Catherine Boyle
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The secretary-general of Opec said yesterday that oil prices could rise even
higher than the present record level of $117 a barrel.
Speaking at the start of the biannual conference between oil-producing and
consumer countries in Rome, Abdullah al-Badri said that factors other than
supply and demand, particularly the weakness of the US dollar, were pushing
oil prices higher.
Many analysts expect oil to rise above $120 a barrel by the summer. Every $2
increase in the cost of oil adds about 1p to a litre of petrol at the pump
in Britain.
Government ministers will meet energy companies, charities and consumer
groups to discuss the issue of energy prices at a fuel poverty summit on
Wednesday, hosted by Ofgem.
Allan Asher, the chief executive of energywatch, a consumer watchdog,
criticised the record of the Government and energy companies. “Relying on
more voluntary social programmes from energy suppliers is tantamount to
sticking your head as far into the sand as it will go,” he said.
“Government has to be bold enough to admit its fuel poverty strategy has been
broken on a vicious cycle of price rises. Price rises on such a shocking
scale would be catastrophic for consumers; 25 per cent on energy bills means
another million households consigned to the misery of fuel poverty.”
Chakib Khelil, the president of Opec, said yesterday that he saw no need to
raise oil production to counter high oil prices, dealing a further blow to
big oil-consuming countries such as Britain and the United States.
Gordon Brown and President Bush have called on Opec, which produces 40 per
cent of the world’s oil, to increase its output, but Opec kept its daily
output quota at 29.67 million barrels at its last meeting last month.
The US Department of Energy said this month that it expected American petrol
consumption for the summer vacation season – when families take to their
cars to go on holiday – to decrease for the first time in two decades.
Mr al-Badri said that while high prices may have an impact on demand in the
US, they would not in Asia and developing countries, where it is “business
as usual”.
About 500 delegates, including oil ministers from Opec countries, chief
executives of oil companies and representatives of consumer countries, will
attend the three-day meeting in Rome.
Oil producers will have the upper hand during negotiations as continuing
demand despite high prices means that they can control access to their
resources in the face of soaring demand from India and China, as well as
other developing economies.
Last month, China imported almost 150 per cent of what it had imported the
previous month. The country is building its fuel reserves for the Olympic
Games later this year. Moreover, its spring planting season is under way,
which is usually a time of high consumption.
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