Patrick Hosking
Win VIP tickets

Plans for a pan-European response to the global financial crisis lay in tatters last night as Greece followed Ireland in unilaterally guaranteeing all bank deposits.
Amid reports that Greek depositors were rushing to withdraw their savings, Greece's Cabinet agreed to protect all deposits whatever their size. Previously the maximum guaranteed was €20,000 (£15,600).
A proposal by President Sarkozy of France to create a European €300 billion bailout fund also collapsed, leaving attempts on this side of the Atlantic to calm investor panic and lubricate the money markets in chaos.
America's rejigged $700billion bank bailout still hangs in the balance, awaiting the approval of Congress today. But after days in which the surprises sprung by European governments had succeeded only in angering each other, the chances of a parallel joint plan from EU nations are, for now, slim to non-existent.
The latest chapter in the story of this piecemeal approach to stabilising the banking system began on Monday evening, when a group of Ireland's most senior bankers trooped into Government Buildings in Dublin.
It had been a terrible day in markets worldwide and a catastrophic one locally. One bank, Anglo Irish, had seen its shares plummet by 46 per cent. There were rumours of large depositors demanding their money, including one German customer wanting an immediate €1.5billion. Then came the horrendous news that Congress had rejected the US bailout plan.
The shaken Irish bankers were grave as they poured out their story to the Taoiseach, Brian Cowen, and the Finance Minister, Brian Lenihan. Liquidity was drying up, they said, other banks were refusing to lend to them except for the shortest periods. According to one source: “They basically said, ‘Look, tomorrow two of our banks won't survive'.”
Thus began the hatching of the explosive plan for a guarantee of all Irish bank deposits. Irish officials worked through the night to cobble together a credible plan.
There was no time to consult other governments, the European Commission or even the European Central Bank. A guarantee had to be in place before ordinary bank branches opened on Tuesday. At 4.15am the plan was completed. The promise would apply to six home-grown banks, and to no one else.
A couple of hours later Alistair Darling rose from his slumbers to be told the bad news. The Chancellor had for once had a full night's sleep, having spent most of the weekend stitching together the Bradford & Bingley deal.
Mr Darling immediately spoke by phone to Mr Lenihan. Why hadn't he been told? Why was there no consultation with other EU states? Mr Lehinan explained that there had been no time.
In Paris, President Sarkozy was already awake and grappling with his own crisis. Dexia, the Franco-Belgian bank, was in desperate trouble and short of liquidity after a 28 per cent plunge in its shares on Monday.
A limousine whisked him to the Élysée Palace, where François Fillon, the Prime Minister, was on the telephone to Yves Leterme, his Belgian counterpart.
The previous day, Mr Leterme had given his backing to the partial nationalisation of Fortis, the Benelux bank, for €11.2 billion. He had no trouble convincing French leaders that they should now help him to salvage Dexia. Mr Sarkozy and Mr Leterme both agreed to chip in €3 billion, and Jean-Claude Juncker, the Luxembourg Prime Minister, contributed €376 million. The deal was cemented while the croissants were still warm.
The rescue helped to reinforce Mr Sarkozy's belief that Europe-wide action was needed. A banking watchdog, curbs on executives' and traders' pay and a change to accountancy rules for financial institutions were among his ideas. He was warming too to the idea of a European bank rescue fund - an idea first floated by JanPeter Balkenende, the Dutch Prime Minister, who suggested that each EU state should contribute 3 per cent of its national wealth.
Back in London, share markets were stabilising after the horrors of Monday, but not for HBOS and its prospective rescuer Lloyds TSB, whose shares were plunging on growing fears that Lloyds shareholders would not support the deal on its current terms. Any failure to complete it could be disastrous for HBOS, whose shares had collapsed just before the Lloyds rescue on fears that, alone, it would suffer funding problems and a possible run.
A run of that magnitude would be unthinkable for Britain and deeply damaging personally for Gordon Brown, who two weeks earlier took the axe to normal anti-monopoly rules to wave through the deal.
Meanwhile Dublin's move was having awkward consequences. Depositors on both sides of the Irish Sea were beginning to vote with their feet. Allied Irish Bank reported a surge in new deposits, as did Bank of Ireland, as anxious savers rushed to pull their money from British-owned banks and put it in the six favoured institutions with a rock-solid guarantee.
British bank leaders were furious. Dublin's move might be good for Irish banks but it was bad for British ones, for whom deposits were lifeblood in such difficult conditions. By Tuesday evening, several banking leaders were putting their concerns directly to Mr Brown, Mr Darling and Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England, in a conference call.
The freezing of the money markets was still worsening in spite of hopes that a revamped US bailout plan could be passed. They asked for more liquidity. Specifically they wanted the Bank of England to relax the rules of its Special Liquidity Scheme (SLS), a mechanism that is already thought to have injected more than £100 billion into the banking system.
Mr Brown refused to follow Dublin's lead in guaranteeing all deposits.
By Wednesday, the fury over Ireland's unilateral guarantee was hardening in the City and across Europe. British banks were incandescent with their Irish counterparts, whom they accused of having deliberately exploited the situation to ring up corporate depositors and urge them to defect to “safer” Irish banks.
The case for an ambitious, co-ordinated response across Europe seemed stronger than ever to some on the Continent. That evening one European government source disclosed that France wanted Britain, Germany and Italy to back a €300 billion bank rescue fund at Mr Sarkozy's planned summit this weekend.
Within minutes, however, a German government spokesman bluntly rejected the idea in comments echoed by Angela Merkel. Confusion set in as French officials accused Germany of leaking the scheme to kill it off.
By late Wednesday evening French officials were changing tack to describe the €300billion fund as a Dutch idea, which they had always rejected. The Hague said it had no idea what France was talking about
The Élysée announced that a meeting between Mr Sarkozy and Mr Balkenende, due that evening, had been postponed for a day because the Dutch Prime Minister “has a problem with his airplane”.
By yesterday lunchtime, Hendrieneke Bolhaar, a Dutch finance ministry spokesman, said that the idea for a bank rescue fund had come from The Hague after all.
But farce then took over as Mr Balkenende emerged from his meeting with Mr Sarkozy - held after his aircraft started working again - to slap down the spokesman. There has “never been any question of a European fund”. It is all a “misunderstanding”, he said.
Instead, taking up a concept first mooted by Mr Balkenende, Mr Sarkozy is expected to float the idea that each EU country demonstrate that it has at least 3 per cent of its GDP at its disposal to help out in a financial crisis.
One EU diplomat told The Times that early French thinking on co-ordinated national funds had probably been mistakenly conflated into the idea of an EU fund, given that 3 per cent of EU GDP amounts to around €300 billion.
With the fund off the agenda, Mr Sarkozy finally persuaded Mr Brown and Mrs Merkel to meet him, Silvio Berlusconi, Mr Juncker, José Manuel Barroso, the European Commission chairman, and Jean-Louis Trichet, the chairman of the European Central Bank, in Paris on Saturday afternoon.
The official aim is merely to agree on a European plan for tighter investment bank regulation to put to the next G8 summit. Unoffically, Mr Sarkozy would also like a decision on a EU response to the crisis and at the very least an agreement not to follow Ireland's - and now Greece's - go-it-alone example.
But there has been little this week by the way of co-ordination to suggest that the plan has a chance.
Additional reporting by Adam Sage, Francis Elliott, David Sharrock and David Charter
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£23,093 - £56,211
The Office for National Statistics
Newport, South Wales
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Good work Ireland!!
JB, Atlanta, GA, US
I don't see what the problem is with governments guaranteeing bank deposits. Do you prefer bank runs?
Kiriakos, Bowie, USA
If the European Commission is worth anything at all it should stop this nonsense from Ireland and Greece immediately. An indefinite rush of cash into either can never be covered by their economies, the promise is therefore bogus and should be declared illegal.
Roger, Brussels, Belgium
The European Union, like the Organisation of African Unity and the United Arab Republic, is rapidly becoming an oxymoron.
Bill Peter, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
The Irish guarantees of 440 billon are more than twice the country's GNP of 186 billion. Greece's economy is a similar size, but they already have a vast national debt of 235bn.
The Greeks and the Irish have written cheques their countries clearly cannot afford. I'm not moving my money to AIB!
Geoff, London, UK
I don't understand this. No government ever announced intention for this mythical "300 billion euro resuce plan" and now that governments have said they won't do it, the "plan" is supposedly "in tatters" when clearly it simply didn't exist at any sort of high level in the first place.
Mark Johnson, Birmingham, UK
Give the people what they want. Reassurance that their hard earned savings will be safe. That simple!
colin, wolverhampton, UK
The only way to stop this in its tracks and prevent it ever happening again is,we (the world) have to stop subsidising the ridiculously lavish lifestyle that's seen as a God given right by the USA.
Udo, Melbourne, Australia
Ireland can offer a better deal to depositors than the UK, so they win the client. Ultimately, the potential of losing 30% of their banks overnight was not an option for Ireland. Imagine the impact of the UK losing 30% of its banks, catastrophic. I don't think they had any choice.
ipd, Tokyo, Japan
Has anyone heard a dickie bird from the IMF lately? They seem to have gone completely to ground.
You wont be able to have one Country only offering unlimited bank guarantees without adversely, and probably catastrophically, affecting other Countries. Watch this space.
Pedro, London, UK
The Irish did`nt have much of a choice. The consequences of not doing so would have been catastrophic both for Irish banks and liquidity within the economy. Ireland was on its own.
Britian would have ( should ) done the same. British banks operating in the Republic can now request to be included.
Mike Jordan, Belfast, UK
So Ireland should watch its banking system collapse in order to avoid "the fury" of the city and to allow time for Europe to develop a coordinated response?
We steadied our ship, stopped hedge fund attacks and put an end to the destabilising who will go next rumour mill. Good job if you ask me.
Frank, Dublin, Ireland
The Irish Government have just pulled a confidence trick. It is a calculated gamble. This will have major impact on relations with other EU governments. Reminds me of the LTCM bailout, when Bear Stearns wouldn't back it. The Bear CEO was told "we will never forget this".
Peter, Summit, USA
So much for the Federation of Europe - in times of crisis we all go our own way! Move to Australia whilst some of you still have a chance.
Ed Rees, Sydney, Australia
Whether or not Ireland and Greece can guarantee the deposits is a moot point as they are really in no worse a position than any other country on this, and at least by making the assurance they have caused capital inflow thus bolstering their banks without actually spending any money.
Karl, London, UK
Never forget that the arch Eurocrat Blair and his pathetic successor want to immerse us further into this complete and utter mess...
It is only when such grave issues are at the fore in the Euro debate that the EU's inherent weakness is exposed.
George Simm, Eshott, UK
It doesn't matter whether Greece and Ireland do or don't have the means to back up their guarantees -- they don't need to if savings are flowing in to prop up and profit their banks and to lower the asset to savings ratio. The fact is that Brown missed a major trick.
Jamie, Washington DC, USA
I think it would be best and most sensible if we all back to using our pounds, marks, francs, and crowns until this whole silly mess blew over.
David, Cambridge, UK
Simple mathematics clarifies that both the Greek and Irish plans are sound and fully asset backed. Elsewhere in the EU & US Nero's fiddle echoes. The high pitched bleat about Ireland (pop. 4 M) and absence of a strategy since the run on Northern Rock inspires scant confidence in the UK. Poor lambs
Algernon van Hout, Bruges, Belgium
Neither Ireland nor Greece have the assets to make their guarantees credible.
As the hot money flows to them, realisation of the paucity of the tax revenue base 'guaranteeing' them will strike, leading to an even quicker outflow.
National bankruptcy looms for both.
David Martin, bristol, uk
I think its a terribly good thing that Europe's common currency is backed by such well-coordinated policy between statesmen who clearly trust one another and see eye to eye.
Can you imagine this bunch trying to control a European Army?
They must be laughing themselves silly in DC and Moscow.
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/USA
This highlights the fragility of the underlying EU structure
Vincent Wales, Sydney, Australia
Time to bring back capital controls. If the Irish want to suck out British capital in the same way they are doing with companies with their tax rate then we need to put a stop to it.
Ian, Tokyo, Japan