem
judy, Liverpool, England
its the classic, you only know your lover after an argument, you know your country during a recession, the labour legacy will be a country of the cash poor desperate and the rich stinking rich,and another classic,"we ain't seeen nothing yet" behavior driven by desperation to survive.
michael joseph, cahersiveen.adams towns, madness.
I believe as peter in his response has asserted,that the welfare state is responsible for increasing crime rates.People must earn there keep !!!. All the assertions of needing identity are a joke.People must earn there way.There is no prouder feeling.
joe, chicago, us
It's all about having heroes. Within the Black community and within the schools they should be surrounded by great black heroes: Martin Luther King, Nelson Mandela, Bob Marley, Mohamed Ali, John Coltrane. They should have inspiring teachers teaching the lives and lessons of these great figures.
Ryan, London,
Labour and it's two dimensional ideology thinks it knows what is right for society; Considering that, it's obvious from the start it is going to fail - the socialist mindset and ideology is fundamentally juvenile in nature, whilst the country needs a more adult, robust leadership.
Andrew Iddon, London, UK
And, Adrian, you are doubly defenceless, because you are not allowed to help yourself, and the police won't help you either.
Martin, Newmarket, Suffolk
'It was Mr Brown who devised new Labour's slogan tough on crime, tough on the causes of crime.'
The key word in that sentence is "slogan". He was looking for a sentiment that would help New Labour to get and keep power - not intending to do anything about the problem.
Tom Welsh, Basingstoke,
At last Cameron has said something sensible.
Britain today is a nation of litter, graffiti, broken glass, foul language, disgusting soap operas, knives, vomit and adults behaving as juveniles.
We ALL need to take repsonsibility for our actions and not leave it to the media and politicians
Michael, Torquay,
The Tories might understand society is broken because they are the ones who broke it in the first place. The workless, feckless underclass has not just emerged in the last ten years. It was there before. Remember it was Margaret Thatcher who said: "There is no such thing as society."
Robert C, London , UK
There isn't a break down in society at the moment just a shift in media fear mongering, were all bored of terrorists so now its "hoodies" with knives. 4 out of 5 19 to 24 year olds don't know anyone who has been threatened by a knife out of their hundreds of friends and acquaintances, what a relief.
Jamie, London, England
So you saw a man trying to break into your own house! What did you do? Wait until he entered and then hit him over the head with a hammer - reaching for your old age pension book and increasing your limp? Or what did you do?
Brian Lewis, Manila, p
I see the only option to restore society is to start with the young by re-introducing some form of national service, possibly without the military elment, but with the same degree of discipline and run by the Army to make young people face up to their problems through becoming self-reliant.
Mike Mitchell, Spalding, England
Wilfred, USA. When we speak of a "broken society" in the UK, I don't think that we're comparing it unfavourably with the US. This is an area in which we need to move further away from American society and not closer to it.
H B, London,
Owen of London. The welfare state has got a lot to do with it. When you compensate people who won't take control of their own lives you get people that have no respect for other's lives or property. And now we have a third generation dependent on welfare. How is that a mark of a civilized soceity?
Chris , Derby,
Britain does not feel like a society to me. Materialism, selfishness and celebrity-worshipping predominate, and courtesy to and regard for other people have faded. Almost any behaviour is acceptable as long as you can get away with it. Poor parenting and policing reinforce this culture.
Ben Garside, Loughborough, UK
Unfort. we are so dumbed down and selfish as a nation, few care about basic concepts like living in a society where all people are treated fairly . Celebrities and the rich routinely avoid prosecution for drink driving, air rage, military coups & corruption. When we do get tough it's on Joe Public!
Gary, London, England
Gang crime needs to be addressed aggressively - The police need to mount a large operation to break up the gangs - Curfews need to be put in place for adolescents - Zero tolerance should be order of the day - Until we fight back there will be no reprieve for law abiding citizens who live in fear -
WTaylor, London, UK
I cannot express my revulsion at this Government's impact on this Country. The growth of the self perpetuating 'underclass' has in some parts destroyed decent people's lives. The Common good has gone. Any government that stands on a hard back to basics policy would get my vote.
Mike Smith, Ashington, UK
you reap what you sow and it now socity that is paying for what the do gooding pc brigade sowed,
brian rice, halifax, england
Peter Dawson, Thailand - That's because you were living under a military dictatorship for about a year and the previous prime minister had criminals shot and tortured.
It's got nothing to do with the welfare state, which IMO is the hallmark of a civilised society.
Owen, London, UK
Libertarian paternalism is difficult to get across because it's an oxymoron. Libertarianism is about government getting the hell out of the way of law abiding citizens and allowing them to take responsibility for their own lives. Any paternalism with government as it's root is it's antithesis.
Richard, Middlesbrough, UK
In most parts of our country there isn't a problem with gun or knife crime.
There's a reason for that but we're not allowed to mention it, are we? It's the elephant in the room...
ben foster, wokingham,
Here in Thailand I feel safe to go anywhere any time. No random street crime, no taking and driving, no vandalism. Local people are clearly happy even though they are poor my Western standards.
There is also no welfare state. Everybody must take care of themselves. Could there be a connection?
Peter Dawson, Chiang Mai, Thailand
The issue is Identity. Multiculturalism is not an identity. It is a
justification of mass immigration. A strong identity such as
"I am English or I am an American," sets a social definition for
good behavior. When people have no Identity, they join gangs, do drugs and kill.
John, Placentia, Republic of California
The problem is that politicians can't or won't see what's coming our way. To some of us, it's been apparent. The intransigence of these arrogant people is alarming. Of course, attention to changing the culture is critical but the further down the slope we go the harsher the eventual response.
david, Bromley,
When Brits regain their right of self-defense to tackle thugs, -----without the fear of the police charging them with assault, then communities will police themselves better.
Here in the US I keep a loaded .38 revolver under my bed.The sign on my window reads- beware of the owner, not the dog !
wilfred knight, orange county , usa
Glasgow East will not be won by the Tories or the SNP. It will be retained by Labour. Society in parts of Glasgow has been broken for a very long time.
The only time politicians take an active interest in areas such as the Gallogate is when it is politically expedient for them to do so.
P Flannery, Glasgow,
"What is extraordinary is that Labour has surrendered the fight against the broken society to the Conservatives."
Why is this 'extraordinary' ? It is precisely the neo-Marxist agenda pursued by the left (Labour Party) for the last fifty years which has brought us the "broken society".
Stephen Tolkinghorne, Hexham, Northumberland
How can I feel safe in the country where the government forbids me to carry any gun for self-defence ? Thugs are carrying knives and guns anyway, it is included in their "profession". And as decent citizen I don't wont to break the law. So I am defenceless.
Adrian, Glasgow,