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Ben Bernanke, Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, provided the clearest indication yet that he intends to fight America’s looming recession as he pledged to act “as needed” to shore up its flagging economy.
In remarks that economists said reinforced the case for a further interest rate cut, Mr Bernanke said that the economic outlook had deteriorated in recent months and pinned much of the blame on the credit crunch.
Speaking to a Senate Banking Committee hearing into America’s mortgage meltdown, Mr Bernanke said that the central bank “will act in a timely manner as needed to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks”.
He said: “More expensive and less available credit seems likely to continue to be a source of restraint on economic growth. The outlook for the economy has worsened in recent months and the downside risks to growth have increased.”
Brian Fabbri, chief US economist for BNP Paribas, said: “This is the strongest statement yet by the Fed that it is dedicated to supporting growth and shows that it has had a revolution in its thinking.
“Bernanke emphasised the financial strains in a statement that clearly directed policy toward improving growth prospects. Even since its last rate cuts at the end of January, the Fed seems to have become more determined to do what it can to support the economy.”
Although Mr Bernanke alluded to the need for the Fed to keep an eye on inflation, potentially reducing its scope for further rate cuts, Mr Fabbri said that such a brief mention further emphasised that economic growth was by far the Fed’s biggest priority.
Eliot Spitzer, the New York Governor, told a separate hearing of the House Financial Services subcommittee on capital markets that the difficulties faced by the bond insurers could turn into a “financial tsunami” if they did not receive big cash injections.
Bond insurers such as MBIA and Ambac guarantee the interest and principal payments on securities that they underwrite in the event of default by the issuer. They face billions of dollars in claims on mortgage bonds, because of a leap in defaults on the home loans that back them, which they will struggle to meet. Insurers’ failure to pay out could lead to more writedowns in Wall Street firms and other holders of the bonds that the insurers underwrite.
Eric Dinallo, the New York Insurance Department superintendent, who is leading attempts to bail out some of the main bond insurers, yesterday outlined a plan to split the main securities underwriters into two businesses. One would consist of the healthy part of the business, which underwrites safe local government bonds that form the bulk of their operations. The other would consist of high-risk mortgage bonds, Mr Dinallo told the hearing. Mr Spitzer added that if the bond insurers did not find fresh capital within three to five business days, they faced a good chance of Mr Dinallo's proposal being enacted.
Separately, it emerged that Citic, the Chinese securities group, is hoping to increase the stake it receives from its recently agreed $1 billion investment in Bear Stearns from 6 per cent to 9.9, to account for a decline in the Wall Street firm’s share price since the deal.
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It's too late Ben, it is the housing market stupid.
House prices have been allowed to rise to un-realistic levels and the population of the US have realised what a mistake they have made.
Countrywide house price falls may be very unusual in the US but we have experienced this a few times in the UK. When this happens house prices fall to below the trend value and then eventually start to rise again. You are powerless now and the market needs to correct itself, unfortunately this process takes years.
Keith, Ashford,
The US and UK share the common problem of consumers living beyond their means. No amount of tinkering with interest rate levers will fix the problem. In fact matters could be made a whole lot worse by triggering rampant inflation and subsquent social upheaval.
Politicians and bankers now need to apply common sense. Take the pain and let us all adjust the more quickly to the need for creation of real money rather than Monopoly money.
Steve Marchant, Broadhempston, UK
The Fed has no credibility. Their incompetence and total lack of common sense created another bubble that has now burst. The Fed's remedy is to to inflate something else. The game is up. It is about time America and the UK lived within our means. It will be painful but we will all the more fitter for it.
Paul Anderson, Blackpool,
Market correction of national financial sector imbalances to the real economy is bound to happen with some time lag producing occational ripples and bubbles.The managers of financial institutions ,economy,and nation should make introspection and review why such huge financial imbalance in planning their resources has occured to househod and corporate finance and national budgetting and the impact of also the foreign policy,foreign military interventions draining the real economy.
US now should correct its attitude to UN and take more initiative to lead it towards bringing global unity of political economy intune with globalisation of corporate busunes economy and polity to readjust itself and regain its declining glory in world theater.
s.lakshma reddy, hyderabad, india