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Citigroup shed hundreds of its London staff yesterday as fears intensified that Britain and the City are heading for recession.
The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR), an independent think-tank, said that it now expected about 8,000 City job losses this year, a 20 per cent increase on its last forecast, in October.
The cuts come as markets continue to digest the US Federal Reserve’s emergency cut in American interest rates on Tuesday.
The FTSE 100 index of leading UK shares fell 130.8 to 5,609.3 yesterday, all but wiping out gains made immediately after the 75 basis point cut to US rates on Tuesday. However, in New York, the Dow Jones industrial average made a dramatic turnaround from heavy early losses to trade up nearly 300 points at 12,270.17.
George Soros, the billionaire fund manager who predicted sterling’s devaluation in 1992, told the BBC yesterday that negative economic growth was unavoidable in the US and the UK. His comments were supported by Sir Howard Davies, the director of the London School of Economics and former Deputy Governor of the Bank of England. Sir Howard said: “The chances of avoiding recession here are pretty slight.”
Citigroup, headed in Europe by Bill Mills, began a 4,200 global redundancy programme yesterday, the same day that some of its 11,000 Canary Wharf-based staff were informed of their latest annual bonus payments — awards that have been blunted by the group’s sub-prime-related losses.
Fixed-income traders at the world’s largest bank will bear the brunt of the 150 job cuts expected from Citigroup’s London investment banking team, sources said. Cuts are also due in equity research, wealth management and consumer banking, taking its UK cull to between 300 and 400, sources said.
The Citigroup retrenchment means that investment banks in London are thought to have cut close to 1,000 jobs in recent weeks. City recruiters expect Bank of America, another big London employer reeling from multibillion-dollar writedowns relating to the credit crunch, to start announcing job cuts shortly. The bank was due to announce its annual bonuses this week but a final decision has been delayed to next Monday, sources said.
Accounting and law firms are expected to freeze hiring of juniors as fallout from the bank sector ripples out.
Minutes of the latest Bank of England interest-rate setting committee meeting did little to dispel the gloom. They revealed that only one of its nine members voted to cut UK rates from the current 5.5 per cent. However, the Office for National Statistics released data showing that the economy continued to grow by a robust 0.6 per cent in the last three months of 2007, down from 0.7 per cent in the third quarter but above forecasts for 0.5 per cent.
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What an absolute shambles - the Banks control our economy which we are told is on the verge of recession.
If we do enter recession in england, it will be because the banks did not want to eat into their extortionate profits - no other reason at all.
The banks should be abolished as feudalism can no longer be tolerated especially when it is thinly disguised as capitalism.
The government is a complete kakistocracy, and what is worse; there are no real alternatives!
The real issues are swathed in complicated explanations expertly delivered by politicians who apart apart from convulsive rhetoric have no place in our society - a true definition for the word vestigial.
David Hathering, London, England
We keep hearing the word recession plastered around every place I read information. I believe this to be an in appropriate term and feel more inclined myself to agree with other comments on this web page..
I see our core problems as a nation stemming from the data we are provided with via the media etc, we have to look at the bigger pictures.
High street
Under attack from
(a) Credit crunch + Interest Rate = less spending
(b) Online Business = less transactions high street
(c) Supermarkets = Centralised spending
Housing
Under Attack from
(a) Over valuation (increase in estate agent practice)
(b) Interest rate concerns
(d) Overload TV house programs
(e) Cheap immigrant grey economy labour de valuing labour
(f) Large investors pulling out of property in favour of other stocks
(g) BTL Mortgages for meddlers
I am running short on characters left so who is to blame
Banks,Government,Media + Consumer greed!!!
Correction is the vaccination to this sick economyâ¦â¦â¦.
Sean Scholes , Rossendale , Lancashire
can't believe that people are waiting for the country to grind to a halt econonically - these people work incredibly hard and make scarifices to get their money. Not everyone working in the City earns jaw dropping bonuses. And if there is a recession it will affect you too, your job and the cash in your pocket. and you still wont be able to afford that house!
lisa, London,
Good about time to. These city traders are grossly overpayed, my husband's brotherinlaw is one, landed a job just like that in America all living in the lap of luxury and owning about six houses. How the other half live!!!! Know one is worth that amount of money.
Roz Benfield, chichester, united kingdom
I am in the same boat as Matthrew. Recession ..Recession..!
LOVE IT have nothing to lose. On a salary of £21k with 2.4 children could not afford a decent meal out for years.
Sonny, Hounslow, Middlesex
"Bring on the recession"? I can only guess that when the last one happened you were too young to notice your parents worrying about paying the mortgage, keeping their job, etc.
Careful what you wish for...
Timbo, London,
I totally agree with Mathew in Cambridge,,,, a re-adjustment is more than welcome.
Jamie, Glasgow, Scotland
and your so called economist David Smith says all is rosy....lol lol lol lol
mark, chester, cheshire
Bring on the recession..! On a salary of £25k per annum and house prices at 10 times that something is very badly wrong with system and needs correcting. I have got nothing to lose apart from a salary that gets me no where anyway.
Matthew.giles, Cambridge,
I keep wondering how many of the top management are going to (justifiably) lose their jobs and/or have to repay their bonuses for presiding over their foolish lending strategy of making loans to people who could not afford to repay.
David, Poole,
Recession and city job cuts? Perhaps I will now be able to afford a house in London sometime before I am 40...
James E. Petts, Burnham, England
What's the bank of england thinking about? the economic data is lagged - basically it takes a train time to stop. the bank is looking at backward indicators rather than feeling the pulse of current and future activity.
stephen jones, china, china