Leo Lewis, Beijing
Win tickets to the ATP finals
Soaring public disgust at China’s shoddily-built “tofu” schools could cost the country $60 billion (£30 billion) in “quake-proofing” the country – half as much again as the bill for hosting the Beijing Olympics.
The calculation, made by analysts at Société Générale, came with a warning that this month's earthquake would have a “profound impact” on China’s investment spending.
The sum forecast by the French bank is needed to bring public buildings up to legal quake-proof standards and sharply increases the economic damage expected from the Sichuan earthquake.
Analysts believe that the Chinese Government may be forced to quell public dismay at what amounts to over a decade’s worth of questionable building standards in public infrastructure and construction.
“As public anger and grief grows, the Government will most probably be forced into a nationwide audit of all public structures,” Glenn Maguire, chief Asia economist at Société Générale, said.
Mr Maguire said he believed the Chinese authorities would make the reconstruction effort a national review and reinforcement programme, rather than begin a hasty attempt to rebuild Sichuan. “This could more than treble the direct economic loss from the destruction of property to $60 billion,” he told investors yesterday.
Images of the earthquake’s aftermath – played repeatedly on Chinese televisions for the past two weeks – have exposed the costs of rapid economic growth. The glittering new towers of Beijing and Shanghai may meet international quake-proofing standards, but the rules have been more loosely applied in the provinces.
While high quake-proofing standards were introduced by law in 1990 in China, observers say that it is highly unlikely that those codes were consistently followed or enforced outside the largest cities.
Millions of Chinese have now seen images of the father of a girl, who was crushed to death in her classroom, condemn the school as a poorly-built “tofu” structure.
Until last year, local governments were expected to bear half the expense for construction of local schools – a demand on strained provincial coffers that is believed to have led to corner-cutting, collusion with building contractors and widespread use of sub-standard building materials.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
36-month car lease
on contract hire for
£359.99 plus VAT pm
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
The UK's leading alternative to showroom finance.
Finance packages tailored to your needs.
Minimum loan of £15,000
Car Insurance
£12,578 per annum
The Independent Housing Ombudsman
London
Competitive
Barclaycard
Not Specified
The Sheppard Trust
London
£80-95,000
Clay McGuire Executive Selection
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.