David Wighton: Business Commentary
2 for 1 tickets to Singin' In The Rain, this coming Monday. Book now
The Bank of England has finally unveiled the bucket with which some had hoped it would bail out the mortgage market. It is small, expensive and full of holes.
That, of course, is deliberate. The Bank does not want to bail out the banks. It does not even want to bail out the mortgage market (politically convenient though that might be).
The idea is not to return to the “excessive” lending of a year ago, says Mervyn King.
Quite right, too. The housing market needs to adjust and propping up mortgage lending will only delay the pain.
The banks all greeted the package enthusiasically, with Barclays becoming the first to pledge to use it. The scheme will provide at least some support to the inter-bank lending market, which should, in turn, improve the supply of credit both to consumers and to companies.
Whether it will have much impact on the price of that credit remains to be seen. The terms on which the banks will be able to swap their hard-to-sell assets for liquid government debt are rather more onerous than expected. Even the optimists say that it will take some time for the new funding to be reflected in the market. Three-month sterling Libor, the rate at which banks lend to each other, barely moved yesterday. And it is still almost one percentage point above the base rate.
It is fair to point out that had the scheme been put in place last summer, Northern Rock would not have collapsed. But at least the Bank has shown that now it is prepared to take radical action to protect the economy from the banks’ problems. If it does not work, the assumption is that the Bank will try something else and its new determination has had a significant impact on confidence.
Yet back in the mortgage market, the best that can be expected in the short term is that the new scheme might cap rate rises. With beautiful timing, Abbey raised many of its lending rates yesterday.
Although there is no ceiling on the new facility, the likely extent of the Bank’s lending is relatively small compared with the banks’ wholesale funding needs. Nor does the new scheme do anything for small building societies which are not eligible.
Capital Economics, admittedly always gloomy about house prices, took one look at the Bank’s scheme and got gloomier still. Now it is predicting that average prices will fall 20 per cent from last year’s peak. This is not what the Government wants to hear, but it makes it all the more extraordinary that some politicians are talking about the need to provide more help for first-time buyers.
To encourage first-time buyers two years ago was irresponsible. To do so now seems downright criminal.
Enjoy screenings of all the classic films you love, plus take advantage of two-for-one tickets
Have you ever dreamed of owning your own racehorse or a beautiful painting?
Enjoy comfort, safety, space and great design. Plus enter our great competition
Times Online's new TV show helps you make the right decisions for your pet
Are you California dreaming? Explore the wonders of the Golden State. Also enter our fantastic competition
Do you have what it takes to be a Times photographer?
Your brain is capable of more than you might think...
Find out to make the most of your money with our wealth management guides
Need help with your property? We have an entire how to guide - buying, selling, letting, moving, to help you
We are seeking entries for the inaugural Sunday Times Best Green Companies Awards
Enjoy some wonderful inspiring wildlife moments
An interactive preview of the brand new For Your Eyes Only exhibition

Love Sudoku? Play our brand new interactive game: with added functionality and daily prizes

Are you irritable when you return from work? Drained of emotion? You could be suffering from boreout
Prepare for some shock and awe, petrol lovers. Despite the greens trying to wipe it out, the car is about to offer us the most exciting year ever
We've trawled the brochures and websites to find this summer’s best holidays for every taste and budget

Why good girls pay good money for bad-girl baubles

Search The Times Births, Deaths & Marriage announcements
2007/07
£57,500
South East England
2007/07
£40,995
South East England
2006/06
£41,995
South East England
Great car insurance deals online
£40-55k+benefits+uncapped commission
Morgan Keating
South East
Up to £30,000
GLE
London
£
c£75,000 + executive benefits
Morgan Keating
London and South
Unpaid with travel expenses
Network Rail
Globrix, the property search engine
Visit Times Online Property for homes for sale or rent
Residential development site with planning permission
£1,500,000
Mortgages, bank accounts & money transfers to help you buy abroad
Dinarobin Hotel Golf & Spa 7 nights
From £1830 per person – saving £530.
Walking & multi-activity holidays in Cauterets. Stylish self-catering apartments.
From 350€ for 7 nights.
SAVE 25% on Sandals Luxury Resorts
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times. Search globrix.com to buy or rent UK property.
© Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
What the government is saying to the banks is âplease re-inflate the housing bubble otherwise weâll lose the next election.â Of course they cannot because they have run out of money.
R Mason, London, UK
So why aren't we being bailed out by the european central bank, like so many other countries? We are part of europe.
Aren't we?
Mike Poulsen, Reading, Berkshire
I think that last point is the key:
First timer buyers need help through a correction via lower property prices, not through easy access of high levels of debt
Otherwise, blatanty, it is a vicious circle of increases that ultimately leads nowhere
Ian, manchester, uk