Dan Sabbagh, Media Editor
Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
Warner Music is struggling to justify a higher bid approach for its rival EMI, because it does not believe it can risk an improved offer without having access to its British rival’s books.
The American music major behind Madonna and the Red Hot Chili Peppers is considering whether to improve its mooted 260p a share offer to around 280p, but is not confident that more cash would break the impasse.
Warner Music had hinted in a letter sent to EMI’s chairman, John Gildersleeve, two weeks ago that it could be willing to offer more than 260p, depending on limited due diligence, but that was not enough to impress.
EMI told the market only that Warner Music’s offer was “260p per share in cash, subject to numerous assumptions and conditions,” which the British group did not spell out. That frustrated Warner Music, although it was also possible that the American company would not offer as much as the initially proposed 260p a share.
The British music major — home to Norah Jones and Joss Stone — believes that it should not hand over what it believes is highly sensitive information to its pursuer without a commitment to a higher price, or a willingness to take on greater regulatory risk.
Formally, Edgar Bronfman, Warner’s chairman and chief executive, has yet to decide what to do, but the American company recognises that its current options are limited.
The option being canvassed as the most plausible in the Warner camp is to hang back and see how EMI performs over the coming months.
A bid at 280p — seen as the upper limit of Warner Music’s current ambitions — would cost the American concern an extra £160 million at £2.24 billion. EMI shares were trading at 244½p yesterday, up 1½p, while Warner Music was 27 cents lower in lunchtime trading in New York at $18.03.
Underlining the growing caution, Warner Music is yet to release a statement of its own after the approach to Mr Gildersleeve. The US company does not want to declare the 260p price in its own words, in the belief that the Takeover Panel will hold it to that level, and prevent a bid at a lower figure for six months.
Warner Music’s camp argues that EMI’s financial position is unstable after two profit warnings this year, and that it would be highly risky to run the gauntlet of the European Commission, which would ultimately have to approve the combination.
The Commission is currently conducting an examination of the separate Sony-BMG recorded music joint venture, a business similar in size in recorded music to a combined Warner-EMI.
Warner Music is keen for the regulators to examine both in the round, but Commission officials will not consider Warner-EMI in the context of the Sony-BMG inquiry unless there is an Anglo-American deal on the table.
Those who have been to see the Commission say that the regulator is focusing on the consumer price for music and whether a tie-up means that less music is reaching the public.
Warner Music and EMI declined to comment.
A compact history
— January 12 EMI announces a profit warning after poor preChristmas sales
— Janury 26 EMI announces plans to merge its US labels, Capitol and Virgin
— February 14 EMI issues a second profits warning. The shares fall by 12 per cent to 210p
— February 20 Impala, the independent record association, says that it would approve an EMI-Warner tie-up
— March 1 EMI rejects a 260p a share approach from Warner Music
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.