Elizabeth Judge, Telecoms Correspondent
2 for 1 tickets to Casablanca, this coming Monday
In December 1942, Bing Crosby’s White Christmas blared out from a simple gramophone. Now, instead of huddling around a phonograph, music fans are downloading the seasonal favourite on to their mobile phones.
The change owes mainly to the arrival of the Apple iPhone, which has set off an avalanche of traditional mobile phone operators into the music market. They fear that a vital source of revenue could be seized from under them.
The market has huge potential: consumers could be spending as much as $32 billion (£15.5 billion) a year buying music on their handsets by 2010, analysts believe. And the success of the iPhone - Orange sold 30,000 in five days – has served to focus Vodafone and its rivals on trying to snare a chunk of the revenue.
Paolo Pescatore, director of operator strategy at CCS Insight, the telecoms research group, says: “The awareness of the iPhone as a device, and its powerfulness, has forced the mobile companies to react and consider their own initiatives.”
In September Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile company, offered subscribers access to a vast catalogue of music for less than £2 a week. It dubbed the service, which lets consumers download the latest tunes regardless of their location, a “completely new movement within mobile music”.
Last week Nokia, the world’s biggest mobile manufacturer, went further by promising buyers of its handsets free access to millions of songs for a year. One analyst described the service, offered jointly with Universal, as a potential “game changer”.
Meanwhile, a study by Informa Telecoms & Media found that both the mobile operators and the music industry were “staking much of their future in this market”.
Music has long been on the radar of the mobile operators, as emphasised by their sponsorship of events including Virgin Mobile’s V Festival and O2’s Wireless Festival.
Since splashing out £22.5 billion on 3G licences the phone companies have tried desperately to coax users into more lucrative data services – such as music, games and e-mailing – instead of only calling and texting.
Music, with its wide-reaching appeal, has been singled out as the most likely route to success. Consumers have been able to download and pay for tracks and ringtones over their phones for some time, but inadequate handsets and slow downloading speeds have limited demand.
Mark Mulligan, of Jupiter Research, says: “To buy tracks on a phone, users have had to click through maybe five steps. The battery life of the phone has been an issue and it has basically been an inferior experience to buying music off the internet.”
Cost has also been an issue: the ability to access music instantly, irrespective of location, merits a premium price, according to mobile operators. Orange, for example, charges 99p a track compared with 79p charged by Apple’s iTunes store. As a result, many users simply transfer their music catalogues from their PC on to their phone rather than shop in the “record stores” run by phone operators.
Jupiter calculates that, across Western Europe, mobile downloads have generated only €105,500 (£70,700) this year. Separate research from M:Metrics, the mobile data group, found that, of the 36 million people who listened to music on their mobile phone from April to June in the US and Europe’s five largest markets, fewer than 14 per cent had downloaded tracks from their phone company.
The slow take-up has also troubled the music majors, which are struggling with their worst year. The industry is desperate to boost digital sales, which, though rising, have yet to make up for fast-falling CD sales. The mobile phone, with its huge reach, could be its saviour.
Edgar Bronfman, the chairman and chief executive of Warner Music, has described the mobile platform as “by far and away the biggest opportunity for entertainment generally and music specifically”. But he also said that if phone companies did not smarten up their act and offer more competitive services, they would be forced to “watch their share of the opportunity diminish” as the likes of Apple cash in.
Rob Lewis, the chairman of Omnifone, Vodafone’s music partner, insists that they are up to the task. “All the pieces of the jigsaw are now coming together,” he says. “An entire album can now be downloaded on a mobile in less than one minute.”
He is confident that his service can give Apple “a run for its money in digital music provision”.
Critics point out that Nokia has not said how much users of its free service will have to pay for one of its “Comes with Music” handsets. But analysts are confident. As Mr Pescatore says: “If Nokia is true to its word about this service, this will be the breakthrough which will fundamentally transform the mobile music market.”
Enjoy screenings of all the classic films you love.
Have you ever dreamed of owning your own racehorse or a beautiful painting?
Enjoy comfort, safety, space and great design. Plus enter our great competition
Allow Times Online TV show, Perfect Pets help you make the the right pet decisions
Are you California dreaming? Explore the wonders of the Golden State. Also enter our fantastic competition
Do you have what it takes to be a Times photographer?
Your brain is capable of more than you might think...
Find out to make the most of your money with our wealth management guides
Need help with your property? We have an entire how to guide - buying, selling, letting, moving, to help you
We are seeking entries for the inaugural Sunday Times Best Green Companies Awards
Enjoy some wonderful inspiring wildlife moments
An interactive preview of the brand new For Your Eyes Only exhibition

Love Sudoku? Play our brand new interactive game: with added functionality and daily prizes

Are you irritable when you return from work? Drained of emotion? You could be suffering from boreout
Prepare for some shock and awe, petrol lovers. Despite the greens trying to wipe it out, the car is about to offer us the most exciting year ever
We've trawled the brochures and websites to find this summer’s best holidays for every taste and budget

Chance to win BMW PGA Championship tickets
2007/07
£57,500
South East England
2007/07
£40,995
South East England
2006/06
£41,995
South East England
Great car insurance deals online
£40-55k+benefits+uncapped commission
Morgan Keating
South East
£60k plus excellent benefits
Barclaycard
Stockton / Northampton
£
£55,000 - £75,000 plus bonus and benefits
Diligenta
Based in Peterborough
£45,000 - £70,000 plus bonus and benefits
Diligenta
Based in Peterborough
Globrix, the property search engine
Visit Times Online Property for homes for sale or rent
Residential development site with planning permission
£1,500,000
Mortgages, bank accounts & money transfers to help you buy abroad
Dinarobin Hotel Golf & Spa 7 nights
From £1830 per person – saving £530.
Walking & multi-activity holidays in Cauterets. Stylish self-catering apartments.
From 350€ for 7 nights.
Walt Disney World Resort Florida SALE!
From £619 per person!
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times. Search globrix.com to buy or rent UK property.
© Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Selling only 30,000 units does not make it a failure. Maybe it was just bad reporting on the part of the media that made a claim of the higher numbers. You're saying those numbers are disappointing, but who are you to judge that. It was the fastest selling phone in U.K. ever. Who's to say that more people won't eventually purchase the iPhone when friends show them how well it works. 3G or no 3G it still is simple to use even if it lacks key features.
Yes it is expensive, maybe unjustifiably so. Yet it is still being sought after with it's outlandish price. The Nokia N95 has far more features, but people will still pay more for the iPhone than the Nokia. It's stupid and makes little sense, but that's how humans are. Something to do with the law of supply and demand for sought after items.
Constable Odo, New York, NY
The Telcos, mobil phone companies and music cartels hate it that iPhone users simply load their iPhones with trax they have already bought from iTunes or ripped from their CDs instead of paying a premium for buying new tracks over their overpriced networks.
It doesn't matter whether you think the iPhone is overpriced or not. It IS having a major impact on the wireless industry.
Synthmeister, Smalltown, USA
The Telecoms people are starting to look like the Record companies who have even now caught on to the digital music revolution, still moaning about dropping CD sales...
The way for the Telecoms to get payback for their investment in 3G is not to try to offer more services, music, TV, etc,, but to improve the service they paid for. I am sure we all would pay more for a decent, no limits, 3G access to the internet. And then 4G and then can we dream of 100Mb/s? Who has any plans for that?
Telecom companies must go back to their core business, shipping bits from A to B at the lowest cost. Not trying to determine what the bits are, music, voice, data etc, this is irrelevan o their main task.
Antony Watts, Palma, Mallorca, Spain
So, we need one device to work as an iPod (fine but I already have one, with more storage), a 2 MP camera (again I already have a far better - and smaller - 5MP camera) and a phone that's not actually full 3G, do we? And what will we do when we want to update one of these devices? Buy the whole damn lot again, I suppose.
Daft idea. Great Marketing. Apple all over.
David Hoggard, York,
Just a minute, the iphone was sold out at launch, revised to have sold 100,000, then to 60,000, then to 30,000.
Now its changed to "tipped as a Christmas best seller".
Lets face it, the iphone is a flop. Massively overpriced and like many apple products, far too fragile.
Lets move on to the next new thing shall we, the mediaâs obsession with everything âiâ it getting old.
Steve, London,
Unlike the iPhone, competitors build throwaway phones that are built to be replaced each year. Why would someone trust their music collection to such a device. It is much more securely managed and stored with iTune, then synced with any iPhone or iPod we want, safely and forever.
James Katt, Monterey, CA