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Up to 11,000 jobs could be cut from the UK's financial services industry over the three months, according to forecasts by the CBI.
The employers' group said that based on analysis of its latest Financial Services Survey, there will be finance sector job losses of between 10,000 and 11,000 between from early March and the beginning of June.
The survey, conducted in conjunction with PricewaterhouseCoopers, reported that the sector endured a painful first quarter of 2008, with higher operating costs and a sharp fall in profitability, and gave a gloomy outlook of rising borrowing costs for the coming six months.
Ian McCafferty, the CBI's chief economist, commented: "This is a very serious crisis."
"Some have suggested it's the worst financial crisis since the Second World War," Mr McCafferty said. "I think one of the key characteristics is that it will go on for quite some time to come."
Almost 50 per cent of the companies questioned for the CBI’s survey reported a fall in business volumes that was worse than expected.
Close to 20 per cent said that profitability was down, while 25 per cent had cut jobs during the quarter. Employment expectations for the coming three months were the bleakest since December 2002.
The Bank of England has been providing an extra £5 billion each week at its
cash auctions for Britain’s banks, but Mr McCafferty said that this would
not solve the fundamental problem of the lack of trust in the financial
markets that was plaguing companies. As a result, banks had refused to lend
to each other and lending to other businesses has slowed dramatically.
“It’s clear that the credit crunch has worsened over the first three months of
this year,” he said. “The interbank markets have become more gummed up, with
banks even more unwilling to lend, and credit spreads have widened.”
Companies said that their plans for spending on IT were flat and expenditure on land, buildings, vehicles, plant and machinery were the lowest since June 1992. Almost 10 per cent of respondents predicted that lending to industrial and commercial companies would decline in the next quarter.
Credit spreads were reported to have widened strongly by 35 per cent of the companies surveyed – the biggest gap since March 1993.
Continued funding difficulties meant that respondents were more pessimistic about the credit crunch than they had been in the final quarter of 2007.
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11,000 isnt enough - its about time the banking sector was made accountable to the rest of the economy. Virtually all workers in the private sector ultimately answer to shareholders which ultimately are the investment banks who sit at the top of pile making millions themselves in an industry thats all smoke and mirrors of interbank dealing of other peoples' money. And yet industry looks at the banking sector with a sense of awe and amazement. Having worked in energy and engineering and met with regularly with the banking sector - I see nothing special in terms of talent. What I do see though, is an industry that is unaccountable to the economy upon which it thrives - but when the banking sector gets it wrong, the rest of economy has to suffer. Somehow, this doesnt seem right???
Paul, Manchester, UK
If they say 11,000 jobs then it'll be at least double that..... the 'lagging indicators' are finally coming home to roost. All predicted by me and others, here and in other places. All so clear and obvious the insiders got out last year and are sitting pretty waiting for the spoils. 'It could never happen again'?!...well it has..................
george, aylesbury, uk
So what can we sell off, lie, cheat to make the economy balance the books now?
Engineering: NO all sold or simply died due to lack of investment.
Service: NO currently making loses.
Financial: NO funded by taxpayer due to widespread incompetence.
Housing: NO collapse immanent due to greed and false evaluation.
What we need is an honest government to create an environment in which the seeds of our futures can be re-sown into sustainable industries.
jo, chi, uk
Maybe they will be forced to sell their second homes, allowing good local people to buy them at a lower price.
Hurrah !!
philip, Andover, England
At last - finally people in the banking sector get to suffer the free market pressures and drive for efficiency that the rest of the private sector has had to deal with since 2001. The technology sector has been decimated since then and those working in it never have job security beyond the quarterly results. Finally those in banking might share some of the economic pain they help to cause with their speculative, ruthless practices.
Someone should set up a soup kitchen for the poor dears - serving gazpacho soup made from organic vine tomatoes and delicately spiced with chilies hand-grown on the slopes of the Andes, accompanied by ciabatta bread flown in from a mountain village in Tuscany where it's baked fresh every morning by devoted nuns. That's the high life they're used to, isn't it?
MB, Edinburgh,
It says it all, "the banks don't trust each other", and the public don't trust the banks.
It's high time these untrustworthy people are finally sorted out. To be honest I would rather place my trust in a down to earth steelworker than an overpaid twit who cannot produce anything but numbers based on hot air.
I have worked for the banks and was always amazed at the number of employees doing seemingly nothing except justifying the employment of managers upon managers. 11,000 is not enough, get rid of twice that tomorrow.
This is the year 2008, and they still can't clear a financial transaction inside of three days, no improvement since the year 1800, and to boot charge exorbitant amounts for doing so.
Bob Travels, Stevenage,
How many people work in the city? What percentage of it is 11,000?
Jamie, Halifax, West Yorkshire
Perhaps they will all be employed by Price Waterhouse to find out what they did wrong when working in the City. Hence no loss of jobs just a shift to an even more useless industry.
david, boston , UK
Why the news?
Throughout the 1980's and 1990's, millions of engineering and manufacturing jobs were lost in this period in this country. THAT is a large number of job losses.
Now tell me. We know that the City of London is self financing and an economy of its own that subsidises the rest of the UK, so why can't it subsidise the 11,000 (or more likely 30,000) job losses which a surely a drop in the ocean when compared to the subsidy it makes to the rest of the country.
Probably it is also a drop in the ocean when compared to the £100 billion pounds that Northern Rock are receiving in subsidy and this will come from the very much self financing London economy won't it?
Alistairs Solicitors, South West, UK
dam, thats 11,000 more buy-to-letters for this country!
We're all doomed.
Oliver , Reading, UK
Starting the propaganda for interest rate cuts early this month aren't we?
Alex Ritchie, Salisbury, UK