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China’s booming economy is expected to consume more than half of the world’s key resources within a decade, according to Rio Tinto.
The rapid industrialisation of China’s economy means that it is likely to consume a majority of the world’s supply of all the major metals and minerals, potentially leading to clashes with other countries over access to resources. Rio Tinto, the world’s second-largest miner, said last week that China already accounted for 47 per cent of all iron ore consumption, 32 per cent of aluminium and 25 per cent of copper.
Tom Albanese, Rio’s chief executive, has predicted that within the next couple of years this will move to 58 per cent of all iron ore, 45 per cent of aluminium and a third of all copper. He said: “Even with the assumption that the current growth intensity will slow, we are looking at China consuming a higher percentage of global supply.”
Vivek Tulpule, Rio’s chief economist, said that with China likely to consume more than half of the world’s key resources within a decade, political concerns would be raised as the country seeks to control access to the resources its economy needs.
In 1990, China accounted for only about 5 per cent of all copper demand and 3 per cent of aluminium and iron ore. The country is already the largest buyer of nickel, copper, aluminium, steel, coal and iron ore. Only in oil does it fall behind, coming second to the United States.
By 2015, China will be consuming nearly a billion tonnes of iron ore a year. To meet this demand, large mining companies are ramping up production in areas such as Western Australia’s Pilbara region, which is geographically one of the closest ore deposits to China. Rio Tinto expects to increase its production in the Pilbara from 160 million tonnes a year to 320 million tonnes by 2013. BHP Bil-liton, the world’s largest miner, hopes to achieve 300 million tonnes by 2015.
Mr Tulpule said: “The US’s consumption of the key metals has been going backwards while China has continued to grow. Its share of global demand will continue to rise until about 2020 when other economies like India start to challenge.”
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China has bought Australia's Tobernite, 40% of the world's supply, to process inhto yellowcake uranium for the 27 and counting nuclear power plants in work and on the drawing boards.
Richard, Grantsville, Ut, USA
Australians recognised that China was the future of the world in terms of maintaining a stable and profitable economy long ago. For over 15 years the worlds two largest mining companies, both Australian, have been selling Iron Ore + everything else to China faster than they can dig it up. Why else is the Australian government budget in a $17billion surplus in the last year,(on top of $12b in 2005) and all other western countries are so heavily in debted they cant sell they national assets quick enough. The rest of the world is to late and will only get our scraps now. Our schools already have long taught chinese as a language, while English schools teach Italian? What benefit is that to your childs future? besides been able to order spaghetti and a coffee in Rome?
Australia has a long and friendly relationship with China dating back to the late 1980s, while the UK and US are only now realising their mistakes of ignoring them, good luck to you all when your countries are broke...
luke, perth, australia
A good point, which is being sidelined by global warming. Along with population, resources is a more immediate problem and one which isnt being publicly discussed. We ordinary mortals cant do anything about any of them, but it would be interesting to hear an informed view as to how the scarce resource problem is seen as affecting developed economies and how this might be managed; as a change from global warming.
Henry Percy, London, UK
Living here in OZ we are also riding on the back of the Chinese economy, struggling to find the labour to fuel our mining boom.
In past years, when the USA went in recession, so did Australia. Not any more. Our economy is more aligned with Asia than ever. With a constant budget surplus of 1% of GDP, expected to grow to 1.5% in the next 2-3 years, it is not only China that has a hunger for continual growth.
Nathan, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Many people in North America have the view that China is still behind the curve. I am living in China temporarily and I can tell you it is very modern and forward thinking in their strategic planning. 80% of the population ride electric scooters around Shanghai with special roads separated from the regular truck and car traffic. The new buildings have all the amenities and ABM are in no short supply. The large apartment complexes that the majority of the people occupy have all the conveniences that North America has and in some cases are replete with large swimming pools and beautiful gardens. The lights at night around Suzhou make North American cities look tame. When one sees how progressive the Chinese nation is , one can easily believe the predictions of future consumption.
Greg Nxon, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
With this increasing demand from China it appears that a company like Farallon Resources, of Canada, that will start production from their Mexican mine in July 2008, would not have to worry about securing a market for their output:
http://www.farallonresources.com/fan/Home.asp
Bill Freeman, Mesa, USA / Arizona