Marcus Leroux and Robert Lindsay
Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
Shoppers face a “price shock” in the coming months as merchandise sold at record discounts in the sales gives way to stock made more expensive by the slump in sterling.
Next, one of the three biggest clothing retailers, said yesterday that the exchange rate would be a big issue for the retail sector over the coming year.
The Times has learnt that Monsoon Accessorize is facing a supplier revolt because of the slump in the pound. It has written to suppliers asking for a 5 per cent cut in costs. Peter Simon, the fashion chain's founder, who took the retailer private last year in a deal that valued it at £755 million, wrote to suppliers before Christmas asking for a “contribution” after the slump in the pound and poor conditions on the high street. After Christmas the group sent another letter to suppliers asking for a firm 5 per cent reduction.
The pound has fallen more than 25 per cent against the dollar since the summer, driving up the prices of goods imported from the Far East. Anita Manan, senior analyst for Experian, said yesterday that customers had grown accustomed to the record discounts seen either side of Christmas and warned of a re-adjustment period.
Simon Wolfson, chief executive of Next, said that after interest rate cuts and declines in fuel bills, retailers are likely to be able to pass on price increases to consumers. “If you look at everything, also food, these prices have risen and the consumer has had to swallow them. The nature of our product is that it isn't a commodity. What matters is whether you like a pair of jeans, not whether you will pay £20 for them instead of £21.” In Next's case, any price rises are likely to be felt in the summer rather than the spring because it hedges against currency movements six months ahead.
Sam Hart, at Charles Stanley, the broker, said: “Sterling's weakness is expected to be a major issue for the group, as a high proportion of goods are sourced from Asian countries with dollar-denominated currencies, and to a lesser extent from the eurozone. The full impact is expected to be felt in the second half, and is likely to lead to significant upward pressure on prices and downward pressure on gross margin.”
Like-for-like sales at Next's 347 stores fell by 7 per cent in the five months between July 29 and December 24. Unlike Debenhams, which yesterday reported like-for-like sales down 3.3 per cent during the 12 weeks to January 3, Next held sales before Christmas.
Shares in Next rose 136p to £12.27 - 12 per cent - yesterday, despite Andrew Varley, the property director, selling 10,000 of his shares after the rise yesterday afternoon.
Debenhams, which imports 65 per cent of its goods from the Far East, is hedged at $1.90 until the end of March. Shares in the department store group rose 5p, or 20 per cent, to 34p as analysts welcomed the fact that like-for-like sales declines were in line with expectations.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Some retailers are dreaming. Food is an essential purchase, a pair of jeans are not. If people do gain something from cheaper food it is unlikely to be spent on non essential purchases.
R Harvey, Hitchin, uk
They Will not make "Sales"!
Paul, Manchester, UK
Anyone must know that a weaker currency leads to higher prices.A country effectively imports inflation.
The lower interest go go,the faster they will have to rise 12 months from here.
Be prepared.
James, Marbella, Spain
But the government told us the trashing of the Pound was a good thing?
Our thriving export industries are going to pull us out of recession. No?
Tom Brewer, Slough, UK
Retailers face a bigger shock when shoppers don't buy and they don't meet volume targets agreed with suppliers. I think Next and Debenhams figures today mask the bleeding obvious. And by end of January, both of these companies are going to be under stress when they are short sold.
Michael, West Midlands,
Its not difficult for the Bank of England to spot this...is it? I hope they leave interest rates where they are.......wait and see how this next quarter pans out.
Billy, Bangkok, Thailand