Ben Macintyre on Wall Street
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Wall Street looks the same: the same sharp-suited brokers swinging the same monogrammed attaché cases; the blue-jacketed traders smoking and gossiping outside the Stock Exchange; the same air of ambient wealth, gambling and nervous expectation.
Yet Wall Street has changed for ever, and everyone on it knows.
After the financial upheavals of the past few weeks, the voting-down of the bailout in Washington, the precipitous fall of the Dow on Monday, the landscape of the famous street looks very different. Yesterday a bulldozer was digging a large hole in front of the New York Stock Exchange: inside, the Earth has moved, too.
The change is partly structural, partly political and partly cultural. The five great investments banks that dominated Wall Street, and world finance, are no more: two have failed, one is selling up to Bank of America, and the others have become commercial banks. The era of the self-regarding, massively self-rewarding independent investment banker, the financial colossus of the past few years, is over. “The world has changed,” a spokesman for Morgan Stanley declared last week. It is, William Isaac, former chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, which helps to guarantee bank deposits, said, “the end of Wall Street as we have known it”.
The centre of financial gravity has abruptly shifted to Washington. It is the legislators who now hold America’s financial future in their hands. Those “Masters of the Universe” Tom Wolfe wrote about in Bonfire of the Vanities are now not even masters of Wall Street. Regulators are poised to bring the wild boys of the financial world to book, and to keep them reined in; the American public is determined that someone be made to pay.
But it may be the cultural shift that is most profound, and least easy to see. “Wall Street: RIP,” pronounced The New York Times last weekend. “A world of big egos. A world where people love to roll the dice with borrowed money, of tightwire trading, propelled by computers... that world is largely coming to an end.”
You could see the change in the taut faces of the workers filing into the Stock Exchange yesterday morning: they might have been lining up for a particularly gruelling and unpredictable exam. Most declined to speak.
The shift showed in little ways: at a coffee shop around the corner, one woman complained that her morning bagel was 20 cents more expensive than the day before. “It went up today? Already?” she exclaimed. “Bear Stearns, AIG, now my bagel . . .” she grumbled, a litany of economic woe.
Outside the shop, Rosario Catania was panhandling: “Done better then I expected,” he said. “Numbers went down 700 yesterday, but picked up again this morning.” On Wall Street, even the beggars are speculators.
Andrew Schlieman was walking an impossibly tiny dog, Kingston, outside the exchange. “I got out two years ago,” he said. “What's happening is the opposite of irrational exuberance. It’s the downside of capitalism, the opportunism and greed. It’s the American way. Gordon Gekko said it best, ‘Greed is good’,” a reference to the character played by Michael Douglas in the film Wall Street, which showed the street’s excesses at their most lurid, and most attractive.
For the past two decades the Gordon Gekkos have been envied and criticised, but often secretly admired, by the rest of America. Today they are loathed and vilified to a depth and with an intensity that has not been felt for 80 years. That fury vented itself, via Congress, with the rejection of the bailout Bill on Monday. Even if it hurts them, Americans want to hurt the people who got rich and made America ill on toxic credit.
“This is the most lucrative business on the planet, but there’s a right way to do it and wrong way,” Jim Foster, a broker at Gotham Realty Holdings, said. “The market will come back - in three, maybe four years . . .” That sentiment was widely expressed by Wall Street workers yesterday, but without the optimism and conviction that is characteristic of Wall Street, and vital to its success.
That is what has changed most fundamentally. The writer and economist John Kenneth Galbraith identified the essential ingredient of financial feel-good: “Speculation on a large scale requires a pervasive sense of confidence and optimism and conviction that ordinary people were meant to be rich . . . Such a feeling of trust is essential for a boom. When people are cautious, questioning, misanthropic, suspicious, or mean, they are immune to speculative enthusiasms.”
Enthusiasm was gone from Wall Street yesterday, replaced by a febrile uncertainty and a foreboding that 2008 might turn into 1929. Most economists do not believe that a Thirties-style Depression is in the offing. America’s irrepressible financial gamblers will find another way to make quick, huge money, and buy a bigger yacht. The earth will stop moving under Wall Street, and the bulldozer will leave. But as the tourists, brokers and traders look up at the ledges high above Wall Street, they are all wondering the same thing.
In fact there were only two suicide jumps related to the Crash of 1929 and tales of mass suicide became fact, based on rumour, fear and uncertainty. That, as the world has just seen, is how Wall Street works.
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Other countries would be wise to learn that many "American's" who over borrowed with liar liar loans were in fact aliens...the illegal variety who just packed it in and went back home. Taking their unpaid for vehicles with them along with leaving homes where 20 or 30 people lived. Greed is greed.
Pat, Gerber, United States
Other comments have said it but it bears repetition. All Americans who borrowed more than they could afford and cannot repay it are at fault. Strikingly, one sees very little evidence that this lesson is understood yet. Similarly, one sees very little questioning of the current account deficit.
harry, London, UK
Shran,, Cincinnati, has hit the nail on the head.
harry, London, UK
Its alright to blame human nature for real estate speculation.
But if "Ordinary Citizens" run small businesses like these so called Masters of the Universe, they go either bankrupt or to jail.
Because They cannot afford to hide behind their Lawyers and Accountants complicity.
Up the Revolution.
David, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England
More Galbraith quotes to be revisited in due course
- see his comments on 'the Bezzle', and 'net psychic wealth'.
dave hall, Stafford, UK
nothing that bad will happen that has not already happened Bush and co have simply woken up to the fact that the US economy, like ours, was built on the sand of debt, private and public, and they are panicking. the real wealth of both economies is still there and, barring hyperinflation will be
peter c, Devizes, Wessex
I suppose there is a considerable degree of schadenfreude in Moscow, and other Capitals around the world at this time.
the managers of their sovereign funds must be anticipating some real bargains just now. What is it about the last laugh???
Eddy, Bury St.Edmunds,
"Retention bonuses" for bailed out firms are already beginning. AIG to give cash retention bonuses to 150 executives - the same AIG that was bailed out to the tune of 85 billion dollars. Fact. Search it. WSJ. Got virtually no media coverage yesterday among the major US networks. Your $ at work
Steven, Colorado, USA
When these master of the universe are "brought to book" can we ensure we take the money back from them and put it into the bail out fund. These cretins have got to help pay for this right, royal balls-up. Failing that let's put then in the stock and lob rotten cabbages at them.
Chris, Chipping Norton,
I agree with Martin__human nature remains the same.Booms,busts and bubbles are the result. The next one is due in 2017.Mark it on your calendar. Signed: Oracle.
Richard Morris, Winchester,Massachusetts,
We were told we could have it all. 'As-seen-on-TV' syndrome. iPods, iPhones, iMacs, phones that had functions we didn't need, a new car every couple of years, more than one foreign holiday, large fridges, big screen televisions. Most of this luxury was funded via credit - electronic money...........
John, London,
It cant be all that serious if half of Congress have buggerd
off on bloody holiday can it !
ted OShea, wokingham, UK
Let's not forget the root cause of the financial markets collapse, it has been massive real estate speculation a global scale by ordinary working citizens. The same culture exists from China to Canada, human nature is at fault, not a narrow section of the economy.
Martin, London,
Wall street deserves what it is gettingj. Regular trading of securities, and mortgages was not enough for these greedy pinstriped yacht-toting greedy Ivy Leaguers. They took 250$ billion worth of bad mortgages, and gambled on them through Credit Default Swaps to make it a loss of trillions. Shame !
Billy Bob, Dallas, usa
There should be a Law against investing in something that has the potential to bring down yr bank. I believe that a good number of those dealers, managers and executives knew their investments were risky but took the money and ran! Some may be setup for life, arrests should be made. Its that simple.
Graham, St. Albans, uk
It 's not just the wall street 'sharks' that are to blame. The whole culture is addicted to easy money and the 'American Dream' has been morphed to mean $ 'Making it Big'.
The god given right to drive gas guzzling cars, invade other countries etc. while at the same time live in a bubble
Jo, SYDNEY, Australia
It's economically ignorant to lay blame at the foot of Wall St. The cancer started with the government-sponsored Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and spread to the entire financial system. Bush was an idiot for saving the cancer in the name of saving the patient. Cancer should be excised not fed.
Shran, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
An ordinary American will never accept the greed of Wall Street's baracudas to be his own characteristic. He/she is an honest, hard working, law abeying and tax paying person. The gamblers of the Wall Street must be put on trial for all their transgressions. Otherewise, there will be no peace.
Miro, Sacramento, California