Gary Duncan and Gráinne Gilmore
Attend a special evening hosted by Mike Atherton
Doubts over the effectiveness and costs of drastic new measures in the United States, Britain and Europe to stabilise the global financial system were voiced in Davos at the weekend by leading economic and financial experts.
Leading economists challenged the effectiveness of Gordon Brown's plan to ring-fence distressed loan assets in British banks through a system of government guarantees that may also be adopted by President Obama.
Mr Obama is poised to announce a package this week to clean up US banks that is likely to include creating a “bad bank” to take over and hold the toxic assets clogging the American financial system.
Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, is working on plans for a rescue based around a bad bank approach in Europe's biggest economy.
There is speculation that the Irish Government is set to invest €7 billion (£6.1 billion) in the country's two biggest banks this week. Under the recapitalisation scheme, Allied Irish Bank (AIB) and Bank of Ireland would receive €3.5 billion each in preference shares, as well as government guarantees for more than €24 billion in bad loans. All UK Post Office accounts are operated by the Bank of Ireland.
There were intense talks over the new scheme, which will supersede the Government's first plan to inject €2billion into each bank, over the weekend, sources at the Irish Department of Finance said. An AIB spokesman said that the new figures were speculation.
It is understood that Dublin is keen to act before credit ratings agencies review Ireland's rating. Moody's has already put a “negative” outlook on the Republic. The Irish Government nationalised Anglo-Irish bank, the country's third-largest bank, last month.
Some of the world's leading policy experts in Davos were sharply at odds over whether a state-backed bad bank would prove effective in reviving stalled flows of credit to households and businesses.
Banking and business leaders at the World Economic Forum expressed frustration at the lack of a consensus on how to combat the crisis and at the slow pace of government action. The expected US Treasury move to switch from bolstering banks with vast new capital injections, mirroring Britain's previous measures, back to an initial bad bank plan to buy distressed securities linked to past loans was attacked by Joseph Stiglitz, the influential Nobel laureate in economics.
Professor Stiglitz, former chairman of President Clinton's council of economic advisers, said: “You should not chase good money after bad money. This is a new version of the old idea that I thought had been discarded, which was the ‘cash for trash' idea. The new proposal is ‘buy garbage in bulk'.”
Professor Stiglitz said that the costs of operating a bad bank, which is expected to have an initial purchasing power of up to $1 trillion (£691 billion) in the United States, could escalate. “If we do not do it right, we are talking about a national debt that is hard to manage.”
However, the bad bank proposals being hatched in Washington and Berlin, and expected by some to follow in Britain, were defended by Alan Blinder, former vice-chairman of the US Federal Reserve and a Princeton economics professor. “What is the alternative? Leave the banks that are under water to drown?” he said.
Professor Blinder questioned the British plan to guarantee toxic assets while leaving them on bank balance sheets, which is being looked at in Washington. “You do not insure a risk that has already happened — you don't buy fire insurance for a house that has already burnt down,” he said.
Angel Gurría, Secretary-General of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, said that bad bank schemes were the least worst option. The absence of viable alternatives meant that there was no choice.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
1998
£47,955
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
£353 per day
Phonepay Plus
London
PwC’s Consulting practice helps businesses of all shapes and sizes work smarter and grow faster
PwC
£37,000
Department for Culture, Media and Sport
London
Currently £36,285
Department for Culture, Media and Sport
London
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Accommodation, flights, tickets to the race and a KL city tour for only £999pp
PremierHolidays.co.uk
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.