Tom Bawden, New York
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America’s economic prospects appeared to take a turn for the better today as new data showed that US house prices, the volume of home sales and consumer sentiment were holding up better than expected.
Although house prices are still falling, the rate of decline in the second quarter was only about a third of the drop recorded in the previous three months, according to the S&P/Case Shiller national home price index.
The price of the average American home fell by 2.3 per cent in the second quarter, compared to a 6.8 per cent drop in the previous three months, according to the index.
Meanwhile, The New York-based Conference Board’s confidence index, a key measure of consumer sentiment, rose from 51.9 to 56.9 in July, well ahead of the consensus analyst forecast of 53.
The jump was attributed to the declining price of petrol.
Seperately, the Commerce Department said that July saw an unexpected gain in the sale of new homes, as heavily discounted properties enticed customers.
The number of so-called new single-family homes rose by 2.4 per cent in July to an annual rate of 515,000 units, the most since April.
However, July’s jump in sales were revealed after much weaker sales in June than had been previously expected, after transactions shrank to an annual rate of 503,000, the lowest level since September 1991.
The S&P/Case Shiller index also showed that the average US house price declined by 15.4 per cent in the year to July, with Las Vegas recording the biggest fall over that period – of 29 per cent.
Miami was the next biggest faller, declining by 28 per cent in the year to July, according to the S&P/Case Shiller index.
Mike Moran, chief economist at Daiwa Securities in New York, said: "I thought it was a reasonably good report on the housing market. We had a much smaller rate of decline than we had in prior months."
David Sloan, an economist at 4Cast, the market analysis group, added: "Prices are still falling but at a progressively lesser pace, this is the slowest decline since last July. It seems that some areas are now finding a base. It is reasonably encouraging in that it suggests that some parts of the problem are more localised now."
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This is summer, when home buying activity should be at its strongest. The fact that the inventory is still increasing is negative, and the prices ought to have turned around if this were for real. Prices in USA will not bottom for at least another 12 months.
Frank Feather, Toronto, Canada
Not an upturn, just a delayed rate of decline directly related to the recent tax rebate. Nice try Fed Gov but you cant buck the market by talking it up, boom will only return after the bust! Clutching at straws or just plain denial?
Andy, Liverpool, UK
Sentiment in the US is gradually returning. This is good news becuase what hapens in the US eventually filters through to the UK. So in in next 18/24 months we will be through the worst of it in the UK. Good news for the UK.
Rupert, London, UK
You can put a positive spin on anything, the bottom line is that property in the US and the UK are going straight down, this situation will not stop until prices are back to realistic levels and that in my book means another 30 to 40% drop.
Steve, Edgware, UK
Good to see the USA back from the abyss and the housing market coming good once again, will the UK be next? god bless America.
bill , Liverpool, England