Gráinne Gilmore, Economics Correspondent
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The price of pork sausages has risen by 40 per cent in the past year and the price of bacon has almost doubled, as food price inflation jumped to 10 per cent in August.
The cost of food has soared by more than twice the rate of inflation over the past year and figures from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) show that the price of fresh items has increased by 11.9 per cent.
The continued rise in food bills, including a surge in the cost of cooking fats and oils, has raised overall shop prices by up to 3.8 per cent in the year to August, up from 3.2 per cent in July. This is the highest figure recorded by the BRC, which began its series in 2006. The consortium said that rising grain prices were behind the jump in pork prices because farmers were forced to pass on their additional feed costs to retailers.
The leap in the price of a carnivore’s breakfast emerged in figures compiled for The Times by mysupermarket, the price comparison website. It also calculates that the average cost of a family’s weekly shop has risen by more than a quarter over the past 12 months.
However, there were tentative signs that price rises may be starting to ease. Food rose by 1.9 per cent in July but increased by a more modest 0.3 per cent in August.
There are also hopes that falling oil prices could result in cuts in high street prices as retailers and producers are able to pass on their cost savings to consumers. US light crude oil fell by $1.28 a barrel yesterday to $108, the lowest price since April.
Stephen Robertson, director-general of the BRC, said: “For the first time since March the growth rate of food inflation slowed, offering the prospect that we may be nearing the peak of food inflation.”
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee will announce its decision on interest rates at midday today after what is likely to have been a tricky meeting. The committee is trying to balance the twin threats of rising inflation and a stagnant economy. Inflation reached a 16-year high of 4.4 per cent last month and is expected to peak at 5 per cent before the end of the year.
The economy is widely expected to go into recession in the second half of the year after official figures showed that it had ground to a halt between April and the end of June. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, an influential think-tank, has forecast that Britain will be the only country out of the wealthy G7 nations to be in recession at the end of the year.
Gloomy reports yesterday from service companies, which range from accountants and banks to hotels and cafés, reinforced fears that the country may already be in the first throes of recession.
Activity at these companies, which make up 60 per cent of the economy, fell for the fourth month in a row in August, the key CIPS purchasing managers’ index showed.
The Bank’s interest-rate decision is complicated further by the tumbling pound, which is adding to inflationary pressure by pushing up the price of imports. The pound fell to a two-year low against the dollar yesterday at £1.77 before recovering slightly. However, exporters will benefit from a boost to trade as their goods become more attractively priced in foreign markets.
Despite the threat of recession, the Bank is tipped to keep rates on hold at 5 per cent until inflation starts to fall.
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relatively speaking food is dead cheap in this country unless you want to pay extra for happier pigs, cattle and chickens, which I do
peter c, Devizes, Wessex
I buy and cook food by myself, because I am very passionate about it.
I live in Rome, and I noticed that in the last months, in my city, pasta, tomatoes, generally fresh fruits and veggies, are more than double it!
on the other side, food 'experts' tells us to buy almost exclusive that kind of food
edoardo chioni, Rome , ITALY
Looking for some economical recipes to cook?
Try www.tasteofhome.com
They have some great inexpensive recipes on the cheap!
Mary, Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA
Roger Larson's comment is unusually obtuse. The article mentions 10 percent inflation, not the 3 or 4 percent he speaks of. And it's not just one year that matters: at a steady 10 percent inflation, food prices will double in 7 years. It's time our government began trying to encourage agriculture.
Tom Welsh, Basingstoke,
I've seen basics such as tuna go up a wacking 40% in the last year, prices are almost going up daily in some supermarkets, that and increased cooking costs means huge increases in electric/gas prices, not to mention rents have gone up 11% already this year.
We never had it so good...
Nanos, Southall, UK
I care, Roger Larson, St Paul, USA.
I don't drink or smoke - but I need to eat!
I am a pensioner with a very low income.
As for your crass 'words of wisdom' - I won't be taking notice of them.
Let's have very high taxes on booze and tobacco, and no taxes on food.
Annie Hancock, Bath, UK
We shouldn't rely on oil prices falling much further. Only a few months ago we were grovelling to OPEC to increase production to reduce the cost. OPEC will begin to cut supply if the price dip below $100 and the price will rise again.
Chris, Chipping Norton,
This year has been excellent for potatoes, beans, and soft fruit in my garden, and has been the same across most of Britain.Blight has ruined some crops, particularly tomatoes. A first class harvest should mean lower food prices. Allotment holders will agree that it has been a good year.
Desi, Eastleigh,
We are in the grip of a food/supply cartel that is now happily lounging in the fact that it can put the overall price of food and commodities up by 25 percent. It now knows there is not a damn thing that anyone can do.
Our choices appear to be: Shut up, pay up or starve.
Very democratic.
Elfed Dowler-Jones, Llanelwy, Wales
A large proportion of our food is now imported. Devaluation of the Pound is a major factor in the rising cost of food.
m wood, somerset, uk
Phew least its not their mobile phone contracts.
wayne, huntingdon, cambridgeshire
If the price of pork (bacon) has risen by 100% and the price of pork sausages has only risen by 40%, what are they putting in my sausages?
A primary inspection indicates fat and sawdust.
Bren, Nottm, UK
At a stroke the obesity problem is cured and only the super rich can afford five portions a day!
colin, wolverhampton, UK
Who cares about 3% or 4% food increase? This only matters if you do not smoke or drink alcohol, If you do drink or smoke then you can stop one or the other and 3 or 4 or 10 or 20 per cent increase on food won't matter.
Roger Larson, St Paul, USA
What effect is the terrible summer going to have on food prices?
Robert, Manchester, UK
Legislation around commodity speculation needs to be revised as a matter of urgency. There needs to be some kind of penalty for those people who buy futures contracts without actually taking delivery to prevent the free-for-all that's pushed up oil and food prices far ahead of inflation.
Kevin Sweeney, Edinburgh, UK