Christine Seib
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Alliance & Leicester (A&L) saw £1.2 billion cut from its market value yesterday as investors abandoned the mortgage sector amid fears of contagion from Northern Rock.
Shares in A&L, Britain’s fifth-largest mortgage lender, plunged 31 per cent to 600p yesterday. The bank’s shares have lost 36 per cent since last Thursday, when the market panic over Northern Rock’s emergency loan from the Bank of England began. The Leicester-based bank’s stock plummeted by 15 per cent in the last half-hour of trading on the London Stock Exchange, sparking speculation that A&L was preparing to tell the market that, like Northern Rock, it had tapped the Bank for credit.
David Buik, a spread-betting pundit at Cantor Index, said: “It has felt as if someone has got the early wire on them, like they did in Northern Rock the other day. Have the A&L had to borrow from the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street?” A spokeswoman for A&L was adamant that the bank had not borrowed from the Bank of England. She said that the bank’s situation had not changed since its upbeat interim results last month, when it said that it did not expect its business to be affected by the global credit crunch.
Meanwhile, shares in Bradford & Bingley (B&B), another prominent mortgage lender, dropped yesterday by more than 15 per cent to 279p, taking its losses since Thursday to 21.9 per cent. Both banks were dragged down when analysts at Citigroup downgraded their earnings forecasts for 2008 and 2009 and advised investors to sell the stock. B&B reiterated yesterday that the funding for its business was secure.
Shares in Northern Rock fell more than 35 per cent to 282¾p each yesterday, as customers continued to flock to branches across the country to withdraw their savings and transfer their mortgages. More than £2 billion is estimated to have been taken out of Northern Rock since news of its Bank loan emerged.
The bank will run an advertisment in national newspapers today in which Adam Applegarth, the chief executive, apologises to customers for their “anxiety and inconvenience”. He says: “I know how worried many of you must have been. These have been troubled times, but Northern Rock will prevail.”
Yesterday the Government said that it would guarantee the safety of Northern Rock’s retail and wholesale deposits, worth about £28 billion, while the bank frantically seeks an acquirer.
A statement by Northern Rock said last night that the bank was not in talks with a bidder but that its board was “aware of its fiduciary duty and is actively considering all strategic options in the interests of shareholders, customers and other stakeholders”. As late as Friday Northern Rock executives were believed to be confident that a white knight could be found, despite a potential deal with Lloyds TSB falling apart. Lloyds TSB is thought to have been in talks with Northern Rock until as late as last Tuesday but withdrew, in part, because of continuing uncertainty in the credit market, but also because it could not agree terms with the rival bank, City regulators or the Bank of England. By then both the Financial Services Authority and the Bank were in close contact with Northern Rock as they waited to see whether a market resolution to the bank’s shaky future could be found.
It is thought that Lloyds TSB would have retained the Northern Rock name, which, before the announcement last Friday, still had some cachet. The bank is believed to have been attracted by Northern Rock’s strong customer satisfaction levels and efficiency. However, it is not thought that the talks progressed as far as opening the bank’s books, which, effectively, would have put Northern Rock up for auction.
At the time Northern Rock was attempting to sell itself without fanfare, for fear that rumours of a forced sale would hit its share price. Yesterday a leading shareholder criticised the bank’s decision to play hard-to-get with buyers, saying that the board should not have held out for the Bank of England loan but foreseen the panic the borrowing would cause and gone for a quick sale instead.
“The credit line meant that they had an alternative, the idea being that it wouldn’t then look like a distressed asset,” he said. “But look what’s happened as a result.”
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I hope some speculators got their fingers seriously burnt over the fiasco with the A&L stock.
Down 25% in the last hour of trading, then up 25% in the first hour of trading the following day.
Something stinks!
ANDREW EVANS, lowestoft, UK
This is only the start, if you want to save your cash for christmas,,its time to bail out and leave the market makers to own all the crashed stocks.
October 15th the historic time of a stock crash is only one month away, that leaves one month to leave the stock market with your cash intact..
Lets face it at 6% to 7% in the bank why put your money at risk
long term; If goverment holding companies ie Singapore, Norway, UAE, China are the long term holders of stock, if you managed these funds which are buying for the stratigic long term interest of your country would you invest in a mortgage company this year,,knowing full well a property recession is starting and will not pick up again for 2 to 3 years as in other property recessions
Negative equity in march 2007 was 17% in shropshire, this was the discount I had to give make my house sale go through,,I notice now it is about 25%
Nicholas Iles, Oswestry, Shropshire
The role of the media is again demonstrated beautifully by this issue. It was only when the BBC broke the news with regards to the Northern Rock issues, it was only then that the bank run began and queues began forming all over the country. The same people who were queueing all weekend were blissfully unaware of the troubles facing Northern Rock until the BBC blew everything out of proportion. Furthermore, this only makes matters worse as it means that the Bank's cash reserves will be depleted.In my eyes I don't really think that there is much to worry about as the BoE simply would not let Northern Rock (and others) hit serious trouble.Still I can understand the concerns that savers who have their life savings deposited with Northern Rock (and B&B). I am sure though that the Banking sector as a whole will recover - it's just that at the moment there is much volatility in the banking sector (down 30% one day, up 10% the next). I'm standing back watching these exciting events.
Hassan Azam, Banbury, Oxfordshire,UK
I am with Stephen Jones on this one. The panicking investors are going to damage the institutions they save with - and then claim it was the institutions own fault. They are also going to damage he whole banking system in the U K, and Britain's economy - and still say it was someone else's fault. In one week I am advising my Russian friends to buy big into the U K system. There will never be a better time.
Riley, Kyiv, Ukraine
Stephen Jones, It wont blow over - the media will ensure it doesn't.
Rod Munch, Northampton, UK
Much of the Northern Rock panic was whipped up by the media constantly showing pictures of queues.
In the same way your headline "costs A+L £1.2bn" is incorrect and irresponsible. At a quick glance it implies that A+L is having to pay someone £1.2bn of its own cash so lets all rush down to A+L and get our money out while there is still some left. £1.2bn was the fall in the market value. It didn't cost the bank or anyone a penny unless they held shares and then sold them. If they held on to them to this morning it did not cost them. Indeed the bank had enough cash to buy back for cancellation 500,000 of its own shares yesterday - you didn't mention that. The BBC reported "that the bank believes it has been the victim of an assault by hedge funds" - you didn't mention that either.
Rob, Bristol,
This is hilarious.....its all getting totally blown out nof proportion. Great time to make money for shorters.
V Parkeh, London, UK
Mick of Hornchurch, are you going to put your money under the mattress?
David, Sheffield, UK
Thats it I am off to take my money out of the bank and its not northern rock I am with. I suggest everyone else does the same.
mick, hornchurch, essex.
If you have got any hard earned life savings - get it out while you still can. $450 Trillion in global derivatives is just pretend money on hard drives. No banks of last resort can bail that much out when sooner or later middle class greed turns to middle class panic. Property and shares can drop like a stone if there are no buyers.
Mike Peters, Christchurch, New Zealand
seems like a good time to consider buying banks and societies. This will all blow over.
stephen jones, kl,