Grainne Gilmore
Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
Retail sales fell by less than expected during September but annual growth declined to a two and a half year low after demand for new clothes and household goods slowed.
Sales volumes fell by 0.4 per cent last month, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), compared with a 0.7 per cent decline that economists had forecast after an unexpected 1.2 per cent rise in sales in August.
Sales of clothes, shoes and textiles dropped by 2.3 per cent while trade in household goods, such as fridges and furniture, declined by 2 per cent, as homeowners cut back on “big-ticket” goods.
Supermarkets continued to benefit from the new trend among thrifty consumers to stay in rather than go out, sending sales up by 0.3 per cent during the month.
But evidence that they are not being spared from the overall downturn emerged as the ONS figures showed that the volume of sales at food stores dropped by 0.1 per cent between July and September, the first quarterly fall since records began in 1986.
Overall, annual growth in sales volumes fell from 3.3 per cent to 1.8 per cent — the lowest rate since February 2006.
Today's figures emerged as experts predicted that consumers were gearing up for a bargain basement Christmas, exacerbating the challenging conditions on the high street.
Vicky Redwood, of Capital Economics, said: "A much sharper slowdown is likely in the coming months. House prices are still falling, unemployment rising and credit conditions tightening.
"We expect overall real consumer spending to fall by around 1.5 per cent next year — with the retail sector perhaps seeing an even sharper drop in sales."
DSG International, which owns Curry's and PC World, this morning reported a 7 per cent fall in like-for-like sales in the first half of the year while Home Retail Group, which owns Argos and Homebase, said it was encountering its worst trading conditions since 1973.
Commenting on today's figures, Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at Global Insight, said: "The correction in retail sales in September was less than expected following August's sharp gains and the suspicion remains that the official figures are overstating the strength of sales.
"The prospects for consumer spending look bleak as the financial crisis adds to the intense pressures already facing households."
The Office for National Statistics, which has come under fire for its retail figures which are often at odds with other surveys, said earlier this month that it would soon start to add a "margin of error" to its retail data.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Mortgage equity withdrawal was worth 10% of consumer spending. So it doesnt take a genius to see that retail sales would fall by somewhere near to that figure.
Michael, West Midlands,
More experts, they are always right!!!!
Mike, Ely,