Steve Hawkes
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The Bank of England will come under intense pressure to cut interest rates this week as figures out today show that the high street suffered its worst Christmas for three years.
The British Retail Consortium will report that like-for-like sales across the sector rose by only 0.3 per cent in December, almost three times lower than the bleakest City forecasts.
Clothing, furniture and DIY chains all suffered from the spending slow-down that continues to fuel fears of possible store closures and job losses in the coming months.
Kevin Hawkins, director-general of the BRC, said it was vital that the Bank of England cut interest rates by half a point – to 5 per cent – this Thursday and take them down to 4.5 per cent by the summer.
Mr Hawkins said: “There are few glimmers of light out there. The sooner the Bank starts cutting rates, the sooner it will feed through to consumers and ensure a softer landing.”
Mark Price, managing director of Waitrose, yesterday said that a rate cut would boost sentiment across the high street. He said: “I think we are all agreed that 2008 looks like being a much tougher year for retail and there’s no doubt that the consumer has less to spend.”
The BRC’s monthly sales figures for December show that supermarkets were one of the few sectors to boost sales in the run-up to Christmas. Sales of large electrical goods, DVD players, footwear and women’s wear were all softer.
Helen Dickinson, head of retail at KPMG, said she feared that consumer spending may grow by just 1 per cent this year, the lowest rate since 1992.
Retailers endured another difficult day on the Stock Exchange amid mounting fears over the possible fall-out from one of the toughest trading spells in recent memory.
More than £250 million was wiped from J Sainsbury’s market value after The Times revealed that it had missed internal sales and profit targets in December. Shares in the supermarket chain fell 14½p to 391p, the lowest since September 2006. The fall is a further blow to Robert Tchenguiz, the property tycoon, who bought a 10 per cent stake in the summer.
Kingfisher, owner of the B&Q DIY chain, slipped 5 per cent, Next dropped 4.6 per cent and Marks & Spencer fell nearly 4 per cent ahead of its Christmas update tommorrow.
The gloom surrounding the economy may deepen if, as expected, Halifax reports today that house prices fell again in December.
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee begins its two-day interest rate meeting tomorrow. It cut interest rates to 5.5 per cent in December, the first reduction for two years.
However, many economists believe that fears over inflation, fuelled by record petrol prices and rising gas bills, may force the MPC to wait until February or March before taking the next move down.
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Article should have read:
The Bank of England will come under intense pressure to cut interest rates this week by vested interests eager to raise inflation, longterm borrowing costs, Imports, gas and electricity and the price of petrol and gold as figures out today show that the high street gravy train didn't manage to lure british consumers further into debt.
Jon Poole, London,
Here we go again. Same old story from those who forget that the Bank of England's only remit when setting rates is the inflation target.
"Let's borrow more and binge till we drop" time from the retailers and property speculators.
Alex Ritchie, Salisbury, UK
What a load of tosh can we have the overall shopping figures to at least make this article sensible & accurate, yes retail figures may show a slowdown on the highstreet.
Though if you factor in online shopping I bet records we're broken.
Overall I'd say it was a bumper year for the retail market (just more folk are purchasing online)
Nice try......sounds like some folk are getting desperate.
John, Manchester,
I don't understand all this talk of interest rate cuts at a time when inflation is over target and the outlook is that it will rise. Surely cutting interest rates will further damage the pound there by increase the costs of goods we import. One could argue that this helps what little manufacturing we have, however I do believe we import more than we export. So the result is even higher inflation.
Eric, Ashford, Kent
I can see a future where all shopping is done online and we can redevelop our town centers into parks and cycle tracks.
Or maybe that is just a dream...
Jim, Oulu, Finland
Online retailers offer better service and merchandising. Most retail stores seem to have slow checkouts, long queues, no stock, and an attitude towards customers of trying to fleece them.
It is amazing how much easier it is to find items on EBay than in a shop - VHS head cleaner for example. Shops use scanners to stock fast-moving lines only and variety is gone; unless you want the basics it is always better to shop online and find variety.
British retailers are awful compared to those in Dusseldorf and shopping is a dreary experience I happily forego. I never spend more than £20 on anything in a store nowadays preferring Amazon or others for speed of delivery and checkout
CCTV, Halifax, England
How can retailers expect things to be good with a £1.4 trillion debt mountain.If most people are sensible and cut back their spending,then shops selling things people don't really need are going to suffer.The UK population cannot live on credit forever.Will cutting rates help reduce the debt mountain?
stephen hulton, eure, france
I wholeheartedly agree with cww, sufolk. Hopefully the Bank of England is far more aware of the effect of the astounding success of on line retailers and will ignore the BRC who represent yesterdays men. (Look at the success of John Lewis and tesco.) The inflation tiger is alive and kicking. Please let us not repeat the mistakes of the late sixties and early seventies.
Colin Grant
Montreal
colin Grant, Montreal, Canada
But online sales are soaring, so overall sales must be well up on last years. Wish the BRC would stop whinging. They should be grateful that high street sales have not gone down. There are far more savers than there are mortagees so any rate cut could well backfire...
cww, suffolk,
So Mr Hawkins wants runaway inflation, then?
Bruce Robertson, Brighton, UK