Christine Seib
Win a £1500 Raymond Weil watch
The chief executive of Germany's largest bank sent the country's stocks into retreat yesterday after predicting that troubles in monoline insurers could be a “tsunami” comparable to last year's sub-prime mortgage crisis.
Josef Ackermann, chief executive of Deutsche Bank, said that recent downgrades of the ratings of monolines, which provide bond insurance around the world, could have a knock-on effect similar to the collapse of America's high-risk mortgage market last year.
“It could be a tsunami-like event comparable to sub-prime,” Mr Ackermann said. His comments sent a chill through shareholders and the DAX index closed down 113.79 at 6,733.72
However, shares in Deutsche Bank closed higher after the bank reported better than expected figures for the fourth quarter of 2007. Pre-tax profits fell by 25percent to about €1.4billion (£1.04billion), beating consensus expectations, and the bank avoided booking any further writedowns on its sub-prime-related investments. The shares closed up almost 1 per cent at €74.97, as investors expressed relief that Deutsche Bank appeared to have escapted the credit meltdown relatively unscathed.
In the third quarter Deutsche Bank wrote down €2.2billion of assets hit by the US sub-prime mortgage market collapse.
Mr Ackermann said: “Those trading businesses in which we reported losses in the third quarter produced a positive result in the fourth quarter.”
Mr Ackermann, who turned 60 yesterday, said that fourth-quarter writedowns on leveraged finance business would be no more than $50million. However, he refused to rule out further losses. “Uncertainty remains as to how large the impact of the turbulence will be on global economic growth over the next few months and what writedowns will still be necessary on the books of the banks concerned,” he said. Mr Ackermann said that he expected the financial sector to stay unsettled for another six to nine months.
Deutsche Bank's corporate and investment banking business's pre-tax profit fall 43 per cent to €669 million in the fourth quarter. Pre-tax profits of the global transaction banking business rose 45 per cent to €222 million.
The bank reported a rise in loan loss provisions from €131million to €329million, mainly to reflect an expected shortfall from a single client.
Mr Ackermann reaffirmed a 2008 pre-tax profit target of €8.4 billion.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
1998
£47,955
2004
£56,950
Essex
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
£100,000
Barnardos
UK
£123,460 pa
The Law Commission
London
Hampshire County Council
Competitive + bonus + benefits
Manchester United
Central London
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Includes flights, accommodation with room upgrades, transfers city tours in Hong Kong and Bangkok.
PremierHolidays.co.uk
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
Choose from the beautiful landscape and tranquil beaches of Oahu, Kauai, Maui & Big Island.
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.