Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
As telecoms executives browse the latest video-enabled, rhinestone-encrusted mobiles at the 3GSM Conference in Barcelona, many will have just one thought on their mind: most of the world's population has never made a telephone call.
Telecoms companies are banking on that changing. They hope that demand for basic services in developing countries will drive growth, as more sophisticated technologies designed for western consumers misfire.
Despite a flurry of high-profile 3G announcements, there remain doubts that the technology – designed to deliver services such as video content – will recoup the billions invested in it.
In contrast, the developing world remains a massively attractive potential market. The Development Bank of Southern Africa claimed last year that only 51 million of the 1 billion people in Africa were mobile phone users.
Speaking in Barcelona today, Arun Sarin, the chairman of Vodafone Group, said the company has "a very good future" in regions such as Asia and eastern Europe.
In the more mature markets of western Europe and the United States, where intense competition has driven down profit margins, growth will only be achieved by investing in new services, such as 3G, broadband and entertainment, he added.
Vodafone has spent £5.1 billion in the past financial year alone marketing its 3G network.
Meanwhile, basic telecoms services that can be used to support economic development are seen as a key tool in the battle against poverty. Global penetration of telecoms services stands at around 30 per cent, according to industry estimates. The United Nations wants that figure to reach 50 per cent by 2015 as part of its anti-poverty Millennium Goals.
There are signs that mobile use is increasing. Bharti Enterprises, a leading player in the Indian market, has said India alone could add 150 million subscribers by 2010. The company has introduced cheap calls – costing around one-tenth of the price of calls in the United States – relying on massive volumes to drive profits.
Worldwide, after the 2 billion mobile phone user level was surpassed at the end of last year, equipment manufacturers have forecast the 3 billion user mark would be reached between 2008-2010.
More than 31,000 new clients are signing up on average for mobile services each day in countries such as Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, the Philippines, South Africa and South Korea, according to Ron Garriques, the head of Motorola’s mobile phone division.
Handset makers are tailoring their ranges accordingly. While In the West, the trend has been towards packing more functions on pricier phones, last year Motorola won a tender from the GSM association of leading mobile operators with a low-price model that costs around £20.
Have your say on the future of telecoms here.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.