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Northern Rock’s leading shareholders are preparing to vote down a rescue proposal from Sir Richard Branson's Virgin Group despite the looming threat that the beleaguered mortgage bank will be nationalised if a deal fails.
It is understood that RAB Capital and SRM Global, the two hedge funds that are the Rock’s largest investors, will oppose the Virgin offer when it comes to a shareholder vote. Between them, the two firms hold a 19.68 per cent stake in the bank.
“If it were a two-way competition between Virgin and nationalisation, we would vote for nationalisation,” said a source close to one of the leading shareholders yesterday.
Legal & General Investment Management is the third-largest owner of Rock shares, with a stake of 4.79 per cent. Together, the three investors are within a whisker of owning the 25 per cent required to block a Virgin-led rescue.
RAB Capital bought a further 180,000 shares yesterday and the hedge fund has been a regular buyer over recent days.
The only way the Government could bypass a Northern Rock shareholder vote would be to force the bank into administration, but that would be a legal minefield.
L&G holds its Rock stake through its activist fund, run by the respected fund manager Mark Burgess. City sources said L&G was likely to back Northern Rock’s management, who have put forward their own rescue proposal that would see the bank remain independent and install Paul Thompson as chief executive.
This plan also appears to have the support of SRM, which will today formally challenge the view that the Government’s existing loans to Northern Rock amount to state aid. An official European Union ruling will be made on 17 March.
In a formal submission to the Treasury, SRM will argue that the Bank of England was acting as a central bank liquidity provider and that any move to nationalise the bank would be an “abuse of power”.
The defiance on the part of Rock shareholders underscores the high stakes involved as the saga surrounding the future of the Tyneside lender moves into its closing stages.
A final government decision on its future could come as early as this weekend. SRM has taken legal advice that has concluded that if the Government nationalises Northern Rock, it must pay shareholders the book value of the bank, estimated to be 400p a share.
This runs counter to the Government’s legal advice, which states that shareholders should receive the market value of the bank, less the value of support so far offered through emergency loans from the Bank of England.
The Bank has lent about £26 billion so far and has taken an estimated £91 billion in liabilities on to its balance sheet.
Meanwhile, it was reported last night that the Government is asking Virgin Group for a £200 million fee in the event the bidder succeeded in turning round Northern Rock within three years.
The money would be in return for the use of its guarantee of the Bank of England’s £25 billion loan. Rock shares closed ¾p higher at 96p yesterday, valuing the bank at just over £402 million.
L&G declined to comment on its preferred outcome. RAB declined to comment. SRM Global did not return calls.
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The Labour Government doesn't understand business- those in the 1960s will remember their decision to tx share splits etc. Moreover their legislation on the nationalisation of steel companies was equally appalling.
The 'Hedge Funds' are holding out against a Government that has chosen to use Public Monies to shore up a failed bank for particular political reasons.
If they stop Branson's and any other offer by voting against it- Bush & Blair's 'democracy in action'- and the Government can't capitulate and allow either bankruptcy with the losses to depositors then it will have to use more Public funds to correct the mess it has incubated since 1997.
The fee of £200m seems an extraordinarily low figure for the State to support the risks of the debt instruments it is to 'insure' for three years. A figure of 1%-2% would be a minimum for loans against assets falling in value and based on 125% of the hyped initial price.
Damian, Eastbourne,
Virgin represents all that is good in the world. I think this would be a good fit and a necessary move to ensure banking stability not just in England but globally.
Andrew Wyllie, Montreal, Canada
In my opinion, Branson is not a fit and proper person to be a Director of a bank. Remember the Dover Customs affair earlier on in his career.
David, Poole,
How many more Northern Rock 'deadlines' is the Chancellor going to set. This latest 'deadline' must be at least the 5th since this mess came to light last year. It is patently obvious that he still hasn't got a clue on how to bring this whole sorry story to a conclusion.
However, I can't help feeling that politics, (all 6000 Rock employees are in a NE Labour stronghold), rather than common sense is at work here. Compare with the failure of Equitable Life where little or no Government money was forthcoming and arguably more people have been affected.
If he had allowed this wholly private company to go into liquidation last year, the shareholders would still have complained, but by now any sympathy would have evaporated. The banks would have had to stump up any compensation owing, not the taxpayers who are being treated as Labour party donors to the tune of £30Bn
pip, Sutton, Surrey
capitalism at its worse; as a tax payer I am also a share holder in kind and I say dump the greedy blighters and I am sure the rest of us tax payers would outvote the speculators.
mike gee, bournemouth, uk
If SRM believes that Northern Rock is worth "book value" of 400p per share then why isn't it buying shares up to that price? Clearly it is trying "greenmail" but there is no logical reason why the Government should capitulate. If Northern Rock is insolvent then it should be wound up shareholders should lose their money. That is what capital in general - and share capital in particular -- is there for in a market economy.
Ian, Frederick, USA/MD
This saga seems to just go on and on.Is there an end in sight or will there be more deadline dates ? Just seems on the face of it the government is being pushed around however strong they want to be seen to appear.
L.S Harrison, Birmingham, England
Why should hedge funds - no more than gamblers - who bought shares in Northern Rock after the collapse have any say. Yet again HMG shows itself an appalling negotiator causing the tax paying public to lose out to private sector organsitions every time. All ministers and permanent secretaries hould be required to have gone to business school or equivalent.
Garth Wiseman, London, London, england