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The United States is to call for draconian rules to control sovereign wealth funds, the vast, opaque, state-backed financial powerhouses that hold assets worth about $2.5 trillion (£1.2 trillion).
The proposal will be made this week in Washington at the meeting of finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of Seven (G7) nations, The Times has learnt. Observers question whether such regulations will be able to rein in the funds.
There is increasing concern in Britain over the influence of sovereign funds. About half the shares in the London Stock Exchange are held by Qatar and Dubai, with the former close to acquiring J Sainsbury, the supermarket chain. Temasek, of Singapore, and the Chinese Development Bank both have stakes in Barclays.
The US is expected to call on G7 leaders and the International Monetary Fund to agree on a set of guidelines demanding better disclosure by the sovereign funds and giving governments greater ability to scrutinise their activities. It is expected to be the first time that the subject of the funds will appear in the closing statement of a G7 meeting and should generate a fierce backlash from the countries that manage the largest funds.
The calls come amid mounting fears that the aggressive funds — which are focusing increasingly on the stocks of listed companies and other mainstream investments — could destabilise financial markets and be used to mount stealth takeover bids for a range of strategic assets.
A report this morning will say that Western economies are on a collision course with the sovereign funds. “There is a serious likelihood of Western governments and sovereign wealth funds clashing over what they can buy and where,” Gerard Lyons, the chief economist of Standard Chartered and the author of the report, said.
“We are likely to see Western governments seeking to protect national champions and strategic sectors, as is their right.”
The rapid growth and broadening activity of the sovereign funds follow the long-term surge in crude oil prices and the amassing of huge foreign exchange reserves by Asian economies that manipulate their own currencies. One main proposal from Washington will be that the funds declare what proportion of their investments is held overseas.
The sovereign funds that have raised the most concern include those run by Singapore, Russia, the United Arab Emirates and, most recently, the $200 billion behemoth launched by China last month. Merrill Lynch analysts predict that capital managed by sovereign funds could hit nearly $8 trillion by 2011 and many believe that the funds soon will exceed the entire hedge fund industry in market influence.
The US position on sovereign funds was clarified over the summer in a largely unnoticed speech by Clay Lowery, the Under-Secretary for International Affairs at the US Treasury. Identifying a potential “impact on financial market stability”, he said that because so little was known about the funds’ investment policies, minor comments or rumours could spark volatility. “It is hard to dismiss entirely the possibility of unseen, imprudent risk management with broader consequences,” he said in June.
Cabinet Office insiders in Japan told The Times that Tokyo had held informal discussions with Washington over the growing market influence of the sovereign funds and that it doubtless would back the US proposal. One source said: “The shared concern by Japan and the US is that the funds do not behave according to traditional market logic, and that is why we need greater transparency. ”A source close to the Bank of Japan said that Japan was “institutionally terrified” that its high-tech industrial base would become the target of emerging economy governments via the funds.
The French Government has highlighted the rising influence of the sovereign funds and is understood to be producing a report on how to deal with the political threat posed by them to the country’s “industrial jewels”.
National interests
Recent big deals by sovereign funds
June 2007: Singapore fund buys property group that owns Merrill Lynch Financial Centre in London for $960 million
July: Singapore fund buys 50 per cent of WestQuay shopping centre in Southampton for $600 million
July: Singapore’s Temasek fund invests $2 billion in Barclays, with prospect of $3 billion more
September: Dubai and Qatar buy almost 50 per cent of London Stock Exchange between them
October: Delta Two fund run by Qatar close to buying J Sainsbury
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