Carl Mortishead: Analysis
Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
Bear Stearns is a lot bigger than Northern Rock and the US Federal Reserve has much larger shoulders than the Bank of England, but that doesn't avoid the unpleasant issue of whether central bankers should bail out financial institutions that fail to manage risk effectively.
After all, that is a bank's job. What else is the function of a bank? The Wall Street towers of glass are in fact inverted pyramids. With a pebble of equity as the foundation, they erect great structures of debt and the ensuing balancing act determines their solvency. Banks must have an accurate view of the value of the assets that underpin their borrowings if they are to keep risk manageable, but the unpleasant reality is that no one has a clue what America's mortgage-backed bonds are worth.
Bear Stearns made a living trading in such securities but someone forgot to tell it that housing is not a financial market. Ask an estate agent - in good times they can price your suburban semi to within a few hundred pounds. In a falling market they can only suck it and see.
The mortgage securitisation market is a huge fantasy built on out-of-date valuations and foreclosure statistics. It was invented to create more liquidity in an extended housing boom but, unlike bonds or shares, housing is not a liquid market. It just goes one way at a time and now that is down.
The Fed tried to stave off this crisis by lending hundreds of billions of dollars to allcomers. It failed and now it is supporting one institution in the fear that its demise might cause a mass dumping of mortgage securities and further erosion of their value.
A rescue of Bear Stearns will not help unless lenders truly believe the market has hit the floor. Why would the Fed's panicky action to help a foolish bank be perceived as being on solid ground? Instead, investors will carry on doing what they have been doing, taking the Fed's money and using it to quit the mortgage markets and invest in oil, gold and foodstuffs - real commodities that people need to stay alive.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
I bet Joseph C Lewis is feeling a bit sick, after buying 7% of Bear Stearns at $107 a share, back in September
mark, Chichester, England