Carl Mortished, World Business Editor
Enter our Snapshots of Summer photography competition
BASF battened down the hatches yesterday as the world's biggest chemical company steadied itself for a storm of declining markets and stockpiling by customers.
In a grim warning, the German industrial group said that it would shed 1,000 staff, reduce capacity and cancel a share buyback plan to preserve cash. Caught in a squeeze between higher raw-material costs and falling demand, BASF's third-quarter operating earnings fell 8 per cent and net profit by 37 per cent.
Jurgen Hambrecht, the chairman, saw no relief in sight: “The impact of the global financial crisis on the real economy is speeding up and hitting harder. The economic skid marks can no longer be ignored.”
The squeeze will put further pressure on a chemical industry that is lumbered with high levels of debt after a long period of corporate wheeling and dealing. Highly leveraged companies, such as Lyondell Basell and Ineos, Britain's biggest private company, are exposed to “a cocktail of overcapacities and weakening economies”, according to Standard & Poor's, the rating agency.
Both companies recently suffered credit downgrades by S&P, which has accorded their debt a “B” rating, indicating a likelihood of default. Basell suffered a huge increase in borrowings when it paid $12 billion (£7.3 billion) for Lyondell a year ago. The interest burden has virtually wiped out the profits of the merged group, which is controlled by Access Industries, the holding company owned by Len Blavatnik, the Russian-born oligarch.
The grim tidings by BASF echo recent comments by quoted rivals, including America's Dow Chemical and Akzo Nobel, the world's biggest paint company. Akzo announced last month it is cutting 3,500 jobs. In Germany, Bayer gave warning that its plastics businesses would suffer further declines in earnings in 2009.
The wheels are coming off the chemicals industry because of a sudden and significant fall in demand that appears to have begun in September. The reversal follows an extended boom said Paul Satchell, a chemicals analyst at ING, the Dutch investment bank. “That's why it is surprising. There has been a sudden and shocking downturn after an extraordinary period of strong demand since 2004.”
The issue, Mr Satchell said, is whether the slump is a result of temporary destocking by the automotive and packaging industries, which are leading consumers of plastics, or a signal of underlying consumer weakness.
BASF is taking the view that skittishness by customers is more than temporary. The German firm is responding with capacity reductions and early shutdowns of plant for maintenance.
The slowdown will have a bigger impact on the profitability of firms with a bias towards bulk commodity chemicals, such as Lyondell Basell and Ineos. These companies transform natural gas and naptha, a by-product of oil refining, into chemical raw materials, such as ethylene, used to make plastics, such as polyethylene. Because of their high fixed costs, they must operate at capacity levels of 95 per cent or more in order to be profitable.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
BASF should not kill the golden goose. Wintershall (1800 staff) accounts for 40% of BASF profit.
gerry, Brisbane, Australia