Inside the City with Grant Ringshaw
Enter our Snapshots of Summer photography competition
FEARS about a looming advertising downturn and a slowing economy have ramped up the pressure on media shares. In the past six months, WPP is down 22%, Trinity Mirror has dived by 38% while publishing giants Reed Elsevier and Pearson have slipped 12% and 18% respectively.
So it may seem odd to think of Informa, the business-publishing and exhibitions group, as a relatively defensive share. Right now, the market does not seem too convinced – the shares have slumped 21% in the past six months.
But that looks like a mistake. Informa, a diverse, £2 billion business, has come a long way from its roots as a trade-magazine publisher best known for Lloyd’s List.
Informa’s strategy has been to combine publishing, training and events businesses. Earlier this year, it paid £502m to snap up information and research group Datamonitor. The deal will create the chance to sell research to Informa’s publishing and conference customers and drive up Datamonitor’s 20%-plus top-line growth.
Informa’s real strength is its small exposure to cyclical advertising. According to a recent report by analysts at Bear Stearns, about 75% of its revenues and 90% of its earnings are renewable. Advertising is a measly 3% of revenues against 25%-40% for most rivals.
At half-year results in August, underlying operating profits jumped 24%, and an upbeat David Gilbertson, chief executive, hiked the dividend by 70%.
Meanwhile, the business-publishing and events market also looks reasonably robust.
However, there have been doubters – analysts have accused Informa of overpaying for Datamonitor. Another potential downside is the impact of a weak dollar.
The shares look good value at 463p, way below the rejected 630p-per-share takeover bid from rival Springer Science & Business Media last year, and are trading at about 11 times forecast earnings next year. Informa is a media oddity worth snapping up.
Premier Oil This year has been a bit of a rocky time for Premier Oil, the oil-and-gas-exploration group.
Profits in the first six months of the year fell sharply from $90m (£43.9m) to $68.5m as the group was hit hard by acquisition costs and charges for drilling wells that failed to come up trumps.
But this week Premier should lift some of the gloom. The group is expected to announce it has done a deal to double gas production from its Indonesian interests and supply it to a partner in Singapore. The deal will also allow Premier to book 60m barrels of its 140m unbooked reserves.
As any oilman knows, part of being successful in the business is not just finding the reserves, but getting them to market.
Behind the exploration disappointments, Premier’s production operations are growing strongly, and the group looks set to beat its target of increasing production from 37,000 barrels a day oil equivalent to 50,000 by 2010.
Premier also has interesting exploration prospects in Vietnam and the Congo.
Although the shares (currenlty at £11.64) have been pushed up by bid rumours, they are trading below the group’s core net asset value, with some analysts setting targets as high as £16.20.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.