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Why all the fuss about Northern Rock today?
The Government is stuck with a £25 billion outstanding loan to an unstable
bank. European Commission rules on state aid will allow the Government to
continue to prop up the Rock for a limited time only. Alistair Darling needs
to find a solution, and fast. The Chancellor is reluctant to take the bank
into public ownership because that would be embarrassing for the Government.
But would-be buyers are struggling to raise enough money both to pay back
the Government and run the bank because of the turmoil in global financial
markets.
What is the Chancellor’s solution?
Northern Rock would sell bonds to investors and use the proceeds to pay back
the Government. This would remove one of the big stumbling blocks because
any bidder for the bank would only have to raise enough money to keep it in
business, not to pay off its huge loans.
Bonds are often used by companies as a way of raising cash. In return for buying a bond, investors receive an income, known as a coupon. Bonds are given a set lifespan of anything from six months to 50 years. When the bond matures, the company must repay investors their original capital. Northern Rock’s bonds are likely to have a five-year maturity.
These new bonds would be guaranteed by the Government. With global stockmarkets plunging at the moment, this kind of investment is even more attractive than usual to investors such as pension funds who prefer stable assets. There should be a big market for Northern Rock bonds.
Does this mean that taxpayers are off the hook?
Taxpayers would still be exposed to some risk for at least the five-year life
of the bonds. If the bank failed to pay the coupons, the Government would
have to use taxpayers’ money to cover the cost as well as returning the
original capital to investors. But taxpayers might benefit if the bank is a
success because the Treasury will hold a share. The Government will also
receive a payment from Northern Rock’s new owners in return for the
guarantee on the bonds.
The Treasury will retain control over a number of the Rock’s activities, so the bank’s new owners cannot do anything outlandish, such as paying huge dividends to shareholders, that would put the Government’s guarantee in danger.
What happens now?
Bidders must have their offers in by February 4. The Virgin Group is certain
to bid, as is a private equity group led by Luqman Arnold, the former chief
executive of Abbey, the high street bank. Rock’s existing board is also
putting together a proposal that would keep the bank as an independent
company. Other bidders, such as the American private equity firms that
dropped out of the takeover battle last year, might return now that the
funding issue is sorted but, if so, they would have to act quickly. Northern
Rock’s future should be decided in less than a month.
How did Northern Rock get itself into this mess?
Until June last year, the Rock was Britain’s fifth-biggest mortgage lender.
Most banks fund their mortgage lending by using savers’ deposits. Because
the Rock has only 76 branches, it funded its lending by packaging its loans
and selling them to investors. But the collapse of the sub-prime mortgage
market in America meant that many investors — mainly other banks, fund
managers and hedge funds — became scared of buying any type of
mortgage-related asset.
Northern Rock was unable to borrow the money it needed to stay in business. It was forced to ask the Bank of England for an emergency loan to tide it over.
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