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THE race to take control of Britain’s submarine industry has become a three-way contest between BAE Systems, Babcock International and Carlyle, the American private-equity group.
The three have made it through to the second round of bidding for Devonport Management Limited.
DML, which is owned by former Halliburton company KBR, runs a key maintenance and support base for the British nuclear-submarine fleet.
The company that acquires DML will be in a strong position to take a large part of the expected £25 billion programme to build a new fleet of submarines to carry nuclear weapons after the withdrawal of the present Trident boats.
Carlyle, which is being advised by Morgan Stanley, had been tipped to make a joint bid with BAE, Britain’s biggest defence contractor.
But the pair are now working separately, although sources close to both sides say there is still a prospect of their joining forces later. Carlyle is also understood to have held talks with Babcock, which operates the Faslane nuclear submarine base in Scotland.
DML was put up for sale after Halliburton fell out with the Ministry of Defence over the timing of its float of KBR.
UBS, the investment bank, is handling the auction. Estimates of the price the Devonport facility is likely to fetch differ widely, from £200m to £450m.
Sources close to the talks say KBR was eager to choose a preferred bidder towards the end of May. BAE is thought to be pressing for a longer timetable, as it has been preoccupied with negotiations on another maritime deal, its surface-ship joint venture with VT Group.
The deal was to have been announced a fortnight ago, and it is understood agreement has been reached between the two groups on the terms of the joint venture.
But confirmation has been delayed by final negotiations with the government about the construction of two carriers for the Royal Navy.
The BAE-VT joint-venture will take the lion’s share of the £3.8 billion carrier programme. The carrier contract and the joint venture are expected to be announced at the same time.
Some defence industry sources think an announcement may not now come until after the May local elections.
The carriers are expected to enter service in 2012 and 2015, although most defence analysts think the timetable will probably slip.
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Surely everything must be on-hold where the building of any new nuclear powered warhsips is concerned.
At least until the full outcome is known of the Scottish elections.
A new Parliament in Edinburgh could have a Green element, and also bring with it the possibility of seperation from Westminster after a referendum.
This could bring with it the risk that any nuclear powered vessels could be stopped thereafter from returning to sea.
The defence of the Realm could start to be put on the line as from 3rd May 2007.
In this scenario also the pedigree of the next prime Minister in Westminster who say has Rosyth in is contituency could also be madness?
Maybe Gordon Brown will come South and takeover the then vacant constiuency at Sedgefield.
I am sure a deal could be done?
Immunity from prosecution for Blair?
Michael Blatchford, Bristol, UK
Much could depend on the outcome of the Scottish elections in less than a month as to whether any more nuclear warships should ever be built in Scotland.
Any fear of a Green Government and later a referendum for Scottish independence brings with it the possibility that nuclear warships would not be allowed to return to sea??
With the defence of the realm being thus put on the line, more immediately it could also compromise the MP for the Rosyth area for his advancement in politics at Westminster.
Gordon Brown could find that to become Prime Minister he will need to find a new constituency to represent that is South of the border.
One solution could be for him to takeover at Sedgefield.
The deal then being that he offers the present incumbent, Tony Blair, long-term immunity from any calls for prosecution arising from his involvement in the Iraq war?
Michael Blatchford, Bristol, UK