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Warren Buffett has emerged as a possible buyer of the insurance arm of Royal
Bank of Scotland (RBS).
Speaking at the annual meeting of his Berkshire Hathaway investment group
yesterday, Mr Buffett said that his business was “close” to buying a
medium-sized British company and would look at the possible sale of RBS’s
insurance unit.
Last month RBS said that it was considering selling all or part of RBS
Insurance, Britain’s second-largest general insurer, which includes the
Direct Line and Churchill brands, to bolster its balance sheet. Analysts
have valued it at up to £8 billion.
Mr Buffett, who was responding to reports that he may be interested in Direct
Line, also told journalists that he believed that the US economy was now in
recession. He said: “I would define that as a situation where people are
doing less well than they were three months, six months or eight months
earlier and most businesses find themselves in that position too.”
Separately, Mr Buffett’s new bond insurer emerged as the biggest underwriter
of American local government securities in its first full quarter of
operation, taking in $400 million of premiums relating to an estimated $20
billion of municipal bonds.
Mr Buffett claimed that the volume of new bond insurance policies underwritten
by his dedicated municipal securities business in the first quarter of this
year was not only the largest in the United States, but could be even larger
than all its rivals combined.
Mr Buffett set up Berkshire Hathaway Assurance in December, at the prompting
of New York insurance regulators.
Last week Richard Blumenthal, Connecticut’s attorney-general, said that he was
examining a “clear and direct conflict of interest” between the new bond
insurer and Mr Buffett’s long-held stake of nearly 20 per cent in Moody’s
ratings agency as part of a broader study of the ratings industry.
Before the shareholders’ meeting, Mr Buffett commented on the case for the
first time, denying that there was any conflict. He said: “It would be wrong
if we tried to pressure Moody’s, but that never happened. I have no contact
with the management of Moody’s.”
If Berkshire Hathaway, a company with about $40 billion of cash and holdings
in household names such as Coca-Cola and Tesco, were not rated AAA, Mr
Buffett said, he was not sure which company would be.
Many bond insurers were hit hard by the surge in claims relating to the
mortgage securities that they had underwritten.
Regulators were worried that the ability of local government to raise money
for public projects, such as roads and bridges, would be severely hampered
if existing insurers could no longer guarantee new municipal bonds.
Mr Buffett said that Berkshire Hathaway’s 30-person insurance operation had
underwritten 278 securities, including about $750 million of bonds to
finance two water projects in Detroit. He said that many of these bonds had
been insured by existing AAA-rated underwriters but that their owners were
concerned about their ability to meet potential claims in the wake of the
sub-prime mortgage meltdown.
Berkshire Hathaway was charging an average of “two and a fraction of a per
cent” to underwrite these bonds, against the 1 per cent typically charged by
its competitors, Mr Buffett said. The $400 million of premiums received thus
indicate $20 billion of bonds.
“It tells you something about the state of AAA when they are paying us to
write business that is already insured,” Mr Buffett said.
His municipal bond insurer further illustrates how Mr Buffett is using his
cash to his benefit as credit markets dry up. Last week, he agreed to take a
19 per cent stake in Wrigley’s for $2.1 billion as part of Mars’s $23
billion takeover of the chewing gum group. His stake comes at half the price
Mars paid Wrigley’s shareholders because he stumped up $4.4 billion that was
crucial to financing the transaction.
On Friday, Berkshire Hathaway unveiled first-quarter profits down 64 per cent
to $940 million after recording a $1.6 billion loss on derivatives contracts
under accounting rules. Mr Buffett said he was confident of profiting from
these contracts in the long term.
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