Grainne Gilmore
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More than 23,000 homeowners may be stuck with houses worth less than their mortgage debt after taking advantage of 100 per cent home loans as house prices continue to plummet, leaving thousands more Britons at risk of negative equity.
A total of 23,310 people took out 100 per cent mortgage deals over the 12 months to March, figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) show. In March alone, 1,470 borrowers secured mortgages for the entire value of their home.
Since last March, house prices have fallen by 5 per cent according to data from Halifax, the UK's biggest lender.
Borrowers who have not made significant overpayments on their 100 per cent home loan are therefore likely to be in negative equity and could make a loss on their houses if they choose to move.
Research from Morgan Stanley, the US investment bank, suggests that many more homeowners may be facing the threat of negative equity, with 370,000 at risk if prices fall by a total of 5 per cent this year and next.
Recent house price figures, including Halifax data showing that prices fell by 2.4 per cent in May alone, prompted economists to forecast house prices will slump by more than 20 per cent in two years.
Morgan Stanley said a 20 per cent decline would plunge 2 million homeowners, or one in six mortgage borrowers, into negative equity.
The CML said that there was no guarantee that all 100 per cent mortgage holders were in negative equity as there was no way of monitoring what level of repayments they had made.
Most 100 per cent mortgage deals have been withdrawn from the market in recent months as banks became more circumspect about their lending in the wake of the credit crunch.
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i have recently released equity from by buy to let portfolio and have swiched all my monthly payments to interest only, inline with rental income , demand in london for letting will only grow.as fewer mortgage apps are succesful.
could you please share your views.
Alle khan, wanstead, walthemforest
Mark Connelly:
Think outside the box for a second. If someone were to buy now and prices were to fall for 3 years, stabalise and then slowly grow for the next 10 years (1989 was last peak and same level attained 2002) = break even over 13years.
Considering the scale of boom I would extend this. ;)
Paul Sullivan, Chester,
I experienced the financial crisis in Hong Kong in 1997. Once the property price going downtrend, no one could dispose of his/her property even promptly reducing the asking price by 5-10%. The property price had continuously fallen and until 2003 it finally reduced by 70% from its peak. I had a secured job and thus could overcome the difficult time. But it took 10 years for property market to recover.
Lundo, Shanghai
Lundo, shanghai,
Mark: The data you quote do not take into account financing costs (relevant as most purchasers are not cash buyers, and must be included to compare with renting), nor costs like maintenance. With an average of 8%, the growth is only 300%, and that excludes inflation. After inflation, less shiny.
JR, London,
Greedy middle class "experts". I can't believe they are shocked that they could be in negative equity. If I took out a loan and bought £10k of shares and lost it no one would shed a tear for me, why is property speculation be any different?
Brett, London, UK
Houses are 50% inflated compared to 5 years ago. Finally the madness has stopped, and negative equity is collateral damage. The UK housing market was vulnerable to the US economy because of the failure to regulate it and allow it to spiral out of control. Now its getting corrected - good news.
Joe, Manchester,
In the US, we refer to this situation as being "underwater". The solution is not simple, sink with house, ie. stay there hoping that the market will rebound or swim away by abandoning it. In either case the outcome can be scary. Welcome to Arizona, Nevada, Florida and California. No flight required
John, CHICAGO, USA
Many have a distrust of pensions/stock market and thought they could 'play' the property market. Their 'expertise' and 'knowledge' were confirmed by year-on-year increases, fully justifying their pension-free and property-derived wealth on track.
Oh dear...
John, London,
Stability and prudence Labour watch words, pity they didn't know what it meant.
steve tea, manchester, cheshire
How many people have made overpayments on their 100 per cent loans sufficient to avoid being in negative equity? Excluding those who've come into a windfall, surely the answer must be roughly none, as most 100 per cent mortgages are taken out by people who cannot afford a deposit.
Adrian, London,
Good one paul but based on nothing other than your opinion. There has never been a price fall lasting 15 years. Prices have fallen 6 times since 1952, 6 times in 55 years. Thats fact (source Nationwide house price index) 620% increase in past 15 years, hardly a break even position. I'll buy you rent
mark connelly, surbiton, surrey
Mark: I think you are hopelessly wrong aside from the physical aspect of 'living in an asset'.
Ultimately the end buyer has bought an asset at one cost and when and if they go to sell will likely see a negative return.
IF they can pay the mortgage for the next 15 years they'll break even.
Paul Sullivan, Chester,
the doom and gloom people will have there day, but the wise investers know that properety = wealth always has and always will, after all propertty is free you never actually pay for it therefore money is for nothing, the only people who lost in the early 90s are those that sold, the key is cash flow
Steve, Doncaster, England
Mark, are all the speculators who drove prices up living in these properties?
If your arguement was true there would be people sleeping on every street.
This is what is spooking the market- the demand isn't real.
barry wiseman, bromley, kent
Barry you are hopelessly wrong, property is completely different from any other asset market. People don't live in the commodity market or live in a BT share. therefore there are all sorts of emotive factors that determine the property market.
mark connelly, surbiton, surrey
Prices will continue to fall and the negative equity club will grow. I think many buyers were hypnotised by property porn. The housing market is not really different to any other market, people seemed to think it was a one way bet.
barry dupont, brighton, east sussex