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THE price of gold, which last week hit a new record, is set to scale new heights before the end of 2008, bullion traders predicted this weekend.
Prices topped $860 an ounce last week – well above the $850 record set in 1980. The weakness of the US currency has helped to boost the dollar price of gold, but the metal has also been lifted by the geo-political tensions raised by upheavals in Pakistan and fears that inflationary pressures are increasing.
And a survey of gold analysts due to be published this week is expected to show that they predict prices this year will be well ahead of the $695-an-ounce average seen in 2007, continuing a bull run that has lasted for seven years.
Ross Norman, a director of Thebulliondesk.com, forecast that the average price of gold in 2008 is likely to be about $950 an ounce, and the year could see prices spiking as high as $1,150. “It might possibly even touch $1,200,” he said. It started last year at $640.75.
The opening of exchanges for trading gold has increased the metal’s attractions to investors. China has had a spot market for gold for two years and is to open a futures market on Wednesday. Dubai already has an exchange and Vietnam and Pakistan plan to follow suit.
Gold has also become more accessible to investors in the past 18 months with the emergence of exchange-traded funds whose prices are closely linked to the bullion price. One of the participants in the market, ETF Securities, saw the value of its assets under management – including funds covering industrial metals, energy and agricultural commodities as well as gold – mushroom from $200m to $2.4 billion.
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As all paper money that has no gold or silver backing or some resource that is in high demand becomes to be found out by the general population the scramble to own these products in some way will have an impact that only a person in a sunami will understand
Mike, Galloway/NJ,
As the US dollar shows some strength later this year gold will struggle. Might get a spike though, esp when more credit news emerges in the US. The Yen looks safer though the stocks do not.
DK, London, UK
What is there to invest in that is not over inflated in price. The only things i can think of are Gold and Silver.
Scott, Bangkok, Thailand
I think that the gold bears are missing the salient point that that gold supplies are becoming increasingly more difficult to find and when they are mines have a long lead in time to eventual production. Also gold more and more is being treated as a currency rather than a commodity this coupled with the fact that the gold price adjusted for inflation is nowhere near the much heralded "all time high" reports.
luch-kent
L.O'Brien, Ash, UK
Gold could go much higher than $1200 during 2008. Once people understand the extent of the financial problems around he world and the currency issues they will be standing in line for gold.
om, San Francisco, Ca
Those that say " gold will not go to $1200 " , ... are the same people that said that "oil would not go to $100./barrel" ...Sooo, If oil was under priced at $ 50./ barrel then gold is waaaaay.. under priced at $ 850/oz....!! I look for prices over $2000./ oz.
j miller, owen sound, Canada
Fiat currency all in time inflate away.Say good by to the dollar , the pound , the euro etc. here comes gold and other real things.Gold is a store of value .The politicians have printed so much paper currency that it has sub primed its value.What can one do ? Look at history.First the currency then the government .One can not missmanage forever.Gold backed currency keeps the government from printing to much paper.If gold back currency again it would have to be worth many thousands of dollars per ounce to back all that printed paper .It seems to be headed in that direction.
gage bailey, boston, usa ma
Ross Norman forecast that the average price of gold in 2008 is likely to be about $950 an ounce, and the year could see prices spiking as high as $1,150. âIt might possibly even touch $1,200,â
sorry but that is not going to happen. just look at what this people predict during the gold raised in 2006 and what actuary happen by the year end.
average of 950 in 2008 is not going to happen neither the hight of 1200. all people like Ross Norman doing is just trying to get people to buy gold during the unusual height price so that people like him can make the most out of it.
noway, tokyo, japan
Not only USA dollar has collapsed, but all other currencies.
All in our society is indignant, not trustworthy, fraud and deceit.
Joseph Scumpeter's profecy has come true the inevitable collapse of capitalism based on fiat-valutas.
René Cohrt, Virum, Denmark
The way that Central Banks continue to print fiat currency will ensure the continued rise of gold.
I just it would dip down towards $800 for a short while before it takes off again :-(
Paul Price, Newton-le-Willows,