John Waples and Iain Dey
Attend a special evening hosted by Mike Atherton
THE shareholder activist Knight Vinke has presented Stephen Green, chairman of HSBC, with four options to sever ties with HFC, its troubled American banking business.
The proposals have been made in a series of private meetings between Eric Knight, who heads the activist-investor group, and Green, ahead of HSBC’s full-year results, which are due to be published tomorrow.
These results will show record profits of $24 billion (£12 billion) for HSBC, but they will be scarred by the bank’s huge exposure to America’s sub-prime mortgage crisis.
Knight believes that each of his four solutions would “build a firewall” around HSBC’s future exposure. The bank has been one of the largest losers from America’s mortgage meltdown, having lent money to thousands of homeowners with poor credit histories.
The most dramatic of the four options involves HSBC walking away from HFC, leaving its bondholders with $150 billion of debt.
Knight Vinke says bondholders have no recourse to HSBC, although analysts say such a measure would badly damage the bank’s reputation in America.
Green has conceded that he wants to draw a line under HFC’s mortgage business, but he has not put a timescale on it.
Its American arm has cost it more than $11 billion this year from its exposure to stretched American consumers.
In the last two years the write-offs that have stemmed from HFC have topped the $14 billion price it paid for Household International five years ago. HFC formed the largest part of this acquisition. Knight called it a “catastrophic strategic error”.
Knight’s second solution involves HSBC asking HFC’s creditors to help restructure its $150 billion debt. This could involve asking them to undertake a debt-for-equity swap. HSBC could also swap its own $15 billion interbank loan with HFC into equity or write it off.
If this move is successful, HFC would still operate as a subsidiary, but HSBC would have no ongoing liability. It would allow HFC to carry on as a subsidiary company, but on a stand-alone basis with no further support from its parent.
Knight believes that if HSBC does walk away from its loan to HFC, it will quickly claw back the loss from a rapid rise in its share price. By shedding its American business, the majority of the group’s earnings would come from growth markets in Asia and Hong Kong, and this would give it a significantly higher market rating.
The third solution, according to Knight, is “for HSBC to recapi-talise HFC by injecting between $10 billion and $15 billion in cash or writing off its existing inter-company loan, and then selling the business”.
The fourth option involves recapitalising HFC and then demerging it into a stand-alone quoted company.
Green has been looking hard at the options for HFC. Last Friday he reconfirmed his strategy to move away from mature markets when he sold 400 bank branches in France to Banque Populaire for $3.2 billion.
Aside from the troubles in the bank’s American mortgage business, HSBC is expected to unveil a huge surge in impairments on its unsecured loan book. Across the group, total bad debt charges are expected to stretch to $16 billion a 50% rise on last year.
HSBC’s profits have been boosted by the sale of its Canary Wharf headquarters building in London, and big gains on some of its Chinese holdings.
The bank’s stakes in Chinese insurance group Ping An, and the Bank of Communications have been marked up by more than $1 billion. It is also expected to announce board changes.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
1998
£47,955
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
£100,000
Barnardos
UK
PwC’s Consulting practice helps businesses of all shapes and sizes work smarter and grow faster
PwC
£37,000
Department for Culture, Media and Sport
London
Currently £36,285
Department for Culture, Media and Sport
London
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Includes flights, accommodation with room upgrades, transfers city tours in Hong Kong and Bangkok.
PremierHolidays.co.uk
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.