Marcus Leroux
Win luxury hampers plus Waitrose vouchers & guidebooks
More than £5 billion was wiped off the value of oil giant BP today after it emerged that analysts had cut their estimates of fourth quarter profits by 25 per cent. That would slice $1.5 billion from the quarterly earnings.
Merrill Lynch, cut its estimates by 25 per cent from $5.9 billion to $4.4 billion. BP shares suffered their biggest single day fall in almost five years, sliding by as much as 28.5p, or 4.5 per cent, to 605p.
Andrew Lynch, who helps manage $8 billion at Schroder Investment Management told Bloomberg: "This shows how panicked the market is at the moment. I am not that worried because the fundamentals of BP haven't changed.''
Merrill Lynch cut its profits estimates by 25 per cent on the basis of "higher than forecast field commissioning costs, weaker than expected marketing margins and higher tax." Credit Suisse slashed its earnings forecast by 26 per cent.
The oil group, which plans to cut up to four layers of management to reduce costs, disclosed overnight that rising oil stocks around the world would lead its tax bill rising from 36 to 43 per cent.
News of the hit to earnings comes one week after global crude prices breached the $100 level for the first time.
The company will report its fourth quarter and full year results on February 5.
Peter Hitchens, oil and gas analyst at Seymour Pierce, said that cost pressure from the oil service industry and tighter retail and refining margins would squeeze BP.
He said: “It wouldn’t surprise me if people have been very optimistic and are now having to bring down numbers.”
A BP spokesman said: “When oil prices are rising, people build up oil stocks, which is good business practice, but it also means there is a higher value of stocks with a higher tax liability.”
The company added that production would suffer as a result of Production Sharing Agreements with governments, which limit production by value, rather than by volume. The agreements have the effect of reducing the number of barrels that can be sold when prices are high.
In the final quarter of last year, BP's tax burden fell to 25 per cent from 32 per cent in 2005 as inventories were run down due to falling prices.
Tony Hayward, BP's chief executive, has begun a jobs cull that will see thousands of positions axed and up to four levels of management scrapped. Some observers estimate up to 10,000 jobs will go.
Mr Hayward, who took over from his predecessor Lord Browne of Maddingley in May 2007, has faced a baptism of fire which has included the Alaskan oil spill, the aftermath of the fire at BP's Texas City refinery in which 15 people died and sliding margins from its refining business.
He was also criticised last Autumn for revealing in a memo to staff that the company was braced for "dreadful" third quarter results.
Read the training tips and advice that helped our London Triathletes
Enjoy screenings of all the classic films you love, plus take advantage of two-for-one tickets
Times Online's new TV show helps you make the right decisions for your pet
Read our exclusive 100 Years of Fleming and Bond interactive timeline, packed with original Times articles and reviews
The latest travel news plus the best hotels and gadgets for business travellers
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles

Overseas contacts and local business information

Find a course, arrange a game and save money
2007
£47,995
2008
£42,945
06/2006
£40,850
Great car insurance deals online
£33,000
Macmillan Cancer Support
Central/South West
£50k
NHS
Nationwide
£
£30k OTE
Meltwater News
Nationwide
circa £70k
Central Office of Information
London
5% below developer pre-launch price!
Luxury Appts, beautiful gardens w/ Thames views
Great Homes Available on a shared Ownership Basis
Great Investment, River Views
Visit the ‘entertainment capital of the world’
at great sale prices!
Christmas Cruises
From only £995pp
APTs East Coast now from only
£2425pp.
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times. Globrix Property Search - find property for sale and rent in the UK. Visit our classified services and find jobs, used cars, property or holidays. Use our dating service, read our births, marriages and deaths announcements, or place your advertisement.
Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.