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Persimmon, the UK’s biggest housebuilder, bravely predicted yesterday that the market would not get any worse, in stark contrast to the gloom being reported by its rivals.
The builder surprised analysts by saying that after a collapse in sales in April, volumes had stabilised. It also said that it would open 40 sites this autumn in a sign that it was poised to take advantage of any recovery in the housing market.
However, the company gave warning that a 5 per cent slide in prices so far this year was likely to continue, as it faced the most challenging trading conditions in its recent history. The cautiously optimistic predictions from the York-based group pushed its shares up by 10 per cent to 338p as the sector enjoyed a mini-recovery.
Mike Farley, group chief executive, said: “I hesitate to call this market but it’s not getting any worse.” Mr Farley added that reports this week of Alliance & Leicester, the bank, raising £400 million from the sale of bonds backed by prime mortgages - only the second such sale in more than a year - indicated that the mortgage market could become easier.
“We still have visitors coming to our sites who want to buy, but sales are worse simply because of the difficulty in getting a mortgage,” he said. “The next 12 to 18 months are still going to be very tough, but when a recovery comes we will be ready.”
Persimmon reported a 64 per cent plunge in first-half pretax profits to £100.9 million for the six months to June 30 – down from £281.1 million in the same period last year. At the same time, it cut its dividend by 73 per cent to 5p a share, saying that it was prudent to conserve cash at this time.
The builder’s home sales have fallen by 31 per cent year-on-year, but it also reported that cancellation rates were lower than the 40 per cent peak seen this year. In contrast, Bellway, which opened the reporting season last week, gave warning that it had suffered an avalanche of cancellations in the past two months.
Mr Farley said that he hoped the Government would step in to help first-time buyers. “We support any action the Government wants to make, but whatever they do, it should be done sooner rather than later,” he said.
Persimmon has moved further into building social housing to protect itself during the downturn. Of the 5,501 completions it made in the first half of the year, 20 per cent were in that speciality. The company started building social housing after its acquisition of Westbury in 2006. “This is good, guaranteed business in uncertain times,” Mr Farley said.
Government figures out yesterday showed that the number of social housing units being built in England had leapt to its highest for 11 years.
Overall, housing starts for the June quarter were, at 33,400, about 19 per cent lower than in the corresponding quarter in 2007, but 2 per cent higher than in the previous quarter this year.
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I wouldn't back the farm on it Mr Farley.
albert hall, hove, england
Look they're after your Purse-mman
manjo, london,
Rob of Bradford: those people trying to sell that house with oh-so-much equity in it will need a buyer. And somewhere along that chain will be someone without any equity. These used to be known as first time buyers but they are like Dodos, and will remain so until prices reflect fundamentals.
M Johnson, London,
They would say that, wouldn't they. More of a wish than a news item.
If Persimmon sold Christmas turkeys they would probably tell us that their birds had just voted in favour of Christmas
KF, Berks, UK
It doesn't matter that the average house is 7x average salary. The majority of buyers have a house to sell, in which there will be plenty of equity (if they bought more than 2 years ago), so even restricting borrowing to 3x salary, they can still afford an average house.
Rob, Bradford,
"Persimmon says housing market will not worsen."
Meanwhile, in the real world, Halifax is closing 53 of its 204 estate agents branches before the end of the year.
John, London, UK
Erm Phil - are you not aware that the average house price is about 7x the average UK Salary even now?I'd call that unsustainable considering prices were just 4x the average salary in 2000.This is another example of a press release from a party with a vested interest in the market improving. dream on
matt, london,
Gareth, I suppose when you receive a bonus at work or have a lucky win, you give it all away to charity. Nice that there are such altruistic people out there. Next you will probably tell us that we should all be housed and clothed for free. Get a grip, if companies don't make a profit, they fold.
Justin, London,
Sorry Ian, wishful thinking. People should stop going on about wanting prices to fall and carry on renting/get a better job.
phil, harrogate,
£100.9 million profit? Time for a windfall tax.
Gareth Jones, Dusseldorf, Germany
The price of housing in the UK is still absurdly high and the real price correction has yet to begin. When the recession starts to bite and unemployment rises rapidly we can expect to see price reductions in the order of 60%.
Ian , London,
Persimmon have not got the message. There are PLENTY of mortgages out there but you need a deposit, the last 10 years have not been "NORMAL" but we are now returning to normal and it is CERTAIN that the banks have brought the era of cheap money to an end for good.
Chris, Chipping Norton,
How bad for them only £100.9 MILLION profit for the first six months.Im sure the will not hesitate to lay off a couple more thousand skilled trades
Dean, verwood, U.K
House builder, whose profits are 64% down on this time last year, says market will not get any worse ... lol!
Andy, Bath, UK
yes why would'nt sells and prices fall any more? Know one is buying and everyone is finding life very hard, to pay bills and the morgages. So in the real world what do you think!
oliver, Colchester,
I see this as a sign that house prices are close to bottoming out and it is increasingly unlikely we will see the 20%+ falls some have predicted.
phil, harrogate,
Yet Persimmon shares have shot up 9% today. It seems the City see this news as better than expected. What I dont understand is the suggestion of a sale price fall of just over 4% when Halifax and Nationwide are seeing 8-9%. However land registry, covering all sales sees less of a fall. Confused!!
basil bell, bath,