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The president of Opec has predicted that the price of oil could stay as high
as $110 a barrel for the rest of the year, spurred by investors seeking to
hedge themselves against the weakening US dollar.
Chakib Khelil, the president of the global oil cartel, who is also the
Algerian Energy Minister, said: “There are big pressures on Opec and some
consuming nations would like to present Opec as being behind current high
prices.
“But the truth is that the current prices are linked to US economic problems
as well as to the value of the dollar.”
His comments came after Dick Cheney, the Vice-President of the United States,
met Saudi leaders in Riyadh to discuss soaring oil prices. Mr Cheney has
urged Saudi Arabia to boost production in an attempt to ease the price of
oil.
There are hopes that a recession in America and moves by China to reduce
economic growth will lead to a fall in demand for commodities such as oil
and result, in turn, in falling oil prices.
Opec left oil output levels unchanged this month despite calls from
oil-consuming nations to increase production. A week ago, the price of light
sweet crude futures hit $111.80 a barrel, a record, but it has eased since
amid evidence that the American economy may already be in recession.
The rising oil price is also creating problems for Saudi Arabia, the world’s
largest oil exporter. Last month, inflation in the country hit a 27-year
high, at 8.7 per cent. Last week, Saudi Arabia’s central bank and the United
Arab Emirates cut interest rates by three quarters of a percentage point, in
line with the US Federal Reserve. Yesterday, Qatar – where inflation is
13.74 per cent – followed suit.
The Gulf states face an uncomfortable dilemma. As demand for oil soars, Gulf
Arab economies are booming, driving demand for everything from housing to
power and water. However, instead of raising interest rates to try to stem
rising inflation, countries such as Saudi Arabia have been forced to follow
the Federal Reserve’s cuts because their currencies are pegged to the US
dollar.
After the meeting with Mr Cheney, the Saudi Supreme Council of Petroleum and
Mineral Affairs, which is chaired by King Abdullah, expressed “its
satisfaction at the Kingdom’s work in expanding crude production and
refining capacity to help meet global demand”.
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