Christine Seib
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There are four main options facing Northern Rock – none of them attractive to small shareholders, nor to the Government. The bank’s future must be decided by February, when the emergency funding will be reviewed.
Put the bank into receivership
A creditor can call in a receiver if a debtor breaches the conditions of a loan. The Bank of England is Northern Rock’s senior secured creditor, which means that it has first call on any assets, should the bank default on its loan. The precise terms of the Government’s loan to Northern Rock, and how they might be breached, have never been spelt out. But the Chancellor made clear yesterday that the Treasury was playing a big part in deciding the bank’s future. It could, in theory, order the bank into receivership but is unlikely to do so because of the unattractive political ramifications such as the thousands of jobs lost and the outrage of small shareholders who would receive nothing in a liquidation. It would also call into question the Chancellor’s original decision to prop up the bank with emergency funding.
The liquidation of a bank can take years, particularly since there is no current market for some of Northern Rock’s assets.
Sell all or part of the bank
Northern Rock said yesterday that it had received expressions of interest from companies or consortiums that might like to buy all or part of the bank. So far none is thought to have offered to buy the whole bank. This is in part because bidders have had difficulty valuing the bank, because of the volatility of its share price and uncertainty about the banking environment next year, and also because bidders have struggled to raise money to fund the purchase.
Northern Rock said yesterday that the offers it had received so far had undervalued the company, but that it expected more bids to come in this week.
There is a chance that Northern Rock could secure sufficient funding from other banks to remain as a stand-alone company. Although this option has not been discounted, it looks unlikely.
Nationalise the bank
This is not a simple option because Northern Rock has not gone bust. The Government could make an offer for all the outstanding shares in Northern Rock in order to turn it into a state-controlled company, but that could result in litigation from shareholders over the correct price for their shares. The present Government has no previous experience in nationalising a bank. But it has nationalised other companies, most recently Railtrack and British Energy.
Put the bank into run-off
The Treasury could decide in partnership with Northern Rock’s board that none of the current bidders for the bank offers a good prospect for Northern Rock customers, or that a bidder cannot be found without what the Government considers to be an unattractive extension of the bank’s emergency borrowing. In this case, Northern Rock may be put into run-off. This means that it would continue to service its existing customers but it would stop taking on new business, gradually reducing in size over a number of years. There is a small chance that the run-off could be done profitably, but it would also leave the Government exposed for many years to come.
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I totally disagree with what the others said about the impact of this crisis on global economy
no one could have foreseen that such a major crisis would happen and it is a right for anybody to buy shares if they want to
olivier auffan, london, uk
Who cares about the shareholders? They took a risk and they should have known better than to buy shares in NR. Any investor worth his salt would have been shorting NR by August.
The only people who should get any money back from this fiasco are those with savings on deposit. The government should arrange a sale of NR's assets (the ones that actually have market value such as their few mortgages that aren't subprime) and arrange it so that depositors are first in the queue for payouts. Then let the company go to the wall.
Whatever remains of the £24bn loan will just have to be written down as the UK citizen's massive bill for New Labour's 10 years of manic, credit-fuelled house price inflation. The bill for all that excess speculation and easy money had to arrive some time after all.
MB , Edinburgh,
I presume that when the Government gave a loan to Northern Rock it was secured against assets. I also assume that the Government properly checked the value of those assets and accounting for risk offered a loan to ensure full security on the assets with a view to their possible future values. In doing so they would have accounted for how the assets could be properly realised if the need came about (firesale value being the worst situation). Or did they? Was it purely a political decision without any thought for the real risks they were taking on. At the time the real issue was the savings that people had in Northern Rock. That value should have been the only thing to protect. Shareholders gamble, they won when the society was made into a Bank and now they are losing. Ignorance of the risks that you take as a Shareholder are your own responsibility. "Caveat emptor".
mike, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Is it really that big a problem?. The taxpayer is lending Northern Rock funds at a high interest rate on sound mortgage assets. Mortgage assets are not that long term these days. A restriction on the Rock selling any new mortgages at a rate less than their SVR would result in their customers remortgaging elsewhere as their fixed / discount deals come to an end. (There is actually a market for the Rock's mortgage assets). Over a reasonably short period of time the repayment of these mortgage assets will reduce the debt owed to the Bank of England. Within the next nine months Northern Rock will also be able to sell mortgage portfolios at a fair price on the market to other lenders as the credit squeeze eases and confidence returns (especailly with England winning Euro 2008 and Steve McClaren then becoming Chief Executive of the Rock). Downsized and with debts paid off they can start growing again in 2009 only to then suffer with everyone else as house prices finally crash by 40%.
Anthony Barrett, Washington, England