Angela Jameson, Industrial Correspondent
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Customers who rushed back to British Gas after its price cuts earlier this
year are likely to be stung by increases in the new year after its parent
company, Centrica, gave the clearest signal yet that energy bills are on
their way up again.
In a trading update, Centrica told the City that rising wholesale gas prices
were creating a “difficult” environment for suppliers in the energy market.
Centrica said: “Looking forward, the high wholesale prices will, if sustained,
create a more difficult environment for retail energy suppliers in the UK
going into 2008. We will continue to monitor this with regard to future
pricing policy.”
British Gas, the UK’s biggest gas supplier, has been steadily losing customers
for the past decade. But 250,000 customers returned to the company this year
after it became the first supplier to pass on price cuts of up to 20 per
cent.
For the first time last year, Centrica supplied less than half of the UK’s
total market. Yesterday, however, it confirmed that it was now back
supplying 16 million customers.
Since February, annual forward gas prices for 2008 have risen 42 per cent,
from 33p a therm to 47p a therm – about 10p more than industry forecasts.
Spot prices have risen 55 per cent over the past year, to about 42p a therm,
from 27p.
Centrica said that the problem is that sharply rising gas prices have reduced
margins in the company's residential gas and electricity supply business in
the second half.
The high prices are also affecting Centrica’s business-to-business operation,
which supplies industrial and commercial customers with energy. Centrica
said that the operation made a loss in the final quarter of the year and
that the situation is likely to worsen in 2008, given forward gas prices.
Centrica’s power generation division, which supplies about 20 per cent of
British Gas’s needs, is expected to break even in the second half because-of
lower spark spreads – the difference between the cost of gas needed to fuel
power stations and the price that electricity fetches in the market - and
higher levels of plant outages.
Wholesale gas prices have been driven higher by soaring oil costs, a colder
start to the winter than last year and European players being able to buy
supplies in a more liberalised UK market.
Despite the rising gas price, Centrica’s overall pretax profits will be in
line with market expectations of a record £2 billion for 2007, its trading
statement said.
The UK’s leading energy suppliers are all poised to follow British Gas’s lead.
npower, the third-biggest supplier, confirmed yesterday that customers
following its tracker plan will face increases of 17 per cent for gas and 13
per cent for electricity from January 1 next year. npower’s increases will
mean an average £87 more a year on gas bills and a £44 annual rise for
electricity bills for tracker plan customers.The increases to the tracker
rate are significant because they give an indication of how much standard
tariffs are likely to rise.
Analysts said that it now looked increasingly likely that standard tariffs
would have to rise by 15 per cent, which would mean consumers having on
average to pay an extra £137 a year.
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