Steve Hawkes and Miles Costello
Win VIP tickets
Fears over the fallout of the global credit crunch grew yesterday as Signet, the jewellery retailer, and Pendragon, Britain’s biggest car dealer, blamed growing economic uncertainty for stark profit warnings.
Shares in Pendragon plunged by nearly 35 per cent to 35½ as the group cut £12 million off forecasts for this year and £18 million from its profit projections for 2008.
Trevor Finn, the chief executive, said that price cuts on new cars had wiped 20 per cent from used car margins and he urged the Bank of England to cut interest rates to boost confidence.
"It's difficult to comprehend why interest rates haven’t come down so far,” he told The Times. “Mervyn King [the Bank of England Governor] seems to be running the economy based on what he sees in London’s West End, but that’s not a microcosm of the real world.”
Signet, which runs the Ernest Jones and H Samuel chains in Britain, also gave warning yesterday that a marked slowdown in trading on both sides of the Atlantic meant it was likely to miss expectations this year. Like-for-like sales in the United States since the beginning of the month have fallen 7 per cent below the levels seen a year ago, while sales in the UK have “weakened” in the past fortnight.
Terry Burman, the chief executive, said: “I am not going to make any predictions but things are obviously slowing in both markets.” Shares in Signet fell 17 per cent, or 13p, to a five-year low of 64p, wiping more than £220 million from the group’s market value. Quarterly results showed pre-tax profits across the business in the three months to November 3, traditionally the quietest quarter, tumbled by nearly 70 per cent to just $2.5 million (£1.2 million).
Analysts said that the two warnings would only add to concerns over consumer confidence, given fears of a housing slump and the effects of higher interest rates on an estimated million people coming off cheaper fixed-rate mortgage deals.
Separately, Topps Tiles, the high street tiles and flooring chain, yesterday reported that like-for-like sales growth had slowed to 1.1 per cent in recent weeks from an average 4.7 per cent in the year to last month. It said that trading had become more challenging: “We must not underestimate the potential impact that this year’s turmoil in financial markets will ultimately have on consumers.”
John Stevenson, an analyst at Shore Capital, said it was now clear that there would be a marked divergence between winners and losers on the high street over Christmas.
He added that a spate of price cuts and Christmas sales by Debenhams, WH Smith, Gap, Burtons and Dorothy Perkins reflected the fact that stores were already having to use incentives to attract customers. “No doubt Christmas will be late and, with the next weekend representing the ‘payday’ watershed, retailers will be looking for signs of improvement as we move into December,” Mr Stevenson said.
Signet generates about 70 per cent of its annual profits over the Christmas and new year period, with the majority coming from the United States, where it runs Kay Jewelers and Jared the Galleria of Jewelry.
Mr Burman insisted it was far too early to rule out a recovery over the coming weeks and added: “The market is uncertain. It looks like it’s slowing but it could go either way. It’s not a life or death situation, we will still make plenty of profit in the fourth quarter.”
However, analysts said it was now likely the group’s profits this year would be about $350 million, significantly below previous guidance of $390 million to $400 million.
Signet also said that it would be forced to pass on higher gold and diamond prices after Valentine’s Day. Gold prices have surged by $200 an ounce in recent weeks.
Pendragon’s profit warning was its fourth in the past year and second in the space of five months. The group, which has expanded aggressively with the acquisition of CD Bramall and Reg Vardy in the past two years, is now likely to report pre-tax profits of just £33 million for 2007. The City was forecasting £85 million a year ago.
Mr Finn said the pressure on margins meant that Pendragon was making about £300 on every car sale, against £380 last year. He added: “It may not sound like a lot, but we are selling 3,000 cars a year. There’s a lack of clarity on where interest rates are going and it is adding to the uncertainty. There needs to be clear direction from the Bank of England.”
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£23,093 - £56,211
The Office for National Statistics
Newport, South Wales
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Wait a minute airports full, cannot get into any where for lunch have you booked sir, For 10year olds £300 computer games, have to order that sir all sold. £50 Tickets for a show all gone,etc etc Flat screen t v going like hot cakes. money short, come on be real.
mike langridge, wrexham, clwyd
Re: Richard Barber querying where additional money goes in the UK, he could start by looking at the property market and, in particular, the high level of business rates taken by the government.
My company would tough out the downturn in the economy were it not for the excessive level of business rates that are taken from us whether we make a profit or not. Consequently we are now laying people off in the UK, closing premises and moving production abroad.
MarkS, Leeds,
A country needs businesses to do well as they employ people,
When, as now, the country or normal everyday people are struggling with the effects of raised interest rates, If nothing is done then negative conditions come into play,and it takes longer to right the economy. Adjusting interest rates is necessary, but the important thing is timing. The excetutive of Pendragon is rightly saying that the BOE has not got the timing right
Michael, Truro, UK
Stephen, The reason why Trevor Finn can't comprehend why rates haven't come down is that is business makes most of its profits through selling finance.
He only cares about getting rates down so it makes his cars more affordable and increases his own vast personal wealth.
graeme brown, milton keynes,
Having just returned from a trip to California I was amazed at how much more we pay for basic items here in the UK, I will stick with the car prices my next door neighbor has just paid £28K for a 220 C Class Mercedes - The price in the USA for a 300 model with more extras $35.000 dollars = £17.500 sterling, so if dealers are making just £300 on each car where is the rest going.
Richard Barber Cirencester
Richard Barber, Cirencester, United Kingdom
Car prices need to come down in the UK - you can get better equiped model for at least 40% less in the middle east and fill the tank at 25pence / litre. RIP off UK at its best.
chris, Dubai,
I think Mervyn King is doing a good job at the BOE.His job is to control inflation,not the profits of Car Dealers.Inflation is above target and oil is close to its record high which has yet to feed through into inflation.Why should he cut rates?
stephen Hulton, Eure, France
"It is difficult to comprehend why interest rates havn't come down so far".I don't understand this comment.It is the job of The BOE to control inflation,inflation is above target and the oil price is near record highs.A rate of 5.75% is very low in the context of the last 40 years and ,if anything,in order to maintain the inflation target it should be putting them up.They cut them in August 2005 and all this resulted in was the debt mountain to increase from 1 trillion to 1.4 trillion in just 2 years.
stephen Hulton, Eure, France