Miles Costello
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A key Government pledge on debt policy appeared to be left in tatters today after at least £90 billion of Northern Rock's liabilities were officially brought on to the public sector's balance sheet.
The move, which covers all of the stricken Tyneside lender's wholesale borrowings, securitisations issues and customer deposits, makes it almost certain that the Treasury's "golden rule" on the ratio of debt to GDP will be breached.
It comes only weeks before Alistair Darling, the Chancellor, is due to present his annual Budget.
The Government's "sustainable investment rule" states that debt should not represent more than 40 per cent of GDP. The ratio stood at 37.7 per cent in December, with public sector net debt at £536.5 billion.
The Treasury declined to comment on whether the rule would be breached.
Martin Kellaway, a National Statistics statistician who co-authored a 26-page explanation of the reclassification, said Northern Rock's finances had been subject to scrutiny since November.
He said National Statistics' estimate that the Rock's liabilities were roughly £90.7 billion for the purposes of the Government's balance sheet were based on its report and accounts as at the end of 2006.
He said it was not clear whether the actual figure to include the period since then was higher or lower. It will take two to three months for National Statistics to establish a precise number for the liabilities.
Previous total taxpayer exposure to the Rock has been estimated at more than £57 billion, equivalent to a cost of about £2,000 for every Briton.
Coming only a week after the Institute for Fiscal Studies, a respected think tank, gave warning that a hole in Government finances meant that taxes would have to go up by £8 billion, it represents yet another blow to the economic credibility of Mr Darling and Gordon Brown, the prime minister.
The Treasury declined to comment on whether plans for the Budget would be effected by today's action.
A spokesperson for the Treasury said: "As the Chancellor has said, any impact would be temporary and exceptional and the code for fiscal stability has provisions for such situations.
"We will report on the fiscal position and our assessment of performance against the fiscal rules at the Budget in the usual way."
Sources close to the Treasury were relaxed about the reclassification, stressing that the rule was put in place to act as "intergenerational" protection and that any breach would be temporary.
The Office for National Statistics said the embattled Tyneside mortgage lender would be reclassified as a public financial corporation as from last October, in the wake of the Treasury's promise to underwrite its emergency borrowings from the Bank of England.
The Bank's financial position will also be included for statistical purposes, which would mean the Bank and Northern Rock's transactions would effectively cancel each other out.
Although National Statistics said the reclassification "should not be confused with 'nationalisation', which is a term commonly used to refer to public ownership", the move would smoothe the process for the Government should it decide to pursue that route.
Goldman Sachs, which has been advising the Treasury, has put together a plan that would see Rock debt, underwritten by Government, sold on the public markets.
Northern Rock has been in financial crisis since its emergency Bank loans emerged in September. It found itself in serious financial trouble after becoming over-reliant on borrowing on the wholesale markets.
Earlier this week Sir Richard Branson's Virgin Group and a Rock management team fronted by Paul Thompson submitted rescue proposals.
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A handful of private individuals such as our ex-PM and many other politicians as well as their industrialist friends have enriched themselves on the back of the rest of us. Now they threaten to expatriate themselves if they are asked to pay £30k a measly annual contributions....
Esther Phillips, Leatherhead,
This is similar to the student loans fiasco, these are "officially off balance sheet" as they sit with The student loans company but we all know very many of the students the government has encouraged to rack up £10000+ of debt will never be able to pay it back because the poor souls are undertaking mikey mouse degrees that don't deliver an opening to jobs where earnings will be high enough to trigger repayment. The government guarantees the loans but seemingly has found a way to keep them off the balance sheet.
Labour = fiscal cheats that have run this country into the ground and wasted massive sums delivering zero real improvement in anything other than their own massaged statistics... David Blaine should take lessons from the masters of illusion... the labour government.
abharrisson, london,
Clever! Who'll notice another 8 billion tacked onto this.
Dudley Holley, Thorpe Bay, UK
NR is obviously a liability. It will become a very serious liability when house prices start to fall - as they clearly will over the next few years. Anyone who buys the mortgage book is simply acquiring negative equity in-waiting, and we will all pay the price thanks to the incompetents who spend our taxes.
Peter Arthur, St.Albans, Herts
And what about the monumental PFI debt?
Ann Lavery, Redditch, Worcs
The Office of National Statistics is correct when they say the value of the public corporation cancels out the liability that has been added to the national debt as of today â tomorrow will be different though.
The taxpayer is in effect making a loan of £90 billion. The asset underwriting this loan is an insolvent bank. If one takes the most benign view and assumes that only the rack rate of interest need apply (5.25% base rate + 0.75% Libor), this comes out at 6% or £5.4 billion for this year. As the interest rolls up it follows that next year it would then be £5.7 billion if the loan has still not been repaid. Then there are the overheads of the business at about another £1 billion a year, which cannot produce profits because the business is dead in the water, business losses reduce the value further. Finally as we enter a period of falling house prices the value of the collateral underwriting the business is itself depreciating monthly.
Nice one Gordon!
figurewizard, petersfield, hampshire
"As the Chancellor has said, any impact would be temporary and exceptional "
Ironically, that's what the Attlee government said in 1945 when it nationalised coal It claimed that the Coal industry would need a "temporary" subsidy just to tide it over as some pits were closed and men retrained.
Forty years later miners were fighting police in the street to preserve the same subsidy that had in fact never ended.
And the same story was repeated for Steel, the Car industry and the Aerospace industry, until Maggie ended it.
Now we see it all starting up again. Little, by little, by little subsidies and covert nationalization is coming back.
How many times do we have to be fed these very same lies by Labour before we say "Enough"?
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/USA
Revenge is sweet. That'll teach them not to move the ONS offices again.
Peter, Genoa, Italy
And that's why they are now going to tax small family companies with their outrageous "income-shifting" tax...
Glad that I've left the UK last December!
Robert, Oostende, Belgium
No rules will be broken! Read my lips, No rules will be broken.! You should have all clearly understood by now that we always change them as the need arises. We never break the rules, ever.
D Case, Newquay,
What a load of statistical rubbish from the Government. NR is a liability, as are the billions of pounds of PFI funding that have been hidden from the public deficit figures.
As a nation the UK needs to reign in spending and go through the painful adjustment from consumer orientated to export orientated economy.
Steve Marchant, Broadhempston, UK