Philip Webster, Political Editor
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Alistair Darling has not had the time to get worried about his date with destiny next Wednesday when for the first occasion in 11 years it will be him and not Gordon Brown delivering the Budget.
What with Northern Rock, capital gains tax, the row over non-domiciles and lost computer disks he has had plenty of practice in the Commons chamber in recent weeks. “I have not had a moment to think about what it will be like next Wednesday. One thing you find in the Treasury is that time flies,” he told The Times. He is not nervous, he said.
He will swiftly mark himself down as a traditionalist. Mr Darling has decided to bring back into use the Gladstone Box, originally used by the four-time Prime Minister and Chancellor, to carry his secrets into the Commons. Mr Brown used a new red box made by apprentices in his Scottish constituency for the task. Its frail predecessor, until recently on show in the Treasury, is being checked over to avoid any embarrassment when Mr Darling holds it aloft outside No 11.
As he began talking about his “test” next Wednesday it was obvious that extreme caution is the watchword in the Treasury as the Budget countdown begins.
“It is a time of great uncertainty,” he said. “My number one objective is to ensure that this is a Budget for stability. That is absolutely essential for the economy. It is essential for every family in this country. We have to ensure we support the economy in what are undoubtedly difficult times.”
The phrase “support the economy” was to return several times during the interview.
It means that as the economy slows and tax receipts fall over the coming months, Mr Darling will not add to the taxation burden but borrow instead. Environmental and other taxes seem certain to be announced next Wednesday, but their implementation may be delayed for a year.
Mr Darling went on: “My second objective is to prepare the country for the future. We have huge challenges to meet in terms of competitiveness, rapid economic change, things like climate change, which will change the way we think and the Government acts. Those are the two things that are foremost in my mind.”
He voiced confidence that Britain would emerge from the difficulties. “In Britain one of the things that will help us is that whereas in the past we have entered difficult periods with high levels of inflation, high interest rates, high debt and three million out of work we enter this period with low levels of interest rates and inflation, and the lowest level of unemployment since 1975. Our economy is resilient and strong.
Mr Darling’s other big challenge is to repair his relations with the City. He took a conciliatory line, yet stood by his £30,000 non-dom charge and the capital gains tax flat rate of 18 per cent. Those decisions, he felt, were right “but you can always do things better. You can always ensure you try and engage people more effectively.”
He went on: “The biggest thing that helps the City is stability of the economy. We have to ensure we have a competitive tax regime. The corporation tax cuts come in in April but also we have to make sure we have the right business environment.”
Imminent changes to banking regulation would be “proportionate”, he said. “They need to plug the gaps but we have to ensure that we don’t get into the kind of problems they had in America after Enron, where business ended up being taken away from America.”
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Jo Sullivan, Liverpool, Merseyside
Seen the price of Gold lately? 395 tonnes sold at an average price of $285 through 19 Treasury auctions between 1999-2001. Brown sold at precisely the bottom of the market. In any other job he would have been fired.
Just one other point: I would love to ask the PM what the rate of Economic Growth would be if he had not made the bank of England independent?
If he reckons it would have been higher if he had been in charge of interest rates (as per previous Chancellors) then he has obviously done the Country a disservice.
If he thinks it would be lower, then he obviously was not able to do the job and rightly handed it out to other parties. Incoming Governments would have no difficulty in copying the approach.
If he thinks it would be more or less the same then the whole policy was a non-event.
Exactly how does he explain the fact that the economy was stable 3.5 years before he took office?
Marcus, London, Great Britain (not at the heart of Europe)
Stability for the economy ; sounds like the pupil has learnt prudence from the master. It seems that the economy is inherently resilient and strong ; good job with the amount of turbulence around. For business simplification of tax and creating a competitive environment seem important. Let`s not make GB hostile to rich businessmen and let`s maintain London`s reputation for being conducive to international commerce and investment. Novel, innovative stimulants for the market seem like a good idea as increasing growth wouldn`t go amiss. The PM is a good judge of character and I`m sure has commandeered over the years the very best and brilliant brains for the Treasury including the present Chancellor Alistair Darling.Some innovation worthy of headlines really announcing the Chancellor`s arrival at the Treasury would be interesting and redemptive.Maybe if we`re going to pay those kids to go to school re education support allowance, then why not pay them something for behaving themselves?
Jo Sullivan, Liverpool, Merseyside