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President Bush issued a call for a rise in the value of the US dollar on currency markets yesterday in a signal of mounting official alarm in Washington about the effect of the slumping greenback on the world’s largest economy.
In an exclusive interview with The Times on the eve of the United States-European Union summit in Slovenia, Mr Bush expressed concern about the dollar’s continuing weakness and said that he favoured an appreciation in the US exchange rate.
“We want the dollar to strengthen,” he said on Air Force One as it crossed the Atlantic bound for the summit.
The President did not suggest that the United States was preparing to back its rhetoric on the dollar with any formal intervention in the exchange markets. He said that the “relative evaluations of economies will lead to that dollar strengthening”.
However, his remarks clearly reflected the concern in Washington at the dollar’s decline, which accelerated last week amid news of a further weakening in the US economy.
Henry Paulson, the US Treasury Secretary, in an interview on American television yesterday, hinted at a growing inclination in Washington to prop up the dollar. Mr Paulson said that he “would never take intervention off the table”. The dollar rallied 1.3 per cent against the yen to Y106.23 amid hopes of intervention. The euro fell 1 per cent to $1.5626.
In a further signal of official US concern, Mr Bush said before he left Washington that he would raise the issue of the economy and the need for a strong US dollar at the summit, which begins today. He added that Mr Paulson would discuss the global economy at a meeting of the Group of Eight finance ministers in Tokyo this week. The US currency has fallen by more than 40 per cent against the euro and by 36 per cent against sterling in the past six years. While that has helped US exporters and has made American goods more competitive at home, it has helped to unleash inflationary pressures.
The Bush Administration and the US Federal Reserve have been strongly criticised in America for not doing more to support the dollar. Critics argue that the central bank’s interest-rate reductions in the past nine months, designed to save the economy from the full effects of the global financial crisis, have pushed the dollar into dangerous freefall. Although the Bush Administration has said repeatedly that it supports a strong dollar, it has declined so far to take any direct action to support the currency.
On Friday the Labour Department reported that unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points in May, the largest monthly increase in more than 15 years. On the same day, oil prices recorded their sharpest one-day increase in history and equities tumbled by more than 3 per cent.
In yesterday’s interview, the President expressed confidence that the US would emerge in good shape from the crisis but acknowledged that the short-term outlook was still challenging. “We are a robust, flexible economy. No question we’re having a tough time, as are other nations,” he said.
Last week Ben Bernanke, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, hinted for the first time that the central bank was concerned about the weakening dollar and suggested that the Fed was unlikely to cut interest rates again soon. Mr Bernanke sparked speculation that the Fed and the US Treasury might intervene on the dollar last week when he said that he was working with the Treasury to “formulate policy” that would prevent the dollar from declining further.
Kevin Logan, chief economist at Dresdner Kleinwort, the investment bank in New York, said: “There is clearly some unity of purpose between them and they are really concerned about dollar depreciation and the related inflation expectations.”
The last time the US intervened to support the dollar was during the Clinton Administration.
Mr Paulson also indicated that Washington has no current plan of action to deal with the rising price of oil.
— Tomorrow: the full interview with Bush on Iraq, relations with Europe — and the future of Gordon Brown
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I think at this rate, Israel will have to ask the De Rothschild to provide their AID in future because they have all the money and Gold in the world.
Daphne kenward, Cambridge, UK
Oil per barrel is really $33.5 Dollars because the USD is kept artifically high, they have to exchange $134 per barrel but if you say $134/4 = 33.5 pb. so OPEC countries want to switch to Euros because it is more stable. Then the USD will be baced on nothing in otherwords worthless.
daphne kenward, cambridge, uk
In the long run expect war. The US is in deep trouble and all empires in decline externalize their trauma. If in doubt, just look at the damage France and Britain did to Africa, Asia and the Middle East as they gave up the will to dominate.
Daniel, London, UK
Amercias is now a spent force.
If there was any fairness in this world, investment would be pump into africa. Has nobody thought there's a whole continent there that could be taken advantge of?
richard, gibralter,
Bush might want to have a word with UST first, and tell them to stop wandering the globe threatening countries and financial institutions with reprisals if they continue to trade with countries that the US doesn't like.
This bullying is causing countries to dump the dollar.
dj, London,
I tend to agree with my compatriot, Daphne Kenward, who says, "The true value of the dollar is 4 cents. The paper and the ink." The value of paper currency is based on trust in the issuing bank. I have no trust in the Zimbabwean Central Bank and not much in the Fed. Let's have a gold standard again!
Geoffrey Woollard, Cambridge, England
John, New York. There are more currencies in the world than the pound and euro. The USD over the last 30 years has had it's value eroded by the FED and their printing press. Look at the long term decline of the dollar and understand why Americans are going to have to curb their consumerism.
Edward, London,
The fact that the US debt is denominated in USD the drop in the price of the dollar is equivalent to a default. The problem is that the biggest creditor is China wich has the Yuan pegged to the dollar efective neutralizing the effect.
Norberto, Baires,
The fastest way to bring the dollar back on course would be for George Bush to resign. His Presidency started the rot, and his resignation should,at the very least, put the brakes on it. He has been a financial disaster to the States,.as he was to every business that he touched.
Marc, Paris, France
"US economy is collapsing - hopefully will rebuild in the pre-WW2 model and ditch the large corporations that have destroyed that once great nation"...funny, it was in fact the corporations (or industrials) who created the Federel Reserve in the first place. It is about the rich gaining more control
Con, Valencia,
This is what happends when u have cheep labor moved to china.
People in USA pull their money out of market based on speculation therefore causing economic destabilization.
Its all based on speculation
Mark B, Anderson, USA
Absolute tosh. Bush & co are deliberately devaluing the dollar to get rid of their crippling debt.
Baker & Baldwin - the Pres was clearly 'avin a larf with you - you didn't actually think he was *serious*, did you? If so, I've got some gold I can sell you - it's gonna go up n up, honest...
Voland, Caen, France
Sounds Like a CALL TO ARMS to me
AGAIN!
if they do, dont be supprised to see the oil price go through the $300 a barrell, along with an utter US economic meltdown.
The US$ will become worth less than a Roll of Toilet paper (joining the Zimbabwe currency).
(OH! sorry, it already is)
simon, torquay,
every time governments try to support a currency they have failed.this is just hot air talk.even if they do prop it up it will be another nice opprtunity for speculators to sell dollar again but this time more aggressively.
they have never been successful and this time is no exception.
ebbi britt, valencia, spain
The 'strong $ policy' has been hugely misinterpreted by 99% of 'experts'. It originally went 'a strong $ is a reflection of a strong US economy', i.e. $ 'strength' is an end not a means. In Feb Bernanke said the soft $ effect in shrinking the trade gap was a 'positive development'.
Paul, London,
The US has a completely false economy based around the dollar and oil. This crazy economic system inevitably has to crash at some point even after eliminating opponents to oil currency change. I hope to see more investigative journalism on the subject and a more enlightened public.
Con, Valencia,
They just haven't worked it out yet have they... if you give all your work away to other countries this is the result. Workers at the lower end are unable to pay their mortgages and the crunch finally happens. Keep outsourcing, Flat World fans.,
Mark, UK,
The bigger you are the harder you fall !
jayil, london, uk
Bush, get the price of oil down, open up Alaska etc, do you not realise , no matter what you do , oil rules the world.global warming is less of a problem.
jim, donegal, ireland
The position of the dollar most accurately reflects the perception of the world on America and its actions. Of course you want it to strengthen George, but likewise we've been asking you for some integrity for the last 7½ years - it simply isn't going to happen anytime soon.
Richard Stevenson, Charlotte, USA
looks like obama is not going to b incharge of a the superpower - as the finiacial slip of america has been accelerated by george bushes - wasteful wars. Thank god america had too much power anyway.
LEt hope the pound doesnt free fall - as long as interest rates are maintained we - ok
amit hindocha, birmingham,
A weak dollar does not necessarily mean 'bad'. Let's focus on the PPP in developed countries.
patrick, vegas, usa
Oh, the irony...
Dave Hall, Stafford, UK
You couldn't make this up.. After 8 years of getting America into more and more debt in order to wage war, which has led to the weak currency, Bush suddenly expresses a vague desire for the dollar to rise.
Yes George, that'll sort it out..
Owen, London, UK
The Americans should start using their own Oil reserves rather than conserving theirs and using Middle Eastern supplies. This would help us all.
Dave Camoron, Basing, england
The US economy is collapsing - hopefully they will rebuild in the pre-WW2 model and ditch the large corporations that have destroyed that once great nation
James, London, UK
I think Bush should speak to the Fed rather than currency markets. Does he really not realise that the fall in the dollar and the rise in oil are both due to the ridiculous interest rate of 2%. Who in their right mind would put their money somewhere paying 2% with inflation running at 5-10%?
Simon, Epsom, UK
Moving forward...if you raise rates tomorrow in order to strengthen the dollar, equities will sell off and and commodities will jump even higher. During a credit crisis the fed has to make cash more accessible. That means lower rates. Now we are in a pickle and all Bernanke can do is sit at 2%
Jake, Noank, United States
If Bush was really concerned about the health of the $, he would not be allowing the FED TO INFLATE AWAY ITS VALUE, NOW, WOULD HE.
Bush/FED are using the only option available to them, to tackle the now out of control 'U.S. NATIONAL DEBT', CURRENTLY GROWING BY $3 billion PER DAY.
INFLATE IT AWAY.
Andy, Harrogate, UK
"official alarm in Washington about the effect of the slumping greenback on the worlds largest economy."
The EU is the world's largest Economy. The US is #2 now, thanks in part to the US Government's actions in relation to the dollar.
Ric, Chicago,
Maybe if the US Government and the Federal Reserve didn't commit so many inflation-causing actions, the US Dollar wouldn't be in the predicament it is currently in.
This is the fault of Bush, Bernanke, and their cronies.
Aaron Kinney, Los Angeles, USA
The true value of the dollar is 4 cents. The paper and the ink.
daphne kenward, cambridge, uk
History may well show that the FEDs panic reaction to slash interest rates last Autumn was one of the biggest economic mistakes in Post-War history.
stepehen hulton, eure, france
The article refers bewildering to "the dollars decline, which accelerated last week". For at least 2 months now the exchange rate quoted on Bloomberg has been constant at approx. 1.57 to the euro and 1.97 to the pound, except last week, when it briefly got about 1% stronger against both.
John, New York, NY
When the OPEC countries start demanding payment in Euros instead of Dollars for oil, as they are already muttering, the dollar will collapse. Who knows what the effects of that might be.
Anthony, Brum,
"reflected the concern in Washington at the dollar’s decline"
Thankfully this news will not effect Israel as we'll simply ask the U.S to provide our "aid" in Euro's.
Goldberg, Gaza, Israel