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Demand for new homes plunged by 27 per cent during the first quarter of 2008, leading an 8 per cent decline in overall orders for new construction.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said today that demand for new construction fell from £8.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 2007 to £7.7 billion during January to March this year.
Falling orders in private housing were the most pronounced, declining from £1.9 billion in the final three months of last year to £1.4 billion in 2008. Compared to the first quarter of last year, orders fell by 29 per cent at the beginning of 2008.
Last week, Persimmon, the UK's largest housebuilder, revealed that it would stop construction on new sites after sales fell by 24 per cent during the first four months of the year.
Taylor Wimpey revealed that orders for new homes had slumped by 26 per cent so far this year, which it blamed on the restrictions that the country's worsening mortgage drought is placing on first-time buyers.
The ONS also said that public housing and housing association orders declined by 27 per cent compared to the fourth quarter and by 36 per cent on the first three months of 2007.
It also emerged today that the UK manufacturing sector continued to contract in April. The monthly purchasing managers index from the Chartered Institute for Purchasing and Supply dipped from 51.3 to 51.0 in April, nearer to the 50 threshold that marks the difference between expansion and contraction. However, while activity declined, it still remained above analysts' expectations of a 50.7 decline.
The output price index rose from 60.6 in March to 61.9, while the input price index increased from 76.7 to to 78.5 — the second highest since the surveys began, as the cost of raw materials continued to rise.
The ONS figures also showed that private and public infrastructure orders rose by 24 per cent on the final three months of 2007. The ONS said: "These large rises were caused by high levels of road orders in February 2008."
Public non-housing orders also rose, by 20 per cent on the last quarter of 2007 and by 26 per cent on the same three months of last year.
The ONS said: "These large rises were caused by high levels of education, health and office orders in January 2008."
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As far as I can see there is no mortgage drought. Banks are re-prcing their products to properly take account of the risks involved in lending. There are plenty of mortgages available but banks are not going to lend irresponsbily anymore. The price of houses will have to adjust accodingly. DOWN.
Chris, Oxford,
I Work on a large house building site building affordable and private houses. The affordable housing site are the only sites that are building, we a just ticking over, every week more get sacked and they all have moragages to pay. So the developer are not planning to sit this out !
oliver, earls colne,
To Guy from London
As a businessman, if I couldn't shift my stock it would tell me one thing: It would be overpriced. I would therefore drop the price to shift it.
That said, I don't have the government / taxpayer on hand to bale me out, which is obviously what the housebuilders are angling for.
Gareth Jones, Dusseldorf, Germany
The only relevant housing demand is that backed by cash.
Credit was to easy thanks to Brown.
The failure to include the cost of housing in the bogus cost of living index introduced by Brown meant that the Bank of England had to ignore the rocketing price of housing and kept interest rates to low.
James, Falmouth, UK
But isn't there a shortage of housing, which was the reason why prices were going up, up and away?....
Andy, Manchester, UK
Andrew - if you were running a business and could not sell your existing stock, would you invest tens or hundreds of millions in additional units, thereby incurring huge additional debt? Even if the banks would let you, your shareholders wouldn't.
Guy, London,
Do I understand correctly?
Builders can't make as much profit from building homes so they refuse to build any more, thereby choking of the chances of making any profit whatsoever.
Is that sound business sense?
Gareth Jones, Dusseldorf, Germany
Paul from Coventry, developers generally work on a 20% margin, how much profit do you think they make? What about the cost of land?
Read up on 'residual valuations'.
Tom, Reading,
When will the building companies learn that they need to lower their exorbitant prices? For the past decade they have been able to sell houses and flats for up to four times the building cost; now they are going to have to lower their profits to something more modest, like twice the building cost.
Paul, Coventry,
So new build has slumped what a surprise. Gordon Brown talked about buiding 3 million new homes, but that is all it turned out to be just a load of talk and no action.
The market will deliver the affordable homes that Labour never could because the banks have at last started lending sensibly.
Steven, Oxford,
Andrew, Builders have to borrow as well(credit crunch) and why would they build when they have no exit route (buyers)?
Why as a potential FTB do you believe you are entltled to help to make an asset purchase? Property grew 200% in the last decade guess FTB's just want their slice of the cake?
mark , surbiton, surrey
They fell by the wayside with all the other promises of a New Britain
dAve, UK,
If the banks had not made loans to people who could not afford to repay them causing rapid house price inflation,, house prices would have remained affordable.
Land prices would not have escalated, and builders would have been able to built affordable houses. We now have to wait until sanity returns
KW, Bognor Regis , ENGLAND
So housebuilders are now going to choke off supply ? A great way to keep house prices (if not profits) high and first time buyers are once again the real losers. When will this incompetent government, who seem to be totally out of touch with FTBs, intervene and come up with an innovative solution ?
Andrew, London,
What about all these 3 million new homes John Prescot promised.
Stephen Hulton, eure, france