Dan Sabbagh, Media Editor
We've made some changes
to The Sunday Times
Warner Music is struggling to justify a higher bid approach for its rival EMI, because it does not believe it can risk an improved offer without having access to its British rival’s books.
The American music major behind Madonna and the Red Hot Chili Peppers is considering whether to improve its mooted 260p a share offer to around 280p, but is not confident that more cash would break the impasse.
Warner Music had hinted in a letter sent to EMI’s chairman, John Gildersleeve, two weeks ago that it could be willing to offer more than 260p, depending on limited due diligence, but that was not enough to impress.
EMI told the market only that Warner Music’s offer was “260p per share in cash, subject to numerous assumptions and conditions,” which the British group did not spell out. That frustrated Warner Music, although it was also possible that the American company would not offer as much as the initially proposed 260p a share.
The British music major — home to Norah Jones and Joss Stone — believes that it should not hand over what it believes is highly sensitive information to its pursuer without a commitment to a higher price, or a willingness to take on greater regulatory risk.
Formally, Edgar Bronfman, Warner’s chairman and chief executive, has yet to decide what to do, but the American company recognises that its current options are limited.
The option being canvassed as the most plausible in the Warner camp is to hang back and see how EMI performs over the coming months.
A bid at 280p — seen as the upper limit of Warner Music’s current ambitions — would cost the American concern an extra £160 million at £2.24 billion. EMI shares were trading at 244½p yesterday, up 1½p, while Warner Music was 27 cents lower in lunchtime trading in New York at $18.03.
Underlining the growing caution, Warner Music is yet to release a statement of its own after the approach to Mr Gildersleeve. The US company does not want to declare the 260p price in its own words, in the belief that the Takeover Panel will hold it to that level, and prevent a bid at a lower figure for six months.
Warner Music’s camp argues that EMI’s financial position is unstable after two profit warnings this year, and that it would be highly risky to run the gauntlet of the European Commission, which would ultimately have to approve the combination.
The Commission is currently conducting an examination of the separate Sony-BMG recorded music joint venture, a business similar in size in recorded music to a combined Warner-EMI.
Warner Music is keen for the regulators to examine both in the round, but Commission officials will not consider Warner-EMI in the context of the Sony-BMG inquiry unless there is an Anglo-American deal on the table.
Those who have been to see the Commission say that the regulator is focusing on the consumer price for music and whether a tie-up means that less music is reaching the public.
Warner Music and EMI declined to comment.
A compact history
— January 12 EMI announces a profit warning after poor preChristmas sales
— Janury 26 EMI announces plans to merge its US labels, Capitol and Virgin
— February 14 EMI issues a second profits warning. The shares fall by 12 per cent to 210p
— February 20 Impala, the independent record association, says that it would approve an EMI-Warner tie-up
— March 1 EMI rejects a 260p a share approach from Warner Music
Enjoy screenings of all the classic films you love, plus take advantage of two-for-one tickets
We explore leisure activities that are safe and suitable for all of the family
Times Online's new TV show helps you make the right decisions for your pet
See the best entries in this year's competition
Your brain is capable of more than you might think...
An interactive preview of the brand new For Your Eyes Only exhibition
The latest travel news plus the best hotels and gadgets for business travellers

Love Sudoku? Play our brand new interactive game: with added functionality and daily prizes

Are you irritable when you return from work? Drained of emotion? You could be suffering from boreout
Prepare for some shock and awe, petrol lovers. Despite the greens trying to wipe it out, the car is about to offer us the most exciting year ever
We've trawled the brochures and websites to find this summer’s best holidays for every taste and budget

Overseas contacts and local business information

Find a course, arrange a game and save money
2002/02
£59,995
The Midlands
2008/08
£169,950
Scotland
2007/57
£35,000
South East England
Great car insurance deals online
Competitive
CyDen
London
To £28k
Barclaycard
Various (outside London)
£
£40,000 - £50,000 + benefits
Lloyds Pharmacy
Coventry
To £38k
Barclaycard
Northampton/Liverpool
2 Bathrooms, Balcony and Garden
£359,950
Beautiful Gardens w/ stunning Thames Views
Apts From £249,950
Mortgages, bank acc & money transfers to help you buy abroad
Explore mystical Jordan
From £1030 for 7nts 4*
to USA's Most Cosmopolitan City; San Francisco!
£POA
Book Now for Winter 08/09 and Get 10% off!
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times. Search globrix.com to buy or rent UK property.
© Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.