Win 100 iconic DVDs
Britain's official data gatherer has admitted that it needs to do more work to fully get to grips with the way consumers spend money over the internet - and has identified at least four specific areas that require its "additional investigation".
In an 18-page analysis of recent trends in internet spending - and how it can properly be measured - the Office for National Statistics identified online gambling, subscriptions to gaming organisations, software downloads and internet purchases from abroad as areas not sufficiently "captured" in official trade data in the UK.
"Although coverage of internet spending is good, there are some areas where future work is needed," ONS said as it introduced its analysis, entitled Internet spending: measurement and recent trends.
ONS, whose most recent estimate puts annual internet spending at £18.1 billion in 2004 - said it had concluded that "most internet spending is captured in the National Accounts, but ... that it cannot always be identified as a separate component, especially in monthly data".
Although its carefully watched monthly retail sales index, for example, does incorporate internet transactions by Britain's retailers, the figures are not stripped out separately but form part of a wider category.
With more than 55 per cent of households having access to the internet at home as at July last year, internet shopping is growing dramatically and today's admission by ONS suggests that internet spending could actually be much higher than its current estimates.
As ONS said itself today: "The internet is not only an expanding channel for household and business spending, but it is also a driver for productivity growth."
Chris Lake, who runs e-consultancy.com, which advises companies on their internet strategies, said internet spending in the UK could have risen to as much as £30 billion last year, even assuming the market has grown at the same rate as in 2004, when usage soared by 67 per cent.
"I suspect that it has increased beyond that, maybe even doubled, though it is hard to say with any degree of accuracy. Tesco is likely to have processed at least £1bn of online sales in 2004-5. That's just one company, albeit a big one. £30bn is looking rather conservative, come to think of it," Mr Lake told Times Online.
He added: "The ONS is being admirably transparent about the difficulties it faces in collating this data, from retailers - who do not separate internet sales from offline sales - and other sources. Nevertheless, the bigger picture remains out of focus."
ONS said that more than half of household expenditure carried out on the internet was accounted for by wholesale, retail, catering and travel as a broad industrial group.
With these areas accounting for £10.7 billion of the £18.1 billion of estimated internet sales in 2004, £59 out of every £100 spent by households over the internet is spent on these items.
Although internet sales still account for a small portion - about 2.5 per cent - of total consumer spending, ONS has been expanding the scope of its indices such as the Consumer Prices Index and the Retail Sales Index to take account of the increase in web usage.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
36-month car lease
on contract hire for
£359.99 plus VAT pm
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
c£100,000 + car, bonus & bens
Lord Search & Selection
Midlands
Competitive salary + NHS pens
The Council for Healthcare Regulatory Excellence (CHRE)
London
Not Specified
The Sheppard Trust
London
£31,842 – £38,378pa
Charity Commision
London, Liverpool or Taunton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.