Robin Pagnamenta: Analysis
Win 100 iconic DVDs
Opec’s efforts to turn around the oil market have traditionally been like steering a supertanker — it is a lengthy process.
Historically, the price of oil has been closely correlated with economic performance. High energy prices have fuelled inflation, hit demand and crimped output. The record price of oil only five months ago undoubtedly played a part in the present slowdown. Yesterday’s announced cuts were dramatic, but until the extent of the economic downturn becomes clearer, the recent slump in oil prices will be difficult to arrest and harder to reverse. Opec knows that the issue of price is one of supply and also demand.
The US Government predicted yesterday that demand for oil in the US, the world’s largest consuming country, is set to level off and is unlikely to grow at all between now and 2030.
Growing use of alternative fuels, increased energy efficiency and a decline in the use of gas-guzzling cars and SUVs is shifting US oil use, according to the Energy Information Administration. In a report yesterday the agency predicted that the use of renewable energy, including solar, wind, biofuels and tidal power, would grow by 3 per cent per year.
Overall energy use is expected to increase gradually but at a significantly slower pace than expected a year ago.
The EIA, the arm of the US Government that produces official statistics on energy, also concluded that US reliance on imported oil will fall. It said that imported liquid fuels — mainly oil — would meet 40 per cent of US needs by 2025, down from 58 per cent.
US oil demand is weakening rapidly as the country slips into recession. Figures from the International Energy Agency this month showed November demand in the 50 continental states was about 18.5 million barrels per day, down nearly 10 per cent on a year ago. That still represents some 21 per cent of global demand of about 86 million barrels.
But US reliance on imported oil from countries such as Saudi Arabia and Venezuela has become a major political issue.
President-elect Barack Obama has pledged to reduce America’s dependence on the fuel and this week appointed Stephen Chu as his energy secretary. Mr Chu, a Nobel prize-winning physicist from the Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory in California, is a proponent of alternative fuels and a developer of scientific solutions to climate change.
T. Boone Pickens, the Texan oil billionaire, has started a campaign to shift America away from its dependence on imported oil by building huge windfarms across a central belt of the US.
Without incentives to further reduce US reliance on fossil fuel, the EIA forecast American CO2 emissions would continue to rise by 0.3 per cent a year, compared with an annual average increase of 1.1 per cent since 1990.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
36-month car lease
on contract hire for
£359.99 plus VAT pm
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
The UK's leading alternative to showroom finance.
Finance packages tailored to your needs.
Minimum loan of £15,000
Car Insurance
c£100,000 + car, bonus & bens
Lord Search & Selection
Midlands
Competitive salary + NHS pens
The Council for Healthcare Regulatory Excellence (CHRE)
London
Not Specified
The Sheppard Trust
London
£31,842 – £38,378pa
Charity Commision
London, Liverpool or Taunton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.