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Brown's struggle for HBOS | Leading article | Anatole Kaletsky | Gerard Baker | Carl Mortished | David Wighton
US shares wilted slightly today despite relatively upbeat trading in much of Asia and Europe, reflecting investor anxiety over the fate of the $700 billion banking bailout plan.
This morning, US shares fell by nearly 200 points, reversing yesterday's surprise rally, as investors worried how effective a bailout would be in averting recession for the economy. However, the Dow Jones recovered to close down 20 points at 10,831.07.
Investor anxiety followed shock new data from America's manufacturing sector revealed that activity has slumped to the lowest level since October 2001.
"Manufacturing could be on the brink of a collapse," Lindsey Piegza, a market analyst at FTN Financial told Bloomberg: "There are no orders, no jobs and there is really no incentive for businesses to invest. The credit crisis is compounding the problem."
The Institute for Supply Management's factory index showed that activity had fallen from 49.9 in August to 43.5 in September. Analysts had expected a reading of 49.5 in September.
This morning traders sent shares on the Dow Jones industrial average down 195.1 points as questions remained over what new terms will be contained in the rescue deal that was dramatically rejected by the House of Representatives on Monday evening. Investors are also believed to be nervous about how much support senators will give to the new deal as well as the exact timing of tonight's vote which can only take place after sundown in observance to the end of Jewish New Year.
On Tuesday, America’s Dow Jones industrial average rallied strongly to end trading 4.7 per cent higher following the previous day’s record 777.7 points fall — the biggest one-day points fall since Black Monday in 1987.
However, there were concerns that the rally in US shares may have lessened pressure on Washington lawmakers to push through a new rescue deal, which could include an agreement to increase the US Government’s guarantee on retail bank customers’ deposits.
In contrast to the US, London shares stayed in positive territory, closing up 39.42 points at 4,941.87, with HBOS and Lloyds TSB rising strongly after Prime Minister Gordon Brown stepped in to ensure the £12 billion deal will go through.
Yesterday HBOS, owner of Halifax and Bank of Scotland, suffered heavy losses on its share price when investors began to question the terms of Lloyds' offer to buy the troubled bank.
Mr Brown's intervention as well as hopes that Standard Life, a key investor in both banks, will support the deal helped send shares in HBOS and Lloyds higher.
However, HBOS stock, up 17 per cent at 144p, is still 23.4 per cent below the price per share Lloyds will pay for the company.
If the Senate vote through a revised deal tonight, and the House of Representatives follows suit, it is hoped it will restore confidence to the US and the global financial system and reduce the costs of borrowing between banks.
Earlier today, the Bank of England injected a further $30 billion into the wholesale market - where banks buy and sell each other's money - adding to the $40 billion it has injected since last Friday.
The injection helped reduce the cost of borrowing dollars between banks which spiked to 6.88 per cent yesterday, but fell back to 3.79 per cent today.
At the same time, demand for sterling has waned as banks scramble for dollars, and today the Bank of England drained £10 billion from the interbank market.
Earlier this week, the US Federal Reserve attempted to increase dollar liquidity by more than doubling its currency swap arrangement with global central banks from $290 billion to $620 billion.
Central lenders, including the Bank of England, can borrow dollars from the US to pump into their domestic financial systems with the aim of reducing the cost of borrowing between banks.
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Just to save Macc Plato anymore embarrassment, I didn't receive $10.000 and I don't know anyone who did. I should know, I live here!
Phil , Atlanta, USA
I think that those in power are very slowly coming to realize that this bailout is not going to create more confidence in consumers, but rather frighten them into thinking they are in an even more precarious position than they are now. Let us just hope they will come to realize this fast enough.
Raymond, Holden, MA, USA
It's all about liquidity, and the lack of it is causing problems in the Buy To Let market as terms for loans have tightened up and interest rates have risen thus causing a lot of properties to be put on standard Variable rate. This in turn makes the property financialy non-viable and causes default.
David Prince, Northwood, UK
How come no one objected to Black Monday being called Black Monday?
Paul G., Croydon, UK
Real wealth = natural resouces and the means to add value to them. False wealth = house values and a service economy. The shylocks have turned wealth into dust and invested in China and India. Magic or robbery the result is the same.
Clive Stringer, Eggesford, England
Let them fail
We will pick up the pieces like we have always done
Mankind is resiliant
billy, Cardiff, Wales
As a fiscal liberal, I am going to say something shocking. Why doesn't the govt declare a moratorium on income taxes for several months? I'm no economist, but having that extra money would mean I'd be able to pay off my bills.
Brett, Wilmington, DE , USA
It's chicken and egg, the "real" economy was already in decline, which caused the poverty which made people unable to repay their mortgages, consumer credit, bankers' credit, discredit.
john, tokyo,
What nobody seems to mention is that if we have a financial collapse then all asset prices will be reduced considerably. This takes away from the rich and gives the opportunity to the poor to gain a foothold. Propping up asset values is protecting the rich. No wonder Paulson & Bush want the bailout!
Simon, Epsom, UK
How do you control the world you control their information, it they don't know what is going on you have them. Who control the News media? check it out out. Why is it the same group. Why do they want to controll your access to information, what is in it for them?. Who control's the money has power
Daphne kenward, Cambridge, UK
The whole financial system is rotten to the core. No bail out, let's take the pain and try a new way for the future. Let us not be debt slaves any longer.
Chris, Oxford,
they already did that ,elisabeth, and it causes inflation. then again so will the bail out.
macc, pplatos, macedonia
Alternatively, why don't the "hard pressed mortgage holders" live with the results of their investment decision, go out and earn more to keep up with their payments or cut back on expenditure or sell the property and buy a cheaper one, or rent and give the asset back to the banks?
Laura Roberts, London, UK
Instead of throwing $700 billion into the black hole of the American Banking system, why not hand each family $10,000 dollars, which if my maths are right, would cost far less, so that money is put directly into the economy, increasing consumption, and helping hard-pressed mortgage holders.
elisabeth stevens, Rome, Italy