Gary Duncan, Economics Editor
Win VIP tickets
The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to spurn demands for a further drastic cut in interest rates this week, despite evidence that the eurozone is sliding into a brutal slump.
Dire economic indicators have fuelled fears that the 16-nation zone is facing its deepest recession since the Second World War, but the ECB is widely tipped to limit a new rate cut this week to a half-point, or even as low as a quarter-point.
The Frankfurt-based central bank has already lowered official eurozone rates by 1.75 percentage points, from 4.25 per cent to 2.5 per cent, between October and December, and some of its most senior officials have signalled marked reluctance to rush into further, aggressive action.
The ECB's cautious strategy is provoking controversy among eurozone political and business leaders as the strains on the economy rapidly multiply. Demands for the ECB to be bolder and more radical have escalated as the bleak news has piled up. Last week, official figures showed manufacturing output across most of the single currency area crumbling, with industrial production in Germany, the zone's biggest economy, plummeting by 6.4per cent in the year to November — the sharpest fall since 1993.
Other key indicators have been all but uniformly grim. The key gauges of conditions in the purchasing managers' surveys of both manufacturing and services have fallen for eight months in a row, with activity in both sectors dropping at the fastest rates for at least a decade. Confidence among eurozone businesses and consumers sank to record lows in December.
In addition, eurozone exports are being battered by last year's surge in the value of the euro against the sliding dollar, making eurozone goods and services much more expensive in key overseas markets.
The strains facing eurozone businesses are being aggravated by a persistent credit crunch as companies struggle to secure finance amid a lending drought.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.