James Ashton
Claim your free 2010 double sided wall chart
If he ever tires of running his charitable foundation, it could be just the thing to distract Bill Gates during his retirement.
The Seattle Post-Intelligencer, Gates’s hometown newspaper, is up for sale. Tracing its history back to 1863, the title has followed in detail the rise of Microsoft and its co-founder. In fact, Gates’s success has contrasted sharply with the newspaper’s slow decline. Even though the neon globe on top of the PostIntelligencer’s waterfront headquarters is still one of the city’s landmarks, its print edition and hundreds of jobs face extinction.
Hearst, the publishing group that has owned it since 1921, has given itself six weeks to find a buyer or else the newspaper faces closure. The P-I lost $14m (£10m) last year and hasn’t turned a profit since 2000. It is a familiar story in cities across America and in Britain.
What used to be a local monopoly or duopoly for selling a house or car has been overturned by the onslaught of the internet. News aggregators such as the Huffington Post, which invest little in their own journalism but collate articles written elsewhere, are grabbing eyeballs that would otherwise be reading a newspaper’s own website.
Enders Analysis thinks that 30% of Britain’s local and regional titles could be making losses within two years. Deloitte believes that this year one in ten print titles could reduce their frequency of publication, go online or close.
In many instances the only hope of staving off extinction lies with public-spirited tycoons, such as Alexander Lebedev, the former KGB agent who bought control of London's Evening Standard for £1 last week from the Daily Mail group.
Where previously press barons owned newspapers for prestige and profit, today many have to make do with prestige alone. Newspapers are preparing for an era of sharply lower profit margins. Some are already well placed. The Guardian and Observer newspapers are preserved within a trust that has diversified into business publishing to offset their losses.
However, the decline has been steep enough to catch out people who should have known better. Sam Zell, a property magnate who splashed out $8.2 billion to buy the Chicago Tribune and Los Angeles Times in 2007, filed for bankruptcy protection less than two years later.
Carlos Slim, the Mexican telecoms bil-lionaire, has also been drawn to print, but so far without failure. Last week he helped out The New York Times with a $250m bailout that could leave him with an 18% shareholding, smaller only than the title’s historical owners, the Ochs-Sulzberger family. He also has a 1% holding in Sir Anthony O’Reilly’s Independent News & Media, which owns The Independent and Independent on Sunday.
Experts predict more unpicking of the bigger newspaper groups that attempted to use economies of scale to increase profits and offset the industry's decline.
“The likely prognosis is that we will see more private deals and a withdrawal of the institutional and private-equity investors who have tried hard to milk the newspaper industry, but have done little to enhance the value or importance of newspapers,” said Jim Chisholm, a newspaper consultant at iMedia Advisory Services.
The Standard’s continued existence could prove to be the exception rather than the rule. Closures stem from there not being enough tycoons to go round. Lebedev has made it clear he is not expecting to make a quick return. “This is not my way to make money, but I’d like to explain to the public that newspapers are something they should love and cherish,” he said. The Standard’s new owner will subsidise 20% of its running costs.
Others think the industry could have a future if it adopts new ways of thinking.
“Newspapers need a radical plan to adapt,” said David Elms, media partner at KPMG. “I’m not sure that just migrating to the internet necessarily works. They need to develop an integrated offering that creates very close linkage with their customers and advertisers as well as working harder on subscription models.”
It is not the sort of charity Gates had in mind when he set up his foundation.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
1998
£47,955
2004
£56,950
Essex
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
£100,000
Barnardos
UK
£123,460 pa
The Law Commission
London
Southwark County Council
Competitive + bonus + benefits
Manchester United
Central London
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Includes flights, accommodation with room upgrades, transfers city tours in Hong Kong and Bangkok.
PremierHolidays.co.uk
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
Choose from the beautiful landscape and tranquil beaches of Oahu, Kauai, Maui & Big Island.
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.