Miranda McLachlan and Christine Seib
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Up to 11,000 jobs could be cut from the UK's financial services industry over the three months, according to forecasts by the CBI.
The employers' group said that based on analysis of its latest Financial Services Survey, there will be finance sector job losses of between 10,000 and 11,000 between from early March and the beginning of June.
The survey, conducted in conjunction with PricewaterhouseCoopers, reported that the sector endured a painful first quarter of 2008, with higher operating costs and a sharp fall in profitability, and gave a gloomy outlook of rising borrowing costs for the coming six months.
Ian McCafferty, the CBI's chief economist, commented: "This is a very serious crisis."
"Some have suggested it's the worst financial crisis since the Second World War," Mr McCafferty said. "I think one of the key characteristics is that it will go on for quite some time to come."
Almost 50 per cent of the companies questioned for the CBI’s survey reported a fall in business volumes that was worse than expected.
Close to 20 per cent said that profitability was down, while 25 per cent had cut jobs during the quarter. Employment expectations for the coming three months were the bleakest since December 2002.
The Bank of England has been providing an extra £5 billion each week at its
cash auctions for Britain’s banks, but Mr McCafferty said that this would
not solve the fundamental problem of the lack of trust in the financial
markets that was plaguing companies. As a result, banks had refused to lend
to each other and lending to other businesses has slowed dramatically.
“It’s clear that the credit crunch has worsened over the first three months of
this year,” he said. “The interbank markets have become more gummed up, with
banks even more unwilling to lend, and credit spreads have widened.”
Companies said that their plans for spending on IT were flat and expenditure on land, buildings, vehicles, plant and machinery were the lowest since June 1992. Almost 10 per cent of respondents predicted that lending to industrial and commercial companies would decline in the next quarter.
Credit spreads were reported to have widened strongly by 35 per cent of the companies surveyed – the biggest gap since March 1993.
Continued funding difficulties meant that respondents were more pessimistic about the credit crunch than they had been in the final quarter of 2007.
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