Christine Seib
Attend a special evening hosted by Mike Atherton
Europe’s biggest bank accused central bankers of failing to address inflation
yesterday and called on them to raise interest rates to curb spending, even
if it hurt consumers in the short term.
Michael Geoghegan, chief executive of HSBC, said that some economic
decision-makers were ignoring the risk of rocketing inflation because they
were keen to support ailing housing markets and preserve a feel-good factor.
Speaking at a conference in Hong Kong, Mr Geoghegan said: “I’m not sure
governments at the current time wish to face up to that [inflation risks],
but I urge them to because inflation out of control is a very difficult
thing to control later.”
He said that Americans had been comforted by low interest rates in the wake of
the collapsing housing market and he predicted that US interest rates would
not rise until after November’s presidential election. “Inflation is a
long-term problem because there’s no long-term will to solve it,” he said.
Markets indicated yesterday that the US interest rate would not fall soon,
while European bankers gave warning that eurozone rates would remain high
through 2009.
The US is due this week to release data that may give some insight into the
direction that the Federal Reserve will take on interest rates. The personal
consumption expenditures index, due out on Friday, which will show that
inflation is causing shoppers to cut back on spending, is the most important.
In the meantime, short-term interest rate futures indicated that the Fed was
likely to keep rates steady until the fourth quarter at least.
Global prices of commodities from rice to oil have risen sharply in recent
months, forcing inflation higher and affecting consumer spending. But
governments have been reluctant to increase interest rates while bank
lending is still stalled and house sales are in the doldrums.
Axel Weber, President of Germany’s Bundesbank and a member of the European
Central Bank’s governing council, predicted yesterday that inflation in the
eurozone would remain above 3 per cent on average this year. “Also in 2009
it’s not fore-seeable that we’ll return under our inflation target,” Mr
Weber said.
He said that he saw no leeway for cutting rates in the fourth quarter. “We
must keep open the option of an interest rate rise as long as the danger of
inflation becoming entrenched is not fully banished,” he said.
Klaus Liebscher, another ECB Council member and Governor of the Austrian
National Bank, was more optimistic. He said that eurozone inflation had not
peaked, but should come closer to the target of 2 per cent next year. Mr
Liebscher called on unions, businesses and governments to keep inflation in
mind. “With the oil price over $130, it would be premature to sound the
all-clear,” he said.
In the UK, a report by BDO Stoy Hayward based on Britain’s business confidence
surveys showed that business people expect inflation to creep to its highest
level since 1992, hitting 3.6 per cent in the third quarter. The Bank of
England will vote next Thursday on whether to change the base rate.
Peter Hemington, a partner at BDO Stoy Hayward, said: “Inflation expectations
have entered uncharted waters. The consistently high levels of inflation
expectations put the Bank of England firmly between a rock and a hard place.”
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
1998
£47,955
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
£353 per day
Phonepay Plus
London
PwC’s Consulting practice helps businesses of all shapes and sizes work smarter and grow faster
PwC
£37,000
Department for Culture, Media and Sport
London
Currently £36,285
Department for Culture, Media and Sport
London
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Accommodation, flights, tickets to the race and a KL city tour for only £999pp
PremierHolidays.co.uk
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.